TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Coritiba FBC vs. São Paulo FC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$43,420
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$43,622

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,420 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 101 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdb22…6478backed Over43c29,388$12,615 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,615.4929446.6%137 W · 157 L+0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under59c14,593$8,668 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,925.548,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over42c9,275$3,938 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,938.1937851.3%194 W · 184 L+7.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xccec…1dfcbacked Under57c4,832$2,754 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,077.583100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf164…8fa4backed Under57c3,630$2,069 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,560.93167.7%21 W · 10 L+3.5wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+19.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb177…1914backed Under57c3,435$1,958 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,477.093148.4%15 W · 16 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Under57c2,632$1,509 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,123.0427050.7%137 W · 133 L-11.7wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under57c1,583$898 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$685.63,40551.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e12…20e9backed Under57c1,404$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$603.511163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+9.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x17cd…7423backed Under57c1,354$772 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$582.2742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-22.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x48e2…2a5fbacked Under57c740.91$422 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$318.594845.8%22 W · 26 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Under56c712.17$399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$313.3517055.3%94 W · 76 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Under57c700$399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30118742.2%79 W · 108 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-13.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under58c480.22$279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.6949449%242 W · 252 L+22.2wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x49ed…a2fbbacked Under57c322$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.464346.5%20 W · 23 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Over6c300$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181,48748.7%724 W · 763 L-17.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Under57c300$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.511459.6%68 W · 46 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed Under57c279.59$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.0221849.5%108 W · 110 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe1fc…bcdfbacked Under57c254.65$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.5450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Under57c230$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.757856.4%44 W · 34 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84d7…298fbacked Over21c215.83$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.3514022.1%31 W · 109 L-8.6wins-0.06per pick28cpaid-29.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9351…ef0fbacked Under56c180.07$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.23560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd2dc…b3c5backed Under57c180$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.53857.9%22 W · 16 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed Under57c180$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.57055.7%39 W · 31 L+0.3wins0.00per pick55cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8765…ed81backed Over14c177$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.78580%0 W · 58 L-4.7wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Under58c135$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.719460.3%117 W · 77 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf57…ecc4backed Under58c129.42$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.969162.6%57 W · 34 L+0.2wins0.00per pick62cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84fc…9db4backed Under57c120$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$513959%23 W · 16 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick57cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7398…f4b6backed Under57c120$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$515250%26 W · 26 L-2.9wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-13.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf79e…9a84backed Under57c120$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$515151%26 W · 25 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-12.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x864c…735fbacked Under57c120$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$515350.9%27 W · 26 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdcf7…bcbebacked Under57c120$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$513759.5%22 W · 15 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick57cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa620…ca56backed Under57c120$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$515453.7%29 W · 25 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd2a2…004abacked Under57c120$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$515560%33 W · 22 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6df…22a9backed Under57c120$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$515151%26 W · 25 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-12.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed Under58c112$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.045160.8%31 W · 20 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick58cpaid-1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed Under57c100$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.56558.5%38 W · 27 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+1.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x46af…1f6abacked Under57c100$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.52360.9%14 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick60cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa7b5…798cbacked Under57c100$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.52259.1%13 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under57c100$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.872,17043.7%948 W · 1,222 L-53.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9075…cfe8backed Over24c83.57$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2049341%202 W · 291 L-0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd03b…856cbacked Under57c80$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$342360.9%14 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-5.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Under57c75.58$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.26842.6%29 W · 39 L-8.7wins-0.13per pick55cpaid-29.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xc16f…0f4fbacked Under58c75$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.55752.6%30 W · 27 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-11.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Under59c70.18$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.535758%207 W · 150 L+17.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+22.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb152…ef4cbacked Under57c69.01$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.641258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+16.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaed4…4cc9backed Under63c63.35$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.741560%9 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0fad…aa0fbacked Under58c60$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.25556.4%31 W · 24 L+0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa800…cc71backed Under58c60$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.26162.3%38 W · 23 L+4.2wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6afd…5cb1backed Under57c60$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.54163.4%26 W · 15 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed Under58c60$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.26962.3%43 W · 26 L+4.4wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x778e…ccd1backed Under57c60$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.56656.1%37 W · 29 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0275…596dbacked Over44c56.82$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251060%6 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x02f4…4effbacked Under58c51.72$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.724763.8%30 W · 17 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xed19…0cffbacked Over44c50.86$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.3810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8bdf…8adabacked Under57c50$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.253759.5%22 W · 15 L0.0wins0.00per pick59cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea2e…d695backed Under57c50$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.254259.5%25 W · 17 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1248…8db1backed Over22c49.99$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111838.9%7 W · 11 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd332…f85dbacked Over44c43.18$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1920%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc1aa…93febacked Over44c43.18$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa604…5c14backed Over44c42.73$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb66f…93f8backed Over45c42.22$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1920%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x52ca…54f0backed Under58c42.03$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.594261.9%26 W · 16 L+7.0wins+0.17per pick45cpaid+35.5%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x1cda…b1f8backed Over44c40.91$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1820%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8292…056abacked Over44c40.51$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1820%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x253d…e3d7backed Over44c40.45$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1820%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x23e6…c6a0backed Under57c40.19$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.281100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x15ee…512dbacked Under57c40$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.224253.3%129 W · 113 L+8.8wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4edd…b1a1backed Under57c40$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173458.8%20 W · 14 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe2d6…66b9backed Under57c39.72$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.081100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x26ef…4866backed Over44c38.64$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1720%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x69df…eb1cbacked Over44c38.28$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1720%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf93d…59b9backed Over44c38.23$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1720%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xef85…12aabacked Over45c38.13$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1720%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa152…11c6backed Over44c36.36$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1620%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xeb61…3680backed Over44c35.96$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x804f…c444backed Over44c34.09$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1520%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa85c…e1f2backed Over44c34.09$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a5b…9e37backed Over44c34.09$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c1f…30a5backed Over44c34.09$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1520%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x50ab…d559backed Over44c33.74$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1520%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xeeb9…b7eebacked Over45c33.64$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8243…56ebbacked Over45c33.33$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf06b…791abacked Over44c31.82$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1420%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xccd5…c59bbacked Over44c31.82$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1420%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4b1a…af71backed Over44c31.52$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1420%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x554a…09c8backed Over45c31.41$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-35.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5589…a2c7backed Over45c31.36$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1420%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0bf2…713ebacked Over45c31.36$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1420%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5558…f9c4backed Under57c30$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.91546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-15.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xafc1…0fbdbacked Over44c29.55$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1320%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x918e…29e8backed Over44c29.55$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1310%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x38c1…044abacked Over44c29.41$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.9410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6dad…f0dcbacked Over44c29.24$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7816…d1c1backed Over45c29.19$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1310%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xac6d…5fb2backed Over45c29.14$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1320%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe601…c728backed Under57c25.02$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.637058.6%41 W · 29 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdac0…caeebacked Over44c25$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1120%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x65c5…3e5fbacked Over44c25$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1120%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9a49…dd01backed Under57c22.81$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.81366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.29per pick37cpaid+86.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.