Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Southeast Missouri State Redhawks vs. Lindenwood Lions: O/U 156.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf0a42354aa65b4b0399d306db32bb00c589bd5a9065d5c725d233a7406b2387f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $84,885
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $106,517
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $84,885 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 47c | 38,901$18,283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,283.03 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c2b…2575backed Under | 53c | 33,790$17,914 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,875.47 | 609 | 49.8%303 W · 306 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Under | 53c | 21,549$11,421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,127.97 | 896 | 45.9%411 W · 485 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 47c | 5,304$2,494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,494.06 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Under | 52c | 5,111$2,657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,454.32 | 247 | 48.2%119 W · 128 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe248…f293backed Over | 48c | 5,000$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400 | 781 | 55.6%434 W · 347 L | +38.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Over | 47c | 4,000$1,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,880 | 146 | 47.9%70 W · 76 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2eed…85a9backed Over | 47c | 2,110$992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$991.7 | 117 | 47.9%56 W · 61 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Over | 47c | 2,100$987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$987 | 841 | 47.4%399 W · 442 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Over | 47c | 1,761$828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$827.55 | 746 | 49.2%367 W · 379 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 52c | 752.6$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.25 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Over | 51c | 612.35$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.3 | 75 | 50.7%38 W · 37 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 45c | 299.61$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.97 | 1,152 | 48.9%563 W · 589 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf926…fb21backed Over | 47c | 250$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.5 | 83 | 33.7%28 W · 55 L | -6.9wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcce5…7eb2backed Over | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 74c | 114$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.1 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06fc…4fb6backed Over | 26c | 114$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.1 | 71 | 57.7%41 W · 30 L | +7.3wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0373…6d6bbacked Over | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 106 | 52.8%56 W · 50 L | +9.5wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…e1f5backed Under | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 1,162 | 55.2%641 W · 521 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Over | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 939 | 41.6%391 W · 548 L | +25.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Over | 48c | 75$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 693 | 50.4%349 W · 344 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15f9…607ebacked Over | 48c | 69.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 321 | 46.7%150 W · 171 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9310…569fbacked Over | 48c | 39.17$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Over | 46c | 31.35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.42 | 1,296 | 45.1%584 W · 712 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a74…de59backed Under | 54c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 119 | 58.8%70 W · 49 L | +8.3wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Southeast Missouri State Redhawks vs. Lindenwood Lions: O/U 156.5this page
- Southeast Missouri State Redhawks vs. Lindenwood LionsSoutheast Missouri State Redhawks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.