CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs 3DMAX (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe700eb8072a4a65959883aa2a9057e5aba708edfad41eb0b14f3de40d5084de5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Falconsof Team Falcons, 3DMAX
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $326,884
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $327,593
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $326,884 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Team Falcons | 46c | 314,449$145,647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168,802.44 | 424 | 40.3%171 W · 253 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9b…414dbacked 3DMAX | 54c | 200,000$107,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107,000 | 111 | 46.8%52 W · 59 L | -7.6wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked 3DMAX | 54c | 112,000$60,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60,479.8 | 392 | 49%192 W · 200 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed 3DMAX | 58c | 5,282$3,061 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,060.67 | 194 | 55.2%107 W · 87 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Team Falcons | 42c | 5,027$2,112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,914.99 | 670 | 41.8%280 W · 390 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc949…fa93backed 3DMAX | 54c | 3,705$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 79 | 40.5%32 W · 47 L | -7.3wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3542…c3c8backed Team Falcons | 46c | 2,200$1,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,188 | 166 | 53%88 W · 78 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79c9…b2f1backed 3DMAX | 54c | 929.66$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 116 | 38.8%45 W · 71 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked 3DMAX | 51c | 599.96$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.98 | 1,144 | 49.4%565 W · 579 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ec…9c6dbacked Team Falcons | 51c | 593.58$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.58 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13c7…11d9backed Team Falcons | 43c | 499.97$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.98 | 267 | 43.1%115 W · 152 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked 3DMAX | 45c | 462.85$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.64 | 1,157 | 48.2%558 W · 599 L | +3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29df…6b6abacked 3DMAX | 55c | 452.84$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5f…1ae6backed 3DMAX | 53c | 395$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.35 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Team Falcons | 49c | 283.88$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.88 | 228 | 43.9%100 W · 128 L | -8.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99fe…b61cbacked Team Falcons | 47c | 249.99$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.49 | 482 | 42.1%203 W · 279 L | -13.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x098b…1fa5backed Team Falcons | 44c | 228.5$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.96 | 124 | 41.1%51 W · 73 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bd3…394cbacked Team Falcons | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 93 | 49.5%46 W · 47 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Team Falcons | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 581 | 49.2%286 W · 295 L | -17.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17e2…d472backed Team Falcons | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 266 | 24.4%65 W · 201 L | -26.9wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa097…8795backed Team Falcons | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 173 | 47.4%82 W · 91 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed 3DMAX | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 608 | 48%292 W · 316 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb95…a5ccbacked 3DMAX | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Team Falcons | 47c | 199.99$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Team Falcons | 47c | 195$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.35 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe180…889bbacked 3DMAX | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 75 | 58.7%44 W · 31 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42a7…96f9backed 3DMAX | 57c | 114.04$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 90 | 47.8%43 W · 47 L | -7.0wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x75f3…0e78backed 3DMAX | 53c | 109.43$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 285 | 41.1%117 W · 168 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d5f…91fdbacked Team Falcons | 48c | 104.25$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.21 | 104 | 38.5%40 W · 64 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed 3DMAX | 53c | 103.77$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 687 | 53.9%370 W · 317 L | -21.6wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbc…b637backed 3DMAX | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 625 | 38.6%241 W · 384 L | -16.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde5a…4db5backed Team Falcons | 78c | 99.44$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.44 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc706…4eeabacked Team Falcons | 49c | 95.27$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.59 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa295…98bcbacked 3DMAX | 53c | 75.55$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -3.0wins | -0.19per pick | 50cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed Team Falcons | 47c | 63.26$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.53 | 179 | 44.1%79 W · 100 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0af…5490backed 3DMAX | 53c | 62.26$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 92 | 60.9%56 W · 36 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x05f9…f351backed 3DMAX | 57c | 61$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.48 | 112 | 45.5%51 W · 61 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Team Falcons | 45c | 60.61$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.34 | 156 | 41%64 W · 92 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4790…2dd7backed Team Falcons | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.08 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | -7.4wins | -0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0d91…df18backed 3DMAX | 58c | 47.29$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.58 | 95 | 65.3%62 W · 33 L | +11.2wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x711a…9240backed 3DMAX | 58c | 44.21$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.84 | 60 | 40%24 W · 36 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47e1…c2babacked 3DMAX | 57c | 40.35$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 471 | 46.7%220 W · 251 L | +14.5wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa778…1e87backed 3DMAX | 53c | 38.72$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbac0…f02ebacked 3DMAX | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x92b8…7895backed 3DMAX | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf100…0097backed 3DMAX | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3955…74cabacked 3DMAX | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -26%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0919…fcbcbacked 3DMAX | 56c | 25.93$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.52 | 44 | 29.5%13 W · 31 L | -6.4wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe315…3911backed Team Falcons | 49c | 23.02$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.84 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfcf…600ebacked 3DMAX | 50c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x304b…a619backed 3DMAX | 55c | 21.82$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92f1…75a5backed 3DMAX | 53c | 19.32$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1182…b6bbbacked Team Falcons | 78c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.3 | 123 | 51.2%63 W · 60 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs 3DMAX (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group BTeam Falcons won
- Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Team Falcons - Map 1 WinnerTeam Falcons won
- Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Team Falcons - Map 2 WinnerTeam Falcons won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.