Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Northern Iowa Panthers vs. Belmont Bruins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x32b0ee9871dea0aa82cbd08877ea393f4370cf51a75c642cd51d8a0a66854b5c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Belmont Bruinsof Northern Iowa Panthers, Belmont Bruins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $44,925
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $45,364
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,925 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Belmont Bruins | 67c | 16,553$11,075 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,478.62 | 896 | 45.9%411 W · 485 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Northern Iowa Panthers | 33c | 12,500$4,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,125 | 906 | 45.4%411 W · 495 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Northern Iowa Panthers | 33c | 5,226$1,744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,743.68 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Belmont Bruins | 67c | 5,076$3,398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,677.15 | 374 | 41.7%156 W · 218 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Northern Iowa Panthers | 25c | 2,269$556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$556.38 | 1,074 | 43.3%465 W · 609 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Northern Iowa Panthers | 33c | 1,422$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.54 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Northern Iowa Panthers | 36c | 1,230$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.36 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Belmont Bruins | 61c | 1,216$737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.02 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Northern Iowa Panthers | 29c | 1,112$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.95 | 497 | 47.5%236 W · 261 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Northern Iowa Panthers | 33c | 1,040$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.98 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Northern Iowa Panthers | 25c | 1,013$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.36 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Belmont Bruins | 69c | 950.7$653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.88 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Belmont Bruins | 56c | 689.02$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.56 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe622…ea5ebacked Belmont Bruins | 67c | 600$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198 | 371 | 42.6%158 W · 213 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…bd17backed Belmont Bruins | 69c | 554.6$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.93 | 163 | 50.9%83 W · 80 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Northern Iowa Panthers | 32c | 503.69$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.7 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9b…414dbacked Belmont Bruins | 66c | 500$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170 | 302 | 49.3%149 W · 153 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Northern Iowa Panthers | 27c | 489.56$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.27 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Northern Iowa Panthers | 45c | 477.01$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.64 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9030…4a23backed Belmont Bruins | 69c | 434.78$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.78 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Northern Iowa Panthers | 34c | 427$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.18 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Belmont Bruins | 59c | 422.03$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.03 | 239 | 41.4%99 W · 140 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Northern Iowa Panthers | 32c | 382.8$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.5 | 922 | 46%424 W · 498 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Northern Iowa Panthers | 42c | 332.52$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.95 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Northern Iowa Panthers | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,231 | 47%578 W · 653 L | -17.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Belmont Bruins | 70c | 288$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.8 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Northern Iowa Panthers | 34c | 264.98$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.09 | 507 | 45.2%229 W · 278 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed Northern Iowa Panthers | 34c | 256.44$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.89 | 368 | 45.7%168 W · 200 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Belmont Bruins | 70c | 245$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.91 | 1,155 | 50.4%582 W · 573 L | -34.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Northern Iowa Panthers | 39c | 239.59$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.5 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Belmont Bruins | 78c | 229.23$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.43 | 1,058 | 55.8%590 W · 468 L | +34.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Northern Iowa Panthers | 32c | 220.12$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.96 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Belmont Bruins | 75c | 163$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.12 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee76…e67abacked Belmont Bruins | 68c | 160.29$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.29 | 113 | 62.8%71 W · 42 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Northern Iowa Panthers | 27c | 152.77$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.6 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Belmont Bruins | 66c | 140$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.6 | 1,074 | 47%505 W · 569 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Northern Iowa Panthers | 24c | 140$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.22 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31d7…42c1backed Northern Iowa Panthers | 55c | 133.49$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.42 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Belmont Bruins | 77c | 130.53$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.33 | 255 | 44.3%113 W · 142 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19f8…98f9backed Belmont Bruins | 80c | 125.48$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.47 | 484 | 62.8%304 W · 180 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Belmont Bruins | 79c | 120.98$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.85 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Northern Iowa Panthers | 37c | 119.77$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.62 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Northern Iowa Panthers | 31c | 100.48$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.15 | 378 | 35.7%135 W · 243 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb69…c3e5backed Belmont Bruins | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92cd…9740backed Belmont Bruins | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.06 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Northern Iowa Panthers | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.62 | 429 | 34.3%147 W · 282 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Northern Iowa Panthers | 27c | 90$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.6 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Belmont Bruins | 68c | 87.84$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.84 | 934 | 47.9%447 W · 487 L | -19.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Northern Iowa Panthers | 30c | 87.48$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.25 | 990 | 45.6%451 W · 539 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Northern Iowa Panthers | 20c | 78.57$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.7 | 940 | 36.9%347 W · 593 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Belmont Bruins | 71c | 76.65$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.98 | 682 | 54.3%370 W · 312 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Northern Iowa Panthers | 33c | 76.52$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.25 | 1,152 | 48.9%563 W · 589 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Belmont Bruins | 65c | 74$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.86 | 1,003 | 55.3%555 W · 448 L | +46.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Northern Iowa Panthers | 32c | 72.05$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.95 | 1,249 | 16.4%205 W · 1,044 L | -189.4wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd5…ef85backed Northern Iowa Panthers | 43c | 67.85$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.28 | 252 | 39.3%99 W · 153 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaafa…3471backed Northern Iowa Panthers | 32c | 62.49$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 252 | 30.6%77 W · 175 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Belmont Bruins | 76c | 58.15$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 998 | 48.4%483 W · 515 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd88a…1eefbacked Northern Iowa Panthers | 33c | 55.2$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.97 | 208 | 34.6%72 W · 136 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf280…b65bbacked Northern Iowa Panthers | 24c | 54.35$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 193 | 32.1%62 W · 131 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c10…4e76backed Northern Iowa Panthers | 29c | 51.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 200 | 24%48 W · 152 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51fb…b328backed Northern Iowa Panthers | 22c | 50.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.22 | 55 | 30.9%17 W · 38 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb3…88c1backed Belmont Bruins | 66c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 107 | 55.1%59 W · 48 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6f7…1f33backed Northern Iowa Panthers | 33c | 45.45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -4.6wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc653…bb8cbacked Belmont Bruins | 68c | 44.12$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.12 | 390 | 50.5%197 W · 193 L | -34.9wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb6…ff78backed Belmont Bruins | 78c | 38.46$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.46 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 68cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…15efbacked Northern Iowa Panthers | 32c | 33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.51 | 191 | 38.2%73 W · 118 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a29…c0b6backed Belmont Bruins | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 72cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x891f…88bfbacked Belmont Bruins | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0c…9db8backed Belmont Bruins | 74c | 22.83$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 127 | 48.8%62 W · 65 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8f…1f83backed Belmont Bruins | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 646 | 58.8%380 W · 266 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58e0…be18backed Belmont Bruins | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 86 | 64%55 W · 31 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae4…7c46backed Belmont Bruins | 54c | 18.52$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.43 | 133 | 50.4%67 W · 66 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Northern Iowa Panthers vs. Belmont Bruinsthis page
- Northern Iowa Panthers vs. Belmont Bruins: O/U 137.5Over won
- Northern Iowa Panthers vs. Belmont Bruins: O/U 139.5Over won
- Spread: Belmont Bruins (-4.5)Belmont Bruins won
- Spread: Belmont Bruins (-5.5)Northern Iowa Panthers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.