South American Leagues · resolved market
Atlas FC vs. Club Puebla: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x64ad84c586e44ce11b5f712e368ae4308544fcd91e7ae7b9d4cbc4b62f61a09d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,361
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,371
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,361 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 58c | 3,626$2,109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,516.96 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae8…c2a8backed Over | 41c | 3,164$1,286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,285.6 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x882e…54cebacked Over | 45c | 444.44$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Under | 57c | 265$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.45 | 636 | 44.7%284 W · 352 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d67…cf38backed Under | 53c | 158$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.05 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d7…ba47backed Over | 50c | 150$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.25 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 51c | 124.77$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.32 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bec…6997backed Under | 52c | 123$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.04 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 62cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28a2…91a4backed Under | 52c | 114$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.72 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50fc…ba9abacked Under | 53c | 113$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.11 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.21per pick | 57cpaid | +55.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x714a…9dacbacked Over | 48c | 106.04$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.96 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…1661backed Over | 50c | 100.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 21 | 9.5%2 W · 19 L | -4.4wins | -0.21per pick | 30cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Under | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 80 | 46.3%37 W · 43 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7567…0923backed Under | 53c | 89$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.83 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f9…5526backed Under | 53c | 81$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.07 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +2.5wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Over | 50c | 70$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 84 | 57.1%48 W · 36 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef41…2473backed Over | 48c | 53.19$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.53 | 92 | 40.2%37 W · 55 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x939d…3b3cbacked Over | 51c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.7 | 92 | 38%35 W · 57 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3228…b4e3backed Over | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Under | 51c | 49.2$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.32 | 71 | 40.8%29 W · 42 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11a4…bbe8backed Over | 48c | 46$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.86 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 55c | 44.99$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.25 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb7…8745backed Over | 47c | 43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.21 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.46per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7219…fcf7backed Over | 48c | 42$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bea…6ce6backed Under | 53c | 41$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.27 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38dc…4c5fbacked Over | 48c | 39$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.72 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -3.1wins | -0.45per pick | 59cpaid | -69.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5935…b8dabacked Over | 48c | 34$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.32 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x789b…4c08backed Under | 61c | 33.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.19 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00fe…eff7backed Under | 53c | 33$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.51 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e2c…6aaebacked Over | 49c | 32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.68 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42bb…2138backed Over | 47c | 31$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.57 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.25per pick | 47cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 58c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 373 | 55.2%206 W · 167 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce01…5c2abacked Over | 47c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f53…1ddcbacked Over | 47c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67de…1d9bbacked Over | 47c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 50cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb990…3d1cbacked Over | 48c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5253…b898backed Over | 47c | 29$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.63 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1c1…090dbacked Over | 47c | 28$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.16 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -35%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x711d…fe4bbacked Over | 48c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7773…f936backed Over | 48c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Under | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.86 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Atlas FC vs. Club Puebla: O/U 2.5this page
- Atlas FC vs. Club Puebla: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Atlas FC vs. Club Puebla: O/U 1.5Under won
- Atlas FC vs. Club Puebla: O/U 3.5Under won
- Atlas FC vs. Club Puebla: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.