NHL · resolved market
AHL: Rochester Americans vs. Utica Comets
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc77ccd3a170d03202dd5d7f2eb1a7bbb23d38e9c00066592feeb0db9905df676
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Utica Cometsof Rochester Americans, Utica Comets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,651
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,643
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,651 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x56d4…9c57backed Utica Comets | 42c | 5,960$2,474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,486.13 | 231 | 55%127 W · 104 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Rochester Americans | 59c | 1,744$1,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,028.96 | 275 | 47.6%131 W · 144 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Rochester Americans | 59c | 1,256$741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$741.04 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed Rochester Americans | 57c | 1,124$641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640.89 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Rochester Americans | 60c | 500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 530 | 50.6%268 W · 262 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Utica Comets | 41c | 430.51$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.77 | 118 | 33.1%39 W · 79 L | -9.9wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a8…1b66backed Rochester Americans | 57c | 391.43$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.06 | 122 | 50%61 W · 61 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f18…c9fdbacked Rochester Americans | 57c | 285.96$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1fc…bcdfbacked Rochester Americans | 60c | 247.95$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.77 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Rochester Americans | 59c | 231$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.29 | 764 | 50.4%385 W · 379 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…8d89backed Rochester Americans | 60c | 183.33$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 196 | 51.5%101 W · 95 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb906…2a75backed Rochester Americans | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.27per pick | 44cpaid | +73.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed Rochester Americans | 59c | 161$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.99 | 304 | 47.4%144 W · 160 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…8be8backed Utica Comets | 67c | 71.56$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.72 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Utica Comets | 43c | 60$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.5 | 740 | 54.5%403 W · 337 L | +22.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fff…665bbacked Rochester Americans | 57c | 38.6$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0d…7f43backed Rochester Americans | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x581b…f083backed Rochester Americans | 59c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.7 | 68 | 47.1%32 W · 36 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd68…503bbacked Rochester Americans | 60c | 26.05$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.63 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.