NHL · resolved market
Islanders vs. Blue Jackets: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xccb32f0e7c48b346cb6a5af8c1299b3d30f65edd61fed6149b27dffa68a5b991
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,596
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,510
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,596 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x03e8…1697backed Over | 45c | 8,317$3,743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,742.52 | 670 | 51%342 W · 328 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Under | 55c | 5,007$2,739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,268.21 | 236 | 42.8%101 W · 135 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed Under | 55c | 3,045$1,675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,370.25 | 177 | 44.6%79 W · 98 L | -12.0wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Under | 55c | 2,164$1,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$973.8 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ba…3061backed Over | 46c | 1,611$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735.05 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Over | 45c | 1,060$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.63 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Over | 44c | 765.25$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.71 | 881 | 51.2%451 W · 430 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 43c | 573.68$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.68 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53b9…292abacked Under | 57c | 573.68$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.68 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 54c | 491.67$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.17 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Under | 54c | 444$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.24 | 495 | 46.5%230 W · 265 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Over | 45c | 250$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.5 | 237 | 51.5%122 W · 115 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97ae…82bdbacked Over | 45c | 250$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.5 | 56 | 32.1%18 W · 38 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Over | 46c | 170$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.2 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Under | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 599 | 50.4%302 W · 297 L | +20.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 55c | 74$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.55 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e3…9efebacked Under | 57c | 57.84$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.87 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -3.2wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6919…d27bbacked Under | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 134 | 53%71 W · 63 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Over | 44c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 728 | 47.9%349 W · 379 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 44c | 35.71$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.71 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce0a…2d88backed Under | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 84 | 57.1%48 W · 36 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d28…7a6dbacked Over | 45c | 22.36$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.06 | 352 | 48%169 W · 183 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Islanders vs. Blue Jackets: O/U 6.5this page
- Islanders vs. Blue JacketsBlue Jackets won
- Islanders vs. Blue Jackets: O/U 5.5Over won
- Spread: Blue Jackets (-1.5)Blue Jackets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.