Fifa International · resolved market
Will Portugal be the highest-scoring team in Group K during the Group Stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5e5940d201c272cfa16be5cf37c555ac27fd997a7b768b32be4a875c23af8301
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,624
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,422
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,624 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7f15…52f1backed Yes | 79c | 1,306$1,032 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.15 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Yes | 42c | 1,042$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$609.22 | 534 | 48.5%259 W · 275 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa40d…ea7abacked Yes | 58c | 1,026$596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.9 | 149 | 20.8%31 W · 118 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd29d…b038backed No | 14c | 999.98$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.3 | 39 | 5.1%2 W · 37 L | -6.2wins | -0.16per pick | 21cpaid | -92.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2b…9ff9backed Yes | 57c | 900$513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387 | 69 | 65.2%45 W · 24 L | +9.6wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +49.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked No | 43c | 761.86$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.87 | 252 | 44.8%113 W · 139 L | +11.6wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 14c | 432.79$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.31 | 412 | 31.6%130 W · 282 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 18c | 331$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.22 | 285 | 54.4%155 W · 130 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf83e…4663backed No | 12c | 299.52$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.94 | 100 | 41%41 W · 59 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 42c | 225$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.5 | 148 | 58.8%87 W · 61 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x671a…2f1ebacked No | 42c | 224$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.08 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 22c | 216$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.06 | 648 | 50.6%328 W · 320 L | -13.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 14c | 200$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 13c | 184.39$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.23 | 1,135 | 40.2%456 W · 679 L | +5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked No | 13c | 170$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.88 | 609 | 8.4%51 W · 558 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 41c | 166$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.36 | 282 | 56.7%160 W · 122 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed No | 47c | 145$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.85 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 14c | 144.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.3 | 484 | 38.2%185 W · 299 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x770e…a3f2backed Yes | 61c | 143.34$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.98 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 69cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 16c | 129.64$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.3 | 779 | 9.6%75 W · 704 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb410…7736backed No | 20c | 112.73$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.9 | 139 | 57.6%80 W · 59 L | +18.4wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 28c | 110.56$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.76 | 662 | 39.6%262 W · 400 L | -48.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 18c | 110.19$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.46 | 486 | 36.6%178 W · 308 L | -48.4wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc681…109cbacked Yes | 80c | 105.73$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.15 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 460 | 47.2%217 W · 243 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc05…9a76backed No | 14c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 83 | 56.6%47 W · 36 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbb…ad2ebacked Yes | 63c | 82.75$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.29 | 77 | 44.2%34 W · 43 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 22c | 82.5$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.43 | 427 | 37.2%159 W · 268 L | -15.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbe…c4b7backed No | 37c | 62.51$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.19 | 888 | 38.2%339 W · 549 L | +37.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 17c | 59.75$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.46 | 154 | 55.2%85 W · 69 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce77…86c4backed Yes | 67c | 59$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.47 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x081a…66d0backed No | 35c | 57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 147 | 39.5%58 W · 89 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1237…06afbacked No | 39c | 56.4$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 80 | 41.3%33 W · 47 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac2d…a9c4backed Yes | 75c | 55.27$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.82 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 32c | 46.81$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.98 | 1,067 | 49.1%524 W · 543 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcceb…f030backed No | 39c | 43.54$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.98 | 130 | 51.5%67 W · 63 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2cf…464bbacked Yes | 60c | 42.45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.13 | 61 | 60.7%37 W · 24 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8a…f4a4backed Yes | 62c | 38.92$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.71 | 764 | 45.9%351 W · 413 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x426f…e76bbacked Yes | 63c | 32.19$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.91 | 80 | 43.8%35 W · 45 L | -5.3wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb8…d90abacked Yes | 78c | 25.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.79 | 104 | 35.6%37 W · 67 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c15…9a45backed Yes | 58c | 22.4$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 363 | 50.1%182 W · 181 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Portugal be the highest-scoring team in Group K during the Group Stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup?this page
- Will Colombia be the highest-scoring team in Group K during the Group Stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Congo DR be the highest-scoring team in Group K during the Group Stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.