Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Southeast Missouri State Redhawks vs. Lindenwood Lions
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc1437a454fbce69b8993d064573e042702c0ea81cecf44e3085c1d67c1edae7a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Southeast Missouri State Redhawksof Southeast Missouri State Redhawks, Lindenwood Lions
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,750
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,005
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,750 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Lindenwood Lions | 20c | 3,499$693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$693.23 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa676…a4c5backed Lindenwood Lions | 56c | 1,943$1,086 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,086.36 | 71 | 45.1%32 W · 39 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa632…4c96backed Southeast Missouri State Redhawks | 46c | 980.78$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530.78 | 564 | 44.1%249 W · 315 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94fa…989ebacked Lindenwood Lions | 55c | 733.11$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.21 | 814 | 53.1%432 W · 382 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f6d…9db5backed Southeast Missouri State Redhawks | 45c | 723.51$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.93 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Southeast Missouri State Redhawks | 80c | 714.16$571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.96 | 1,074 | 43.3%465 W · 609 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed Southeast Missouri State Redhawks | 45c | 670$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.5 | 267 | 40.8%109 W · 158 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Southeast Missouri State Redhawks | 68c | 609.17$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.71 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Southeast Missouri State Redhawks | 44c | 502.63$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.47 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Lindenwood Lions | 56c | 409.76$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.59 | 1,058 | 55.8%590 W · 468 L | +34.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Southeast Missouri State Redhawks | 63c | 385.9$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.14 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Southeast Missouri State Redhawks | 75c | 280$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f8…e913backed Southeast Missouri State Redhawks | 45c | 251.11$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.11 | 250 | 49.2%123 W · 127 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb871…9f15backed Lindenwood Lions | 49c | 249.99$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.49 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf37c…3c74backed Lindenwood Lions | 46c | 236.86$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109 | 218 | 30.7%67 W · 151 L | -10.6wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Lindenwood Lions | 55c | 201$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.71 | 379 | 47.8%181 W · 198 L | -26.2wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4328…11d2backed Southeast Missouri State Redhawks | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Southeast Missouri State Redhawks | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe889…d0c3backed Southeast Missouri State Redhawks | 51c | 197.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.25 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e8…6300backed Lindenwood Lions | 60c | 190$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.7 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -4.1wins | -0.23per pick | 62cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Lindenwood Lions | 55c | 120$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 1,155 | 50.4%582 W · 573 L | -34.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Southeast Missouri State Redhawks | 45c | 99.99$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 1,317 | 33.6%443 W · 874 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Lindenwood Lions | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f9a…7ef9backed Southeast Missouri State Redhawks | 46c | 61.26$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.08 | 93 | 38.7%36 W · 57 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Lindenwood Lions | 35c | 58.89$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.76 | 202 | 48%97 W · 105 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Southeast Missouri State Redhawks | 51c | 55.29$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.09 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2df…82a8backed Southeast Missouri State Redhawks | 46c | 54$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.16 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.17per pick | 38cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Lindenwood Lions | 53c | 52.1$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.79 | 990 | 45.6%451 W · 539 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Southeast Missouri State Redhawks | 73c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.59 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8f…1f83backed Lindenwood Lions | 55c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 646 | 58.8%380 W · 266 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba41…5f4fbacked Southeast Missouri State Redhawks | 44c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 47cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Southeast Missouri State Redhawks | 45c | 46$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.3 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Lindenwood Lions | 33c | 45.47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.01 | 1,249 | 16.4%205 W · 1,044 L | -189.4wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xc653…bb8cbacked Lindenwood Lions | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 390 | 50.5%197 W · 193 L | -34.9wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdd08…84b0backed Lindenwood Lions | 57c | 43.81$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.17 | 299 | 54.2%162 W · 137 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f2f…be86backed Lindenwood Lions | 56c | 41$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.96 | 134 | 53%71 W · 63 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Southeast Missouri State Redhawks | 51c | 34.66$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.87 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Southeast Missouri State Redhawks | 47c | 33.9$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.97 | 259 | 46.3%120 W · 139 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Lindenwood Lions | 51c | 22.54$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.46 | 682 | 54.3%370 W · 312 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x306c…51f2backed Lindenwood Lions | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -5.5wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x58e0…be18backed Lindenwood Lions | 56c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 86 | 64%55 W · 31 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aee…51a8backed Southeast Missouri State Redhawks | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Southeast Missouri State Redhawks vs. Lindenwood Lionsthis page
- Southeast Missouri State Redhawks vs. Lindenwood Lions: O/U 156.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.