CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Yawara Esports vs Prison Breakers (BO3) - CCT South America Series #7 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcbb12bf729769198f9313dda34732a3b816a28d4654c149c329ec9fbef25caea
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yawara Esportsof Yawara Esports, Prison Breakers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,450
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,521
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,450 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yawara Esports | 41c | 1,323$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$784.61 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70c5…457fbacked Yawara Esports | 25c | 1,000$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +2.3wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc76…f087backed Prison Breakers | 63c | 850.14$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.59 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Yawara Esports | 39c | 451.54$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.15 | 1,033 | 61.6%636 W · 397 L | +87.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfda5…53d7backed Prison Breakers | 69c | 350.11$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.58 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked Prison Breakers | 50c | 326.39$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.2 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4aae…d563backed Prison Breakers | 65c | 299.99$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 82 | 67.1%55 W · 27 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yawara Esports | 28c | 292.22$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.43 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83d3…9f1bbacked Yawara Esports | 63c | 280$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.6 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -21%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a7a…7181backed Yawara Esports | 27c | 278.7$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.7 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1fc…bcdfbacked Yawara Esports | 50c | 202$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2fc…b168backed Prison Breakers | 63c | 158.89$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.26per pick | 76cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30f4…8c1ebacked Yawara Esports | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 279 | 47.7%133 W · 146 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed Yawara Esports | 24c | 80.83$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.38 | 198 | 43.9%87 W · 111 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -24%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Yawara Esports | 47c | 56.86$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.42 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc079…8881backed Yawara Esports | 50c | 50.37$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.19 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed Prison Breakers | 67c | 47.46$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.8 | 293 | 50.2%147 W · 146 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf71a…fa40backed Yawara Esports | 29c | 42.58$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.13 | 44 | 29.5%13 W · 31 L | -5.3wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3a67…a192backed Prison Breakers | 38c | 35.31$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.54 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ad…22b8backed Yawara Esports | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Prison Breakers | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 719 | 51%367 W · 352 L | +28.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa785…acb6backed Yawara Esports | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5700…a854backed Yawara Esports | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 116 | 50%58 W · 58 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4454…c78abacked Yawara Esports | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 48cpaid | -50%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d4…6297backed Prison Breakers | 69c | 19.2$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.23 | 202 | 43.6%88 W · 114 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Yawara Esports vs Prison Breakers (BO3) - CCT South America Series #7 Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: Yawara Esports vs Prison Breakers - Map 1 WinnerYawara Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.