Fifa International · resolved market
Will Panama be the furthest advancing CONCACAF nation at the World Cup?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3a6414de3df2b839bcbed9de79aedd441f9fdd7b4b7c6c753380c662442fb57a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,331
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,266
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,331 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5452…d448backed Yes | 54c | 2,602$1,407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,407.22 | 464 | 64.9%301 W · 163 L | +26.6wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a28…d58bbacked No | 45c | 502.92$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.36 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 47c | 500$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265 | 550 | 44.7%246 W · 304 L | -27.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed No | 47c | 275$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.75 | 302 | 41.4%125 W · 177 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74e0…af4bbacked No | 47c | 220$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.6 | 89 | 36%32 W · 57 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2a…3706backed No | 45c | 211.81$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.5 | 166 | 46.4%77 W · 89 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9366…a9f6backed No | 39c | 200$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6574…3230backed Yes | 60c | 160$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x476c…ce52backed No | 39c | 155.08$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.99 | 254 | 43.7%111 W · 143 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x154e…911fbacked No | 36c | 115.73$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.56 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | +7.7wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 46c | 111$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.09 | 285 | 54.4%155 W · 130 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7888…5ec9backed No | 45c | 107$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.85 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 39cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 43c | 100$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.3 | 648 | 50.6%328 W · 320 L | -13.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7fe…24e5backed Yes | 57c | 100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -4.8wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x758b…0a1cbacked No | 45c | 99.75$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.06 | 76 | 39.5%30 W · 46 L | -6.6wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Yes | 60c | 93.08$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.94 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b25…ff39backed Yes | 60c | 84.87$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.92 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2415…c70bbacked No | 39c | 76.92$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.92 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6eb0…766abacked No | 38c | 75.9$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.34 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ea…5843backed Yes | 56c | 67.36$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.05 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a91…0776backed Yes | 60c | 66.42$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.85 | 65 | 41.5%27 W · 38 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed Yes | 55c | 60$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 148 | 39.2%58 W · 90 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Yes | 68c | 55$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.4 | 457 | 36.3%166 W · 291 L | -13.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…80c0backed No | 45c | 54.78$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.08 | 53 | 86.8%46 W · 7 L | +9.6wins | +0.18per pick | 69cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 64c | 50.1$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.06 | 1,067 | 49.1%524 W · 543 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7175…ae4ebacked No | 46c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 165 | 49.1%81 W · 84 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc23…5a3dbacked Yes | 55c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e34…2851backed Yes | 30c | 48.76$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.63 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 44c | 43.07$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.3 | 486 | 36.6%178 W · 308 L | -48.4wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc6d7…5b28backed No | 45c | 43$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.65 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 38c | 40.84$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.32 | 148 | 58.8%87 W · 61 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e0…aadcbacked No | 45c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd28b…d99dbacked No | 45c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe457…5ab3backed No | 42c | 40$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.2 | 232 | 45.7%106 W · 126 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb437…cfb3backed No | 45c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 124 | 54%67 W · 57 L | +7.9wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xab50…5d0abacked No | 45c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +83.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 55c | 37.7$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.13 | 175 | 58.9%103 W · 72 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac06…5325backed No | 45c | 37$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.35 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 35c | 35.61$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.07 | 282 | 56.7%160 W · 122 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 37c | 34.03$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.28 | 1,135 | 40.2%456 W · 679 L | +5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae22…d954backed No | 45c | 34$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15f5…9028backed No | 45c | 34$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72a5…e36bbacked No | 45c | 34$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5065…a6bebacked No | 45c | 34$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb526…a7e6backed No | 45c | 34$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.7 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 41cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3247…9d26backed No | 45c | 34$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d9c…4182backed No | 45c | 34$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe0…ee7ebacked No | 45c | 31$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5f8…0cbabacked No | 45c | 31$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x369c…eab1backed Yes | 57c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.19 | 85 | 49.4%42 W · 43 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c65…dcf7backed Yes | 60c | 29.97$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.88 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 42c | 29$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.82 | 412 | 31.6%130 W · 282 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74c0…992bbacked No | 45c | 29$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 32cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70f5…e182backed No | 45c | 29$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.95 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.3wins | +0.59per pick | 42cpaid | +185.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x762f…25c2backed No | 45c | 29$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x426f…e76bbacked No | 43c | 24.37$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.89 | 80 | 43.8%35 W · 45 L | -5.3wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e13…e968backed Yes | 61c | 21.63$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.19 | 111 | 33.3%37 W · 74 L | -8.8wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x747e…3e23backed Yes | 62c | 21$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.92 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31e2…e7b8backed Yes | 56c | 20.7$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.56 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee81…6999backed Yes | 60c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 62cpaid | -55%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c61…59b9backed Yes | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08fe…bdaebacked Yes | 61c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f08…9e24backed Yes | 60c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked No | 70c | 19.5$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.85 | 345 | 54.2%187 W · 158 L | +17.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc8…f86dbacked Yes | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Panama be the furthest advancing CONCACAF nation at the World Cup?this page
- Will Curaçao be the furthest advancing CONCACAF nation at the World Cup?No won
- Will Haiti be the furthest advancing CONCACAF nation at the World Cup?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.