Tennis · resolved market
Adelaide International, Qualification: Jesper de Jong vs Thiago Agustin Tirante
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x882ae7e336910b3f5792c773817a50aa64a1b2a620678a489e9f9dd535ac8f70
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tiranteof Jong, Tirante
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $132,800
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $148,966
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $132,800 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Tirante | 64c | 37,893$24,232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,661.08 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Jong | 21c | 30,842$6,577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,576.79 | 1,410 | 38.4%542 W · 868 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34ed…cfe3backed Jong | 78c | 14,000$10,972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,972.5 | 73 | 57.5%42 W · 31 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Tirante | 40c | 11,591$4,622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,968.63 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Tirante | 35c | 9,407$3,298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,109.06 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Tirante | 55c | 8,851$4,865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,986.74 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Jong | 26c | 8,077$2,109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,109.32 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Tirante | 38c | 7,152$2,714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,438.75 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed Jong | 23c | 6,799$1,544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,543.82 | 156 | 48.7%76 W · 80 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdddc…ced2backed Jong | 63c | 6,707$4,255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,254.67 | 89 | 36%32 W · 57 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Jong | 25c | 4,891$1,199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,199.26 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7318…cc3cbacked Tirante | 77c | 4,732$3,645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,087.01 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99e4…e4c4backed Tirante | 72c | 2,981$2,151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$830.02 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…9e66backed Tirante | 73c | 2,750$2,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$742.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9d…e6c3backed Jong | 25c | 1,858$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.44 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked Tirante | 69c | 1,581$1,085 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496.18 | 1,158 | 44.4%514 W · 644 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2727…eef4backed Jong | 23c | 1,572$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 191 | 34%65 W · 126 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Tirante | 39c | 1,256$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$768.35 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked Tirante | 56c | 999.99$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.99 | 143 | 43.4%62 W · 81 L | -14.5wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Jong | 26c | 996.5$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.95 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf395…8e3cbacked Tirante | 58c | 855$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.1 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -3.4wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Tirante | 61c | 731.49$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.26 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36e8…deb6backed Tirante | 75c | 708.26$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Jong | 71c | 689.29$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.81 | 1,446 | 48.8%706 W · 740 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Jong | 59c | 500$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295 | 655 | 58.9%386 W · 269 L | -32.1wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Jong | 27c | 481.85$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.55 | 161 | 50.3%81 W · 80 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4a4…3117backed Jong | 20c | 438.6$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 123 | 13.8%17 W · 106 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 17cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9de5…e8f5backed Tirante | 73c | 357.44$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.86 | 96 | 69.8%67 W · 29 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x460d…9d5fbacked Tirante | 60c | 347$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.69 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +4.7wins | +0.21per pick | 47cpaid | +61.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Tirante | 63c | 322.02$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.69 | 248 | 44.8%111 W · 137 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Tirante | 33c | 300$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201 | 124 | 50.8%63 W · 61 L | +11.1wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xca39…4ed7backed Jong | 67c | 298.51$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 140 | 60.7%85 W · 55 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cea…b12dbacked Jong | 36c | 289.33$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.16 | 74 | 27%20 W · 54 L | -8.6wins | -0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x26fb…67b8backed Tirante | 77c | 282.67$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.02 | 651 | 57.1%372 W · 279 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1e…d5dfbacked Tirante | 60c | 280$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 182 | 50%91 W · 91 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a29…b807backed Jong | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bdb…a90dbacked Tirante | 24c | 218.42$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166 | 269 | 21.2%57 W · 212 L | -10.2wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc7…b90dbacked Jong | 11c | 205.45$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 52 | 25%13 W · 39 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Jong | 19c | 201.98$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.22 | 156 | 5.8%9 W · 147 L | -32.4wins | -0.21per pick | 27cpaid | -64.6%equal weight | 30-0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x3a46…ba91backed Jong | 61c | 164.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19f8…98f9backed Tirante | 62c | 159.63$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.23 | 108 | 62%67 W · 41 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c79…8b69backed Jong | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Jong | 23c | 120.51$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.72 | 275 | 39.6%109 W · 166 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Jong | 22c | 118.98$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.33 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Jong | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5699…418dbacked Jong | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 76 | 44.7%34 W · 42 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe9…9c50backed Jong | 42c | 95.24$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 253 | 55.7%141 W · 112 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc85f…15f8backed Tirante | 66c | 93.38$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.6 | 216 | 55.6%120 W · 96 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked Jong | 67c | 89.55$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1,056 | 55.4%585 W · 471 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3dc…ece8backed Jong | 41c | 84.8$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.62 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Tirante | 50c | 80.41$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.41 | 864 | 70%605 W · 259 L | +43.2wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed Tirante | 54c | 79.63$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.75 | 149 | 47.7%71 W · 78 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58f4…764ebacked Tirante | 56c | 72.75$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.31 | 287 | 26.8%77 W · 210 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x85c2…9730backed Tirante | 36c | 63.89$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.89 | 518 | 49.4%256 W · 262 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf3a…47debacked Tirante | 38c | 61.31$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.95 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40af…24f4backed Tirante | 66c | 60.61$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.61 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84a6…4aa8backed Tirante | 72c | 41.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.67 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +4.3wins | +0.43per pick | 47cpaid | +137.8%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x50f7…3da2backed Tirante | 63c | 38.7$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.19per pick | 68cpaid | +25%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x22c9…9764backed Tirante | 66c | 36$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f98…d18bbacked Tirante | 68c | 30.43$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.71 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcba6…bb05backed Tirante | 60c | 29.64$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.98 | 106 | 51.9%55 W · 51 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf6…5cc2backed Tirante | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 46 | 67.4%31 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 66cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Tirante | 67c | 26.9$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.9 | 78 | 56.4%44 W · 34 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe759…3648backed Tirante | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 155 | 51.6%80 W · 75 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa675…f477backed Tirante | 51c | 19.97$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.76 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Tirante | 65c | 17.33$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.14 | 537 | 52.3%281 W · 256 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8cd2…d794backed Tirante | 67c | 16.29$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb9…1591backed Tirante | 66c | 15.76$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.36 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1439…a0c6backed Tirante | 72c | 14.33$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.01 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.