TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Minnesota Golden Gophers vs. Washington Huskies: O/U 138.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$101,319
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$101,320

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $101,319 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb45a…192cbacked Over53c95,733$50,526 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50,525.889645.9%411 W · 485 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd9b…414dbacked Under47c36,213$17,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,192.8930249.3%149 W · 153 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under48c35,256$16,775 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,480.1812,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under46c10,205$4,696 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,509.355,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Under48c7,000$3,360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,6405160.8%31 W · 20 L+6.9wins+0.14per pick47cpaid+32.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x62ba…ef56backed Over52c5,011$2,616 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,615.53933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.19per pick53cpaid-42.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa676…a4c5backed Under48c4,356$2,092 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,264.287145.1%32 W · 39 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Under47c4,000$1,880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,12014647.9%70 W · 76 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x445e…9be0backed Under48c1,000$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5208350.6%42 W · 41 L+0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa632…4c96backed Under49c918.37$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$468.3756444.1%249 W · 315 L+2.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under47c450.48$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.911,15248.9%563 W · 589 L+3.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under48c442.2$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.583,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under45c254.74$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.294,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39c6…0ac1backed Under49c200$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10226254.2%142 W · 120 L+7.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x450b…11d7backed Under49c122.45$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.451,25150.6%633 W · 618 L+12.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0373…6d6bbacked Under47c90$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.710652.8%56 W · 50 L+9.5wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+20.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Over53c88.44$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.652,25442.2%951 W · 1,303 L+3.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93f1…b99dbacked Under49c79.59$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.594763.8%30 W · 17 L+5.0wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+21.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbb7e…939cbacked Over58c72.97$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.3910%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe88b…fa5abacked Under45c50$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.534649.1%170 W · 176 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9310…569fbacked Under49c38.37$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.574151.2%21 W · 20 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Under37c35.8$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.622,00353.7%1,076 W · 927 L+101.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Under47c32.57$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.261,29645.1%584 W · 712 L-23.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ff7…9ab6backed Under49c29.01$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.768556.5%48 W · 37 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Over50c26.5$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.212,01250%1,006 W · 1,006 L+22.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd7e7…fef1backed Under49c20.83$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.626238.7%24 W · 38 L-7.4wins-0.12per pick51cpaid-23.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.