Fifa International · resolved market
Will Kai Havertz score 3+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xee67399367ab061ecce3a6193806be526a510aa9fd090d9c0285f7f687f4c1e2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,884
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,522
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,884 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb410…7736backed No | 39c | 445.25$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.93 | 139 | 57.6%80 W · 59 L | +18.4wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xad58…7624backed Yes | 79c | 350$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 90 | 43.3%39 W · 51 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09b4…e56dbacked Yes | 72c | 343.05$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.05 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8a…f4a4backed Yes | 55c | 275.07$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.23 | 764 | 45.9%351 W · 413 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x373a…f4c1backed No | 26c | 262.66$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.4 | 341 | 51%174 W · 167 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf3…6077backed Yes | 74c | 210.33$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.71 | 481 | 40.1%193 W · 288 L | -17.3wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 550 | 44.7%246 W · 304 L | -27.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2b…9ff9backed No | 49c | 142.86$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 69 | 65.2%45 W · 24 L | +9.6wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +49.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 71c | 103$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.83 | 662 | 39.6%262 W · 400 L | -48.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa40d…ea7abacked Yes | 74c | 90$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.4 | 149 | 20.8%31 W · 118 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f1a…7a49backed Yes | 55c | 80.52$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.52 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Yes | 74c | 55$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.3 | 457 | 36.3%166 W · 291 L | -13.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x721a…9295backed Yes | 66c | 52.5$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.85 | 162 | 46.9%76 W · 86 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbe…c4b7backed Yes | 66c | 51$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.34 | 888 | 38.2%339 W · 549 L | +37.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x168f…9e00backed Yes | 51c | 42.86$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 235 | 43%101 W · 134 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70f5…e182backed Yes | 50c | 42.85$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.3wins | +0.59per pick | 42cpaid | +185.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8a4e…b38cbacked Yes | 52c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x426f…e76bbacked No | 48c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 80 | 43.8%35 W · 45 L | -5.3wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6216…1bd4backed No | 44c | 35.71$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.71 | 237 | 41.8%99 W · 138 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3578…8c5fbacked Yes | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -8.9wins | -0.20per pick | 59cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 44c | 30.82$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.56 | 412 | 31.6%130 W · 282 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 78c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 438 | 35.8%157 W · 281 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e08…e99bbacked No | 49c | 29$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.12 | 138 | 55.1%76 W · 62 L | +6.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x306b…179ebacked Yes | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1015…c873backed Yes | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 92 | 37%34 W · 58 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd832…67e0backed Yes | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x023d…3431backed Yes | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -3.8wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Kai Havertz score 3+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?this page
- Will Kai Havertz score 1+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes won
- Will Kai Havertz score 2+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes won
- Will Kai Havertz score 4+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Kai Havertz score 5+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Kai Havertz score 6+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.