CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Team StRoGo vs Team CS2NEWS (BO3)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbc9b4c439ad9c5c8a899cd2c42461ced5e6e38636dc837d1928dc3648eee99e0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team CS2NEWSof Team StRoGo, Team CS2NEWS
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,805
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $51,706
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,805 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5d58…9a15backed Team StRoGo | 15c | 7,000$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050 | 144 | 41.7%60 W · 84 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6408…d2aebacked Team StRoGo | 60c | 4,732$2,828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,827.84 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.15per pick | 56cpaid | -26%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf353…b287backed Team StRoGo | 1c | 4,403$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.03 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 11cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Team StRoGo | 1c | 4,074$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.51 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x724b…e780backed Team CS2NEWS | 40c | 3,500$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,100 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b64…eaf4backed Team CS2NEWS | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 134 | 46.3%62 W · 72 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1309…ad99backed Team StRoGo | 13c | 383.8$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.89 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Team CS2NEWS | 32c | 313.75$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.75 | 240 | 38.3%92 W · 148 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e7…caa8backed Team StRoGo | 9c | 300$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 77 | 6.5%5 W · 72 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec1…5c2ebacked Team StRoGo | 27c | 300$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd62b…86d0backed Team CS2NEWS | 45c | 222.61$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.61 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f4…88e6backed Team StRoGo | 14c | 214.44$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.84 | 120 | 27.5%33 W · 87 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1e…ff14backed Team CS2NEWS | 42c | 200$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 78 | 56.4%44 W · 34 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb33…0acbbacked Team StRoGo | 16c | 125.31$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 149 | 51.7%77 W · 72 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdcd…b8e6backed Team CS2NEWS | 79c | 109.13$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.06 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +32%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e3…9efebacked Team CS2NEWS | 78c | 102.23$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.53 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +15%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa226…5092backed Team StRoGo | 58c | 100$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 69 | 27.5%19 W · 50 L | -5.1wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac0c…739cbacked Team StRoGo | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.25 | 660 | 34.1%225 W · 435 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Team StRoGo | 58c | 93.75$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.38 | 172 | 46.5%80 W · 92 L | -16.9wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Team StRoGo | 15c | 79.2$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 597 | 3%18 W · 579 L | -221.0wins | -0.37per pick | 40cpaid | -90.7%equal weight | 11-0.36 edge/pick |
| 0xf5be…46cebacked Team StRoGo | 30c | 69$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90eb…68dfbacked Team StRoGo | 28c | 66.56$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.93 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33f1…7a59backed Team StRoGo | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 185 | 43.2%80 W · 105 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Team CS2NEWS | 58c | 49.92$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.13 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dae…a50bbacked Team StRoGo | 58c | 31.2$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.98 | 142 | 33.8%48 W · 94 L | -18.8wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xce42…5cddbacked Team StRoGo | 58c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2315…39b1backed Team CS2NEWS | 70c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 26 | 73.1%19 W · 7 L | +4.0wins | +0.15per pick | 58cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Team StRoGo vs Team CS2NEWS (BO3)this page
- Counter-Strike: Team StRoGo vs Team CS2NEWS - Map 1 WinnerTeam CS2NEWS won
- Counter-Strike: Team StRoGo vs Team CS2NEWS - Map 2 WinnerTeam CS2NEWS won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.