Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Milwaukee Panthers (-8.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xffbcbb380dd8bc2d911f587a57bb6d018278b62919ab591601adc7f87082cb50
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cleveland State Vikingsof Milwaukee Panthers, Cleveland State Vikings
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,084
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,091
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,084 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaca2…b9a1backed Cleveland State Vikings | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,449.97 | 417 | 52.5%219 W · 198 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Milwaukee Panthers | 49c | 3,625$1,777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,776.72 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed Milwaukee Panthers | 49c | 935.83$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.56 | 422 | 46.2%195 W · 227 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Cleveland State Vikings | 52c | 420.83$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202 | 898 | 50%449 W · 449 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e51…e4f7backed Milwaukee Panthers | 49c | 300.02$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.01 | 583 | 45.5%265 W · 318 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb13e…7c59backed Milwaukee Panthers | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1fc…bcdfbacked Milwaukee Panthers | 49c | 197.08$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.57 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 53cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x27d2…b0f8backed Milwaukee Panthers | 49c | 142.86$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 78 | 39.7%31 W · 47 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Cleveland State Vikings | 52c | 115.38$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.38 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Milwaukee Panthers | 49c | 113$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.37 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf5f…56a0backed Cleveland State Vikings | 49c | 108.1$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.13 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Milwaukee Panthers | 48c | 101$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.48 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9773…67e8backed Milwaukee Panthers | 48c | 79$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.92 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Cleveland State Vikings | 47c | 75.04$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.09 | 668 | 31.4%210 W · 458 L | -43.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -23%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…e1f5backed Milwaukee Panthers | 49c | 70$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.3 | 1,162 | 55.2%641 W · 521 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b20dbacked Milwaukee Panthers | 51c | 58.27$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 349 | 52.1%182 W · 167 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfe…ed69backed Cleveland State Vikings | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 198 | 51.5%102 W · 96 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…bdecbacked Cleveland State Vikings | 52c | 31$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.88 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12af…0730backed Cleveland State Vikings | 52c | 21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.08 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11f2…a7a0backed Milwaukee Panthers | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 92 | 59.8%55 W · 37 L | +6.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Milwaukee Panthers (-8.5)this page
- Cleveland State Vikings vs. Milwaukee PanthersCleveland State Vikings won
- Cleveland State Vikings vs. Milwaukee Panthers: O/U 161.5Over won
- Cleveland State Vikings vs. Milwaukee Panthers: O/U 162.5Over won
- Spread: Milwaukee Panthers (-9.5)Cleveland State Vikings won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.