CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x78ad2dca3bb85e51622adef8a185239aa278bd8c471ba7e8c19a93029ff0a575
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $200,544
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $202,729
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $200,544 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Over | 46c | 184,995$85,387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85,387.45 | 392 | 49%192 W · 200 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Under | 53c | 106,800$56,604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50,196.15 | 210 | 51%107 W · 103 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Under | 55c | 37,694$20,732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,962.5 | 424 | 40.3%171 W · 253 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b9f…5fbabacked Under | 55c | 9,211$5,066 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,144.95 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.38per pick | 37cpaid | +100.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9b…414dbacked Over | 44c | 7,217$3,176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,176.16 | 111 | 46.8%52 W · 59 L | -7.6wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6902…b4cabacked Under | 56c | 7,143$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,142.86 | 257 | 51.8%133 W · 124 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae8…c2a8backed Under | 55c | 6,782$3,730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,051.9 | 248 | 46.8%116 W · 132 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Under | 55c | 6,045$3,313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,731.76 | 195 | 49.7%97 W · 98 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5e…4e1abacked Under | 55c | 5,511$3,031 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,479.97 | 120 | 38.3%46 W · 74 L | -8.1wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…44f1backed Under | 55c | 3,645$2,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,640.45 | 178 | 47.2%84 W · 94 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcf0…f4b7backed Under | 55c | 2,340$1,287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,053 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab6…078ebacked Under | 55c | 2,331$1,282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,048.91 | 239 | 52.3%125 W · 114 L | +14.6wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Over | 45c | 1,790$806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$805.5 | 162 | 50%81 W · 81 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e12…20e9backed Under | 55c | 1,115$613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.62 | 109 | 47.7%52 W · 57 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Over | 46c | 1,086$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.56 | 156 | 41%64 W · 92 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Under | 53c | 1,010$535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.6 | 176 | 48.3%85 W · 91 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Under | 55c | 1,009$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.09 | 471 | 47.3%223 W · 248 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0341…a679backed Under | 55c | 909.09$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.09 | 172 | 47.7%82 W · 90 L | +8.0wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcf0…ad64backed Under | 55c | 874.55$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.55 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3704…0e84backed Under | 55c | 757.56$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.59 | 209 | 44%92 W · 117 L | -11.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5bd3…394cbacked Under | 55c | 727.27$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.27 | 93 | 49.5%46 W · 47 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9b…7e7cbacked Over | 46c | 650$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.2 | 210 | 42.9%90 W · 120 L | -12.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3955…74cabacked Under | 55c | 647.91$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.56 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -26%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b87…6a47backed Over | 48c | 500$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238 | 130 | 59.2%77 W · 53 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc0…6872backed Under | 55c | 450$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.67 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Under | 54c | 400$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed Under | 53c | 240.38$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.38 | 124 | 26.6%33 W · 91 L | -10.9wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe1fc…bcdfbacked Under | 55c | 223.02$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.36 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf901…5f48backed Under | 55c | 211.51$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.29 | 84 | 44%37 W · 47 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x05f9…f351backed Over | 52c | 149$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.72 | 112 | 45.5%51 W · 61 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Under | 55c | 109.09$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.09 | 253 | 52.2%132 W · 121 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Over | 36c | 108.39$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.68 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Under | 57c | 106.8$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.01 | 263 | 36.5%96 W · 167 L | -17.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Over | 37c | 100.46$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.25 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8912…1712backed Under | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 277 | 35.7%99 W · 178 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac98…7281backed Over | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 165 | 27.9%46 W · 119 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x711a…9240backed Under | 53c | 99.94$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.02 | 60 | 40%24 W · 36 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…e5e6backed Under | 55c | 88.93$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.02 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4712…b584backed Under | 55c | 72.73$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.73 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 62cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1eca…576bbacked Under | 55c | 72.73$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.73 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2221…ec1bbacked Under | 72c | 69.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.63 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked Under | 54c | 68.56$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.54 | 1,157 | 48.2%558 W · 599 L | +3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 53c | 66.66$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.33 | 231 | 45.9%106 W · 125 L | -7.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 33c | 57.25$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.15 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Under | 53c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 91 | 37.4%34 W · 57 L | -8.2wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 50c | 45$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.57 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaadb…85f9backed Over | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 259 | 41.3%107 W · 152 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa775…ab33backed Over | 43c | 40$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 195 | 54.4%106 W · 89 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…2defbacked Over | 35c | 39.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.99 | 807 | 41.3%333 W · 474 L | -10.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe22f…fe42backed Under | 65c | 38.31$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.31 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52f2…5a5dbacked Over | 36c | 37.82$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.69 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafdb…cdf6backed Under | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ec2…c5f1backed Under | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 29 | 79.3%23 W · 6 L | +5.4wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x72ea…d4f2backed Under | 57c | 35.19$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.19 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53db…480ebacked Over | 31c | 35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.85 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb29b…b228backed Under | 55c | 31.62$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed Under | 55c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4bb…15eebacked Under | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x920b…c3d4backed Under | 77c | 22.08$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Over | 49c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.69 | 1,304 | 26.5%345 W · 959 L | -89.4wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3744…3e65backed Under | 53c | 18.87$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.87 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15fe…b778backed Under | 55c | 18.35$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f76…e91bbacked Under | 55c | 18.22$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4b4…15e3backed Under | 77c | 16.88$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3145…fcf5backed Under | 73c | 16.51$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.46 | 127 | 61.4%78 W · 49 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x795c…e693backed Over | 76c | 16.2$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.34 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a39…bf2abacked Under | 77c | 15.58$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.58 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 60cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x28cd…33a2backed Under | 77c | 14.29$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group BTeam Falcons won
- Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Team Falcons - Map 1 WinnerTeam Falcons won
- Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Team Falcons - Map 2 WinnerTeam Falcons won
- Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs 3DMAX (+1.5)Team Falcons won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.