Us Midterms · resolved market
Will Jared Moskowitz win the FL-25 Democratic primary by at least 25%?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8deb8be8441ee7003dd57ee83ded2998ab11b0b844aa9828d3930cea22beb88f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Midtermsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $47,863
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $54,013
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,863 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 90 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Midterms is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xecaa…77a9backed No | 66c | 12,525$8,298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,298.02 | 166 | 51.2%85 W · 81 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b9…b836backed No | 66c | 11,281$7,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,500.34 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | +8.5wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9d…adc0backed Yes | 33c | 9,983$3,295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,688.86 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | +5.7wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa2ac…7f76backed Yes | 38c | 5,338$2,045 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,293.16 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 33cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3089…92f6backed Yes | 36c | 3,919$1,392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,526.73 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28ca…5d19backed Yes | 32c | 3,169$1,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,165.51 | 224 | 61.2%137 W · 87 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b25…7a69backed Yes | 34c | 2,673$910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,762.96 | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +61.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb97…eee8backed No | 71c | 1,609$1,142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,142.14 | 76 | 44.7%34 W · 42 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3de…e227backed Yes | 48c | 999.99$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515 | 76 | 26.3%20 W · 56 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b18…a1debacked No | 55c | 904.75$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.76 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Yes | 34c | 800.05$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.03 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae0…7483backed No | 55c | 632.27$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.34 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f9…2573backed Yes | 38c | 500$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +3.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked No | 57c | 443.31$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.76 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.16per pick | 23cpaid | -90.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 36c | 399.98$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.58 | 346 | 34.7%120 W · 226 L | -12.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked Yes | 37c | 393$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.8 | 120 | 42.5%51 W · 69 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 36c | 312.5$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 357 | 40.1%143 W · 214 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -26%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa67…19e1backed Yes | 29c | 264.52$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.81 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 20c | 235$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 129 | 49.6%64 W · 65 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 24c | 221$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.92 | 114 | 37.7%43 W · 71 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 50c | 178.72$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.36 | 180 | 33.9%61 W · 119 L | -8.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabb9…2b63backed No | 75c | 174.54$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.48 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +3.3wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed No | 19c | 170.84$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.14 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43cf…d143backed No | 62c | 158.16$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.06 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 63c | 156$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.28 | 704 | 15.2%107 W · 597 L | -110.1wins | -0.16per pick | 31cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed Yes | 60c | 139.86$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.87 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | -58.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 44c | 129.32$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.33 | 93 | 10.8%10 W · 83 L | -20.4wins | -0.22per pick | 33cpaid | -80.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x914b…e406backed No | 75c | 127.81$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 76cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…2ad3backed Yes | 50c | 120$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 201 | 39.3%79 W · 122 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d68…6af4backed No | 64c | 100$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f41…260ebacked No | 51c | 99.99$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 23c | 90.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.09 | 529 | 11.7%62 W · 467 L | -17.9wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 66c | 89.83$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.51 | 161 | 45.3%73 W · 88 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd306…883abacked No | 54c | 89.76$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d57…419cbacked Yes | 49c | 84.63$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.16 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x122c…fbedbacked No | 64c | 81$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.79 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8fc…0d3bbacked Yes | 30c | 75$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | +5.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4708…9580backed No | 55c | 71.72$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.45 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf26c…d5c5backed Yes | 29c | 68.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.12 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…7db4backed Yes | 34c | 66.15$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.75 | 127 | 48.8%62 W · 65 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86f0…610cbacked Yes | 33c | 60.6$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.6 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +3.3wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +55.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcf15…91c5backed Yes | 47c | 60$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.8 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.34per pick | 46cpaid | +70.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8373…f0bcbacked No | 52c | 59$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.68 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb980…73b0backed No | 19c | 56.05$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.65 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 36c | 56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.84 | 480 | 36.3%174 W · 306 L | -37.0wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9163…82aebacked Yes | 20c | 54.1$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.28 | 153 | 22.9%35 W · 118 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6639…7a83backed Yes | 37c | 54$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.02 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x764a…83d3backed No | 56c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -2.9wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9129…dd8ebacked Yes | 42c | 48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.9 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f55…f203backed No | 64c | 46.04$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.56 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2ca…4419backed No | 73c | 41.09$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 76cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda00…61b4backed No | 59c | 40$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.6 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -3.5wins | -0.15per pick | 41cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7871…cca1backed Yes | 47c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.4 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83f4…c2a8backed Yes | 37c | 40$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc833…eec3backed Yes | 37c | 40$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd322…8503backed No | 65c | 39.98$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.79 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a51…bf4cbacked No | 62c | 39.63$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.57 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…7156backed No | 62c | 37$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.94 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked Yes | 45c | 34.5$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.98 | 159 | 25.8%41 W · 118 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41e6…66b7backed No | 59c | 34.18$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.05 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5559…b9f0backed No | 51c | 32.8$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…d8e3backed No | 51c | 32.37$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.35 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9161…fb65backed No | 51c | 31$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked No | 43c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.79 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -3.0wins | -0.23per pick | 38cpaid | -75.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6d65…3781backed Yes | 39c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.3 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2106…4deabacked No | 62c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 36cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca75…0a64backed No | 58c | 29.97$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.38 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e9…b434backed No | 72c | 28.77$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.57 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad1…b4c5backed No | 51c | 28.13$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.35 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 55cpaid | -51%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa9…1737backed Yes | 46c | 28$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.12 | 95 | 31.6%30 W · 65 L | -10.1wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf453…a674backed No | 51c | 27.59$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.07 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eec…e587backed No | 67c | 25.92$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.37 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +58.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4131…d591backed No | 57c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fdd…77a4backed No | 65c | 25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc29…b3b6backed No | 51c | 23.11$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.79 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +3.9wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9c…8927backed No | 62c | 23$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.26 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed Yes | 49c | 21.64$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.04 | 179 | 30.7%55 W · 124 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9422…f273backed No | 71c | 20.9$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.84 | 89 | 59.6%53 W · 36 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b25…e4bebacked No | 61c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.1 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +3.4wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x40c2…b2fcbacked No | 67c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +3.1wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0c…9db8backed No | 64c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe457…5ab3backed No | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 120 | 34.2%41 W · 79 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x020c…f6c9backed No | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +70.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0cd…d931backed No | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb47…5d20backed No | 74c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2848…9fc7backed No | 69c | 19.8$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc925…6d24backed No | 56c | 18.84$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.64 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.5wins | -0.42per pick | 58cpaid | -77.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa415…6fb9backed No | 62c | 17$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.54 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f74…fa8bbacked No | 70c | 14.3$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Jared Moskowitz win the FL-25 Democratic primary by at least 25%?this page
- Will Jared Moskowitz win the FL-25 Democratic primary by 15–20%?No won
- Will Jared Moskowitz win the FL-25 Democratic primary by 20–25%?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.