Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C or higher on May 15?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd53161c901b68841cf3e8d112811da6f42e681e9cc51051b1d82dfafc9015379
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,978
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,947
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,978 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 166 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3dd3…ccacbacked No | 14c | 1,194$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.72 | 346 | 24.3%84 W · 262 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 69c | 899.5$624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.63 | 3,366 | 31.1%1,047 W · 2,319 L | -34.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed Yes | 35c | 634.13$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.58 | 4,104 | 56.6%2,322 W · 1,782 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed Yes | 62c | 549.88$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.26 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e7…8a71backed Yes | 51c | 456.5$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.15 | 123 | 29.3%36 W · 87 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3da9…13dfbacked Yes | 68c | 443.84$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.84 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b13…62d3backed No | 53c | 430.49$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228 | 1,052 | 31.2%328 W · 724 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb696…02d9backed Yes | 49c | 427.3$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.66 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0b6…20febacked No | 62c | 405.47$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked Yes | 44c | 386.37$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.59 | 999 | 63.5%634 W · 365 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec86…60e4backed No | 53c | 312.27$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.85 | 1,163 | 38.2%444 W · 719 L | +19.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae68…064abacked Yes | 59c | 299.45$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.2 | 2,555 | 63.8%1,631 W · 924 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x272e…6e99backed No | 29c | 283.02$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.52 | 167 | 24.6%41 W · 126 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2be…ff33backed Yes | 45c | 275.22$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.62 | 1,203 | 48.9%588 W · 615 L | -24.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a50…6c35backed No | 44c | 249.73$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b98…925ebacked Yes | 38c | 249.38$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.09 | 138 | 42.8%59 W · 79 L | +11.9wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +164.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5cbe…5bcfbacked No | 48c | 242.87$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.28 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xea6b…5ac2backed Yes | 41c | 241.09$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.09 | 534 | 37.3%199 W · 335 L | -29.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdeb5…e19cbacked Yes | 61c | 238.82$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.68 | 106 | 17.9%19 W · 87 L | -10.8wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -64.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbbad…8426backed No | 46c | 217.38$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.95 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf28f…841abacked No | 37c | 196.75$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.33 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb55c…04eabacked Yes | 73c | 194.92$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.63 | 201 | 72.6%146 W · 55 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 76cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa275…fd87backed No | 16c | 193.28$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 37cpaid | -63.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a15…aeabbacked No | 64c | 190.69$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.62 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 62cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33ab…b958backed Yes | 63c | 190.48$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3478…211cbacked Yes | 63c | 179.29$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.82 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 27cpaid | +121.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ce3…4291backed No | 35c | 179.28$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.92 | 2,165 | 23.8%516 W · 1,649 L | +83.8wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa708…9321backed Yes | 40c | 176.81$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.23 | 1,299 | 57.5%747 W · 552 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb537…14ccbacked No | 52c | 173.36$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.93 | 414 | 60.1%249 W · 165 L | -21.5wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x50f7…3da2backed Yes | 73c | 170.08$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.08 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…e5debacked No | 16c | 166.36$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.86 | 312 | 19.9%62 W · 250 L | -40.4wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -59.1%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xdf9e…4726backed Yes | 69c | 162.32$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.8 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 69cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f74…8774backed Yes | 36c | 160$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.4 | 212 | 36.8%78 W · 134 L | +14.2wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x984b…3c50backed No | 64c | 158.38$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.45 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -60.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdedd…17e1backed Yes | 56c | 158.36$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.13 | 2,432 | 60.4%1,470 W · 962 L | +30.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9df3…c680backed No | 10c | 146.49$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.98 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8774…d1f1backed No | 70c | 143.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa98a…a5a8backed Yes | 59c | 138.53$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.2 | 2,015 | 67.7%1,365 W · 650 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d72…9461backed No | 37c | 135.94$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 58 | 41.4%24 W · 34 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 34c | 133.49$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.9 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe06d…ac24backed Yes | 38c | 130.31$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.31 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | -6.3wins | -0.16per pick | 48cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7861…3084backed Yes | 64c | 125.79$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.9 | 152 | 70.4%107 W · 45 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed Yes | 40c | 121.05$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.08 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc721…6887backed No | 67c | 120.89$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.56 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.21per pick | 37cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7541…a0b0backed No | 61c | 118.73$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.46 | 56 | 33.9%19 W · 37 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a19…3c95backed Yes | 43c | 115.91$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.51 | 428 | 57%244 W · 184 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85bd…7f75backed No | 70c | 108.75$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 253 | 62.8%159 W · 94 L | +16.0wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x83ce…835cbacked No | 58c | 100.11$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.7 | 90 | 17.8%16 W · 74 L | -6.6wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcc09…88edbacked No | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 566 | 27.7%157 W · 409 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10e0…92e4backed Yes | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.71 | 277 | 44%122 W · 155 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6639…7202backed No | 61c | 100$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.76 | 127 | 35.4%45 W · 82 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf17…5c20backed No | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 1,787 | 25.7%460 W · 1,327 L | +132.5wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1648…c24bbacked Yes | 43c | 100$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd5…4390backed Yes | 79c | 99.99$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 66 | 60.6%40 W · 26 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4c…ea41backed No | 42c | 99.98$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.99 | 710 | 31.5%224 W · 486 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaba1…ac85backed No | 27c | 99.17$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.26 | 112 | 59.8%67 W · 45 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d6…8f66backed Yes | 52c | 97.