South American Leagues · resolved market
Atlas FC vs. Club Puebla: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe1b65e5c8eb0f80a0eaba3c6f9fa0cbd9d94472befd88edcf291e7c1f385fca8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,641
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,644
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,641 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 20c | 850.28$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$679.25 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 75c | 347.94$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 166 | 56%93 W · 73 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 49c | 177$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.36 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…d361backed Over | 59c | 170.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d67…cf38backed Over | 72c | 157$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.75 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7567…0923backed Over | 73c | 156$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.88 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88de…1091backed Under | 25c | 150.07$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.56 | 146 | 30.8%45 W · 101 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4130…a35bbacked Over | 72c | 133$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.76 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 59cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 38c | 128.49$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.14 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 80c | 125$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 359 | 58.8%211 W · 148 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed Over | 29c | 118$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.8 | 308 | 41.2%127 W · 181 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bec…6997backed Over | 73c | 113$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.49 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 62cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 54c | 110.53$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.51 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00fe…eff7backed Over | 74c | 93$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.82 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Over | 74c | 87$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.38 | 71 | 40.8%29 W · 42 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd0…4938backed Over | 73c | 76$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.48 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc427…ee41backed Over | 72c | 68$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.96 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.22per pick | 59cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x699c…3600backed Over | 73c | 59$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.07 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 63cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18e5…260cbacked Over | 43c | 58.31$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0aae…e845backed Under | 28c | 43$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.16 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.18per pick | 43cpaid | +69.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x62f0…afe6backed Under | 28c | 42$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.41 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +51.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60a6…7ed2backed Under | 28c | 40$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.93 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25c3…eb62backed Under | 28c | 39$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.08 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa27…dbdcbacked Under | 28c | 38$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.36 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 51cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4aff…c91bbacked Over | 73c | 32$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.36 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Over | 74c | 30$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.16 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…2cd1backed Over | 73c | 17.12$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 108 | 80.6%87 W · 21 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 76cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Atlas FC vs. Club Puebla: O/U 1.5this page
- Atlas FC vs. Club Puebla: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Atlas FC vs. Club Puebla: O/U 2.5Under won
- Atlas FC vs. Club Puebla: O/U 3.5Under won
- Atlas FC vs. Club Puebla: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.