Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Power Rangers vs AVULUS (BO3) - PREMIER SERIES Play-In Group A
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x282075e6d6c4a3d05735e9a1febf429266ba48fee6fa657f2144e22496dec1ce
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Power Rangersof Power Rangers, AVULUS
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,883
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,883 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed AVULUS | 1c | 4,097$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.99 | 616 | 9.7%60 W · 556 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a95…343bbacked AVULUS | 25c | 800$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 698 | 35.2%246 W · 452 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed AVULUS | 26c | 567.83$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.64 | 62 | 37.1%23 W · 39 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1fc…bcdfbacked Power Rangers | 75c | 405.95$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.37 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +37%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x289e…49b2backed Power Rangers | 74c | 405.15$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7576…3ff4backed Power Rangers | 77c | 336.72$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.34 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Power Rangers | 75c | 253$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.25 | 75 | 65.3%49 W · 26 L | +6.2wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa35c…a113backed AVULUS | 28c | 250$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 617 | 45.7%282 W · 335 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Power Rangers | 74c | 248.53$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.63 | 76 | 57.9%44 W · 32 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed Power Rangers | 59c | 200$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d3…b8debacked Power Rangers | 62c | 200$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 700 | 52.3%366 W · 334 L | +47.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x13c7…11d9backed AVULUS | 24c | 173.71$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.69 | 335 | 41.2%138 W · 197 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked Power Rangers | 75c | 152.41$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.1 | 138 | 54.3%75 W · 63 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d8…c3f8backed AVULUS | 49c | 150$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.1 | 80 | 35%28 W · 52 L | -8.6wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Power Rangers | 74c | 140.96$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.21 | 869 | 49%426 W · 443 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1311…a3abbacked Power Rangers | 66c | 122.08$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.35 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4afb…ed2bbacked Power Rangers | 73c | 121.56$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.82 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked Power Rangers | 71c | 119.42$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.24 | 913 | 56.1%512 W · 401 L | +16.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed AVULUS | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 479 | 51.8%248 W · 231 L | +17.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc869…bc8dbacked AVULUS | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 374 | 41.2%154 W · 220 L | -17.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked Power Rangers | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 228 | 45.6%104 W · 124 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f3d…1f52backed Power Rangers | 75c | 89.77$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.78 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Power Rangers | 60c | 88.87$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.72 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked AVULUS | 25c | 86.69$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.7 | 605 | 42.6%258 W · 347 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed AVULUS | 54c | 78.88$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.65 | 615 | 48.8%300 W · 315 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa10b…9885backed AVULUS | 27c | 66$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b45…d5f4backed Power Rangers | 74c | 58.96$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.33 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 65cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe564…221abacked AVULUS | 27c | 55.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 93 | 22.6%21 W · 72 L | -7.1wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1349…dc1fbacked Power Rangers | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed AVULUS | 33c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 466 | 49.8%232 W · 234 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x461c…f74bbacked AVULUS | 26c | 48.08$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed AVULUS | 49c | 46.59$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.83 | 260 | 50.4%131 W · 129 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5043…c922backed AVULUS | 30c | 46.25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.06 | 22 | 9.1%2 W · 20 L | -7.4wins | -0.34per pick | 43cpaid | -82.5%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xdbda…8bd5backed Power Rangers | 75c | 44$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.08 | 132 | 59.8%79 W · 53 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7db…4fa3backed AVULUS | 57c | 41.14$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.28 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3123…b44dbacked Power Rangers | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 125 | 68%85 W · 40 L | +12.7wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0caa…b2bdbacked Power Rangers | 74c | 33.34$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.74 | 147 | 62.6%92 W · 55 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xebe2…e4d2backed AVULUS | 56c | 22.84$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.84 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78d0…a663backed Power Rangers | 79c | 22.61$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.75 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcaca…a0b6backed Power Rangers | 74c | 14.97$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf2f…4b47backed Power Rangers | 75c | 13.34$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.33 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 77cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Power Rangers vs AVULUS (BO3) - PREMIER SERIES Play-In Group Athis page
- Dota 2: Power Rangers vs AVULUS - Game 1 WinnerAVULUS won
- Game Handicap: PR (-1.5) vs AVULUS (+1.5)AVULUS won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.