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.61 | 180 | 52.8%95 W · 85 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbc4…35e3backed Yes | 55c | 90.4$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.39 | 114 | 38.6%44 W · 70 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3742…b912backed No | 56c | 87.79$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.21 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -3.1wins | -0.22per pick | 65cpaid | -40%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3970…d4dcbacked Yes | 52c | 84.76$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.68 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 48cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ac2…f949backed No | 49c | 81.14$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0604…19f0backed Yes | 37c | 80.71$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.71 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +126%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x65f7…ff15backed No | 25c | 80.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 269 | 58.4%157 W · 112 L | -16.9wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x43b1…aba6backed Yes | 42c | 74.96$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.27 | 774 | 28.6%221 W · 553 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5948…56cbbacked No | 27c | 74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 159 | 23.3%37 W · 122 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 18cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8302…8b44backed Yes | 69c | 72.65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.65 | 117 | 37.6%44 W · 73 L | -8.8wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfc9d…f963backed Yes | 63c | 70.91$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.91 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +18%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c38…f194backed Yes | 35c | 69$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.15 | 2,517 | 47.2%1,188 W · 1,329 L | +52.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92f4…63a4backed Yes | 67c | 67.28$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.28 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +65.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed Yes | 46c | 64.94$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.76 | 2,626 | 54%1,418 W · 1,208 L | -56.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87c0…244ebacked No | 48c | 62.88$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed Yes | 49c | 62.45$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.56 | 1,554 | 33.1%515 W · 1,039 L | -66.6wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f4…1e34backed Yes | 68c | 59.99$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.24 | 1,312 | 45%590 W · 722 L | +33.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x394a…ba7fbacked No | 48c | 59.98$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.79 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1a7…f77fbacked Yes | 50c | 58.84$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.44 | 180 | 38.9%70 W · 110 L | +13.2wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc55…522bbacked Yes | 77c | 58.57$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.57 | 178 | 31.5%56 W · 122 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d35…253cbacked No | 65c | 57.94$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbeec…707bbacked Yes | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.56 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x74cd…886abacked No | 46c | 55.52$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.54 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeb36…64f4backed No | 41c | 55$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.45 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.9wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8342…52a2backed Yes | 64c | 54.69$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.69 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 36cpaid | -74%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x517b…50b7backed No | 70c | 54.6$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.35 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -4.8wins | -0.27per pick | 65cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed No | 43c | 52.53$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.49 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39da…5318backed Yes | 38c | 52$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.24 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3302…489dbacked No | 34c | 51.95$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.62 | 22 | 4.5%1 W · 21 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 14cpaid | -85.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ef…87e4backed No | 44c | 51.9$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.74 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.32per pick | 65cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06ef…84d1backed Yes | 60c | 51.75$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5671…f39bbacked Yes | 59c | 51.25$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb65e…190dbacked No | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 84 | 51.2%43 W · 41 L | +6.6wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfa28…c37ebacked Yes | 44c | 50.13$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.88 | 3,939 | 35.3%1,392 W · 2,547 L | +35.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad58…7624backed No | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 542 | 32.3%175 W · 367 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4a7…396dbacked Yes | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.17per pick | 64cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa1…596cbacked No | 61c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 214 | 48.6%104 W · 110 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1615…7b3dbacked Yes | 54c | 48.07$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.07 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -53.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…c19ebacked No | 63c | 47.86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 612 | 49.5%303 W · 309 L | +30.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8091…3178backed Yes | 32c | 47.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.46 | 61 | 37.7%23 W · 38 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked No | 24c | 44.72$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.94 | 722 | 22.3%161 W · 561 L | -37.3wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc2d2…abf2backed No | 46c | 44.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.49 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e5e…ec7bbacked No | 57c | 43.52$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x12ea…a131backed Yes | 40c | 41.86$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.95 | 985 | 65.1%641 W · 344 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C or higher on May 15?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on May 15?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on May 15?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on May 15?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on May 15?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on May 15?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on May 15?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.