NHL · resolved market
SHL: Faerjestad vs. Froelunda HC
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x961a5f9a90105824ad22fba04cf42d73cae5c084525d161f6440c90aa0772223
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Faerjestadof Faerjestad, Froelunda HC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,154
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,535
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,154 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x56d4…9c57backed Froelunda HC | 49c | 6,785$3,323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,322.79 | 231 | 55%127 W · 104 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xded2…42e0backed Faerjestad | 7c | 5,835$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,426.55 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.93per pick | 7cpaid | +1,328.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7807…b083backed Faerjestad | 47c | 5,000$2,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,650 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Faerjestad | 53c | 2,170$1,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,019.9 | 159 | 49.7%79 W · 80 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fbe…b84fbacked Froelunda HC | 48c | 2,124$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,019.89 | 182 | 58.2%106 W · 76 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0137…ad88backed Froelunda HC | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x607c…8ec3backed Froelunda HC | 53c | 1,500$795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$795 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40b5…88d8backed Froelunda HC | 53c | 1,500$795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$795 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f70…9f21backed Froelunda HC | 50c | 1,476$738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$737.78 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Faerjestad | 50c | 1,400$697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$702.69 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Faerjestad | 50c | 1,237$613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624.5 | 530 | 50.6%268 W · 262 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…44f1backed Faerjestad | 52c | 913.46$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.46 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Faerjestad | 54c | 500$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 764 | 50.4%385 W · 379 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40ce…bf90backed Faerjestad | 54c | 500$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Faerjestad | 51c | 488.25$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.6 | 138 | 45.7%63 W · 75 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa5…4f56backed Faerjestad | 48c | 479.17$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.17 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x800b…152abacked Faerjestad | 52c | 403.85$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.85 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Faerjestad | 50c | 392.4$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.2 | 339 | 50.1%170 W · 169 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Faerjestad | 48c | 390.14$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.87 | 275 | 47.6%131 W · 144 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Faerjestad | 52c | 336.54$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.54 | 1,093 | 51.8%566 W · 527 L | +14.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Froelunda HC | 49c | 321$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.47 | 112 | 48.2%54 W · 58 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19f8…98f9backed Froelunda HC | 66c | 304.29$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 417 | 57.3%239 W · 178 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Faerjestad | 47c | 293.77$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.58 | 224 | 43.3%97 W · 127 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1fc…bcdfbacked Faerjestad | 52c | 210$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.8 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c74…00bcbacked Faerjestad | 52c | 208$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40da…0b85backed Faerjestad | 48c | 207.29$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.79 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | +5.9wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x23d4…5607backed Froelunda HC | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 204 | 48.5%99 W · 105 L | +12.1wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…583abacked Faerjestad | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked Faerjestad | 51c | 198.31$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.33 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Faerjestad | 64c | 190.23$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.86 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e6…71e4backed Faerjestad | 48c | 178$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.56 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Faerjestad | 51c | 162.14$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.45 | 495 | 46.5%230 W · 265 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00fe…eff7backed Faerjestad | 48c | 122$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.44 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b23…cad2backed Faerjestad | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfccd…02d6backed Faerjestad | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.8wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf01e…aed4backed Faerjestad | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | +5.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x102f…9b6ebacked Faerjestad | 48c | 99$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.48 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Froelunda HC | 24c | 96.92$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.26 | 1,028 | 53.2%547 W · 481 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x983a…ac6bbacked Faerjestad | 48c | 80$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.6 | 130 | 49.2%64 W · 66 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b3…7c36backed Faerjestad | 14c | 79.23$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.86per pick | 14cpaid | +614.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e48…c958backed Froelunda HC | 52c | 76$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.52 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4130…a35bbacked Froelunda HC | 47c | 75$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.25 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cd6…5d1cbacked Froelunda HC | 55c | 73.29$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +14%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1d…219ebacked Faerjestad | 48c | 72.45$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.45 | 73 | 58.9%43 W · 30 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1769…94efbacked Faerjestad | 45c | 69.98$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.14 | 349 | 49.9%174 W · 175 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70c8…006cbacked Froelunda HC | 60c | 58.19$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6e75…e81dbacked Froelunda HC | 52c | 53$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.56 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2382…4628backed Faerjestad | 45c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 130 | 49.2%64 W · 66 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bd4…8473backed Faerjestad | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7d8…2374backed Froelunda HC | 52c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +17%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24ca…5829backed Faerjestad | 53c | 39.77$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.61 | 70 | 60%42 W · 28 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x20a8…d960backed Faerjestad | 42c | 38.19$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.2 | 366 | 62%227 W · 139 L | +39.1wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x72ea…d4f2backed Faerjestad | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 79 | 45.6%36 W · 43 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…9f5abacked Froelunda HC | 52c | 37$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.24 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4970…21f6backed Faerjestad | 48c | 37$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.24 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe91…4462backed Froelunda HC | 52c | 36$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.72 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480a…e3c9backed Froelunda HC | 52c | 33$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.16 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa554…e53dbacked Froelunda HC | 52c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19fe…dbd8backed Froelunda HC | 52c | 28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.56 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8358…956bbacked Froelunda HC | 52c | 27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.04 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2877…dc5bbacked Froelunda HC | 52c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.20per pick | 55cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x888b…8f3fbacked Froelunda HC | 52c | 23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.96 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -3.3wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -52%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb67d…5d2dbacked Faerjestad | 48c | 22.92$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe13a…6bb5backed Froelunda HC | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -3.3wins | -0.26per pick | 49cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.