Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Cleveland State Vikings vs. Milwaukee Panthers: O/U 161.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3db91718a717b6cbbcad96a28a0fadc71199bd2973a1f69c7c5cee053cb5d652
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $38,836
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,860
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,836 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe248…f293backed Under | 51c | 27,368$13,952 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,951.54 | 781 | 55.6%434 W · 347 L | +38.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 49c | 22,357$10,947 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,409.89 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Over | 48c | 5,459$2,628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,831.04 | 841 | 47.4%399 W · 442 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Under | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040 | 279 | 47.3%132 W · 147 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Over | 50c | 997.96$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$498.98 | 1,231 | 47%578 W · 653 L | -17.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cbf…82abbacked Over | 45c | 839.37$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.37 | 132 | 47%62 W · 70 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Over | 48c | 700$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364 | 820 | 48.2%395 W · 425 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Under | 55c | 700$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385 | 557 | 49.2%274 W · 283 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Over | 48c | 600$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310 | 1,487 | 43%639 W · 848 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15f9…607ebacked Under | 51c | 584.8$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.19 | 321 | 46.7%150 W · 171 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68a9…e73abacked Under | 52c | 529$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.08 | 267 | 49.1%131 W · 136 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c7e…0f7abacked Under | 52c | 526.66$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.04 | 232 | 48.3%112 W · 120 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea81…eeaebacked Over | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 1,227 | 27.8%341 W · 886 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Under | 52c | 404.23$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.27 | 693 | 50.4%349 W · 344 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 48c | 384.09$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.48 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb0…3182backed Under | 51c | 342.04$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.52 | 413 | 54%223 W · 190 L | +13.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 48c | 331$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.63 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e51…e4f7backed Over | 50c | 295.62$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.81 | 583 | 45.5%265 W · 318 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Over | 48c | 262.98$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.64 | 974 | 47.9%467 W · 507 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Under | 52c | 229$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.08 | 139 | 40.3%56 W · 83 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Under | 54c | 228.26$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.26 | 285 | 39.6%113 W · 172 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1d…219ebacked Over | 49c | 183.67$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.67 | 114 | 49.1%56 W · 58 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 49c | 177.88$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.05 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Over | 50c | 137.28$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.55 | 624 | 51.1%319 W · 305 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf01e…aed4backed Over | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 86 | 46.5%40 W · 46 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…3e29backed Under | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 283 | 54.1%153 W · 130 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4794…d6e5backed Over | 45c | 88.89$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.89 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d72…c356backed Under | 53c | 80$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.4 | 194 | 45.9%89 W · 105 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…e1f5backed Under | 55c | 70$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.25 | 1,162 | 55.2%641 W · 521 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5101…4a4fbacked Over | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 226 | 56.2%127 W · 99 L | +14.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x309d…3a8abacked Under | 48c | 62$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.76 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +4.4wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f8c…2157backed Over | 49c | 54.13$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.86 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9405…c071backed Under | 49c | 49.98$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.49 | 445 | 49.4%220 W · 225 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfe…ed69backed Over | 51c | 49.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.49 | 198 | 51.5%102 W · 96 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed Over | 48c | 47.02$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.45 | 423 | 39.2%166 W · 257 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d21…08d3backed Under | 53c | 37.06$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.64 | 138 | 52.2%72 W · 66 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…9b15backed Over | 52c | 33$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.84 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | +4.0wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x33b7…c747backed Over | 52c | 29$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.92 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ba2…8f7cbacked Under | 52c | 21.96$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.42 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cleveland State Vikings vs. Milwaukee Panthers: O/U 161.5this page
- Cleveland State Vikings vs. Milwaukee PanthersCleveland State Vikings won
- Cleveland State Vikings vs. Milwaukee Panthers: O/U 162.5Over won
- Spread: Milwaukee Panthers (-8.5)Cleveland State Vikings won
- Spread: Milwaukee Panthers (-9.5)Cleveland State Vikings won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.