Tennis · resolved market
Brisbane International, Qualification: Arthur Cazaux vs Martin Landaluce
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x314c5d63864366c61c08ea93d2725866028710e64737f39209f3c9f6b778e4aa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cazauxof Cazaux, Landaluce
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,410
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,895
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,410 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Landaluce | 0c | 7,420$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.32 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Landaluce | 25c | 1,590$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.71 | 8,241 | 45.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L | +166.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Landaluce | 39c | 1,067$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.25 | 1,694 | 50.5%856 W · 838 L | +13.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c0c…a55dbacked Cazaux | 66c | 750$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.5 | 229 | 65.9%151 W · 78 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Landaluce | 34c | 681.08$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.17 | 441 | 25.4%112 W · 329 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked Cazaux | 76c | 377.83$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.68 | 632 | 47.6%301 W · 331 L | -15.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Cazaux | 62c | 369.84$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.9 | 1,655 | 50.1%829 W · 826 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Landaluce | 21c | 356.83$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.51 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Landaluce | 38c | 351.65$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.63 | 872 | 51.1%446 W · 426 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Landaluce | 8c | 300$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 459 | 9.6%44 W · 415 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd29b…b518backed Cazaux | 65c | 261.27$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.39 | 108 | 43.5%47 W · 61 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1fc…bcdfbacked Cazaux | 61c | 252.05$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.3 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +3.7wins | +0.37per pick | 53cpaid | +83.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xef13…53d2backed Cazaux | 65c | 249.82$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.4 | 250 | 43.2%108 W · 142 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x788f…8c1ebacked Cazaux | 68c | 232.72$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.47 | 184 | 60.3%111 W · 73 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06eb…1a5fbacked Cazaux | 69c | 230.87$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.57 | 52 | 65.4%34 W · 18 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc954…642fbacked Cazaux | 61c | 207.56$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.02 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x545e…0185backed Landaluce | 19c | 200$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.15per pick | 29cpaid | -65.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa082…f877backed Cazaux | 67c | 200$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf26…3edebacked Cazaux | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Landaluce | 32c | 143.3$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.45 | 348 | 42.2%147 W · 201 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ba0…ff3abacked Cazaux | 64c | 116.75$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.82 | 431 | 58.2%251 W · 180 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad1b…5da0backed Cazaux | 67c | 104.48$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.48 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.33per pick | 73cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…4d2dbacked Landaluce | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 108 | 9.3%10 W · 98 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed Cazaux | 61c | 98.36$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.36 | 2,348 | 46.5%1,092 W · 1,256 L | +54.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0483…483bbacked Cazaux | 65c | 92.31$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.31 | 69 | 55.1%38 W · 31 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70a1…978abacked Cazaux | 66c | 68.65$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.65 | 884 | 46.8%414 W · 470 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Landaluce | 36c | 42.18$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.18 | 730 | 48.8%356 W · 374 L | -18.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e82…86f6backed Cazaux | 64c | 40.63$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.63 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | -4.4wins | -0.09per pick | 62cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Landaluce | 40c | 33.33$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.33 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef5e…4c1dbacked Cazaux | 64c | 32.52$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.71 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ac0…63c8backed Cazaux | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72ea…d4f2backed Cazaux | 64c | 31.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.45 | 54 | 64.8%35 W · 19 L | +5.2wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +19%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Brisbane International, Qualification: Arthur Cazaux vs Martin Landalucethis page
- Cazaux vs. Landaluce: Match O/U 23.5Under won
- Cazaux vs. Landaluce: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
- Set Handicap: Cazaux (-1.5) vs Landaluce (+1.5)Cazaux won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.