TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Qatar Total Open: Ann Li vs Leylah Fernandez

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Liof Li, Fernandez
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$56,715
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$64,821

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,715 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 117 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2727…eef4backed Fernandez47c6,078$2,856 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,856.0819134%65 W · 126 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa82a…a759backed Li41c6,000$2,458 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,542.333955.2%187 W · 152 L+18.2wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+12.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5ba6…0f07backed Fernandez58c4,487$2,603 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,602.6866949.6%332 W · 337 L-11.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Li53c4,263$2,265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,997.712,86544.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L+6.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec13…862bbacked Li42c2,900$1,218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,6827736.4%28 W · 49 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3cfb…0628backed Li42c2,365$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,365.4830241.7%126 W · 176 L-7.9wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-11.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Fernandez51c2,341$1,198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,197.8111,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb0e3…dd00backed Li53c1,887$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$886.7910547.6%50 W · 55 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+16.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Fernandez47c1,515$714 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$713.722,74630.8%846 W · 1,900 L-67.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe167…03a1backed Li60c1,500$905 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$594.9931647.8%151 W · 165 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked Fernandez59c1,271$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75047552.4%249 W · 226 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ca1…aea0backed Li42c1,200$504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6961,16137.6%437 W · 724 L-27.8wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x033e…1bb9backed Li56c1,161$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$510.6130645.1%138 W · 168 L-11.2wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4699…5051backed Fernandez8c1,158$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.279737.9%77 W · 896 L-20.2wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-28.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x42ac…7b70backed Fernandez59c979.66$578 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5781428.6%4 W · 10 L-2.0wins-0.14per pick43cpaid-34.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x39c6…0ac1backed Fernandez59c812.71$478 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$478.533241.6%138 W · 194 L-10.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x640b…ec00backed Li56c765.39$428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$337.719738.1%37 W · 60 L-4.9wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-9.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Fernandez42c761.55$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$322.222,98239.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L-109.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7b7f…e826backed Li78c643.29$501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.5769350.5%350 W · 343 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Fernandez32c624.74$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.153,07244.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L-30.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x41be…4d81backed Li44c510.91$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$283.911100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+125.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Fernandez59c500$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29542141.8%176 W · 245 L-12.2wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-11.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdd7e…f17dbacked Fernandez61c500$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30670%0 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa585…3673backed Fernandez59c490.86$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28920%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf332…3c89backed Fernandez43c467.1$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20040141.9%168 W · 233 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x66b1…340fbacked Fernandez45c415.77$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.381,15844.4%514 W · 644 L+2.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Li51c408.95$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.9149143%211 W · 280 L-15.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4173…d3edbacked Li42c397.36$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.7555646.4%258 W · 298 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf3ef…7be6backed Fernandez59c389.74$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.953132.3%10 W · 21 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-30%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3d78…a4ccbacked Fernandez59c373.46$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22033055.8%184 W · 146 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed Li41c370.86$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.819643.8%42 W · 54 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-11%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9494…308abacked Li54c370.37$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.374839.6%19 W · 29 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-17%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Li68c369.74$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.212,42647.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf4a4…3117backed Fernandez58c367.05$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.312313.8%17 W · 106 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick17cpaid-4.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9351…ef0fbacked Fernandez59c338.98$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010440.4%42 W · 62 L-5.4wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-16.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Fernandez36c301.92$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.456,78648.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L+56.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc0c…218abacked Fernandez61c301.18$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18454138.1%206 W · 335 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa288…adbebacked Fernandez22c299.99$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.83745.9%17 W · 20 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-23.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd15a…80dbbacked Fernandez37c272.97$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.73875%6 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+21%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0a1a…db57backed Fernandez41c260.39$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.68229.1%2 W · 20 L-6.4wins-0.29per pick38cpaid-79.3%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0x7c2c…d14bbacked Fernandez36c259.97$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.95425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-54%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe1fc…bcdfbacked Fernandez59c244.98$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.541090%9 W · 1 L+3.7wins+0.37per pick53cpaid+83.6%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x5baf…3e56backed Li42c238.1$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.165840.9%269 W · 389 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1333…cf1cbacked Li43c235$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.951100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda16…6da2backed Li55c233.8$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.4627543.3%119 W · 156 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x53a5…f73bbacked Fernandez57c230$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.110%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x33ba…89cfbacked Li44c230$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2329…f232backed Fernandez57c225$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.2510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc0a6…4734backed Fernandez56c225$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Fernandez55c222.48$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.361,03954.6%567 W · 472 L+37.6wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2fdd…4698backed Li43c220$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd29b…a8e8backed Fernandez56c220$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.210%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x57c3…3201backed Fernandez64c219.11$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.6818957.7%109 W · 80 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-4.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa77a…e6f9backed Fernandez67c216.72$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.3721448.1%103 W · 111 L-13.9wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-15.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Li39c215.45$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.427,72447.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L+41.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3a0…1b86backed Li43c215$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.551100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6c2d…1a4ebacked Li44c215$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd540…44c6backed Fernandez56c214$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.8410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd993…032ebacked Fernandez57c214$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.9810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1405…8960backed Fernandez57c214$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.9810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa59a…6e3fbacked Li43c213$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.411100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c1f…fa02backed Li44c213$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.281100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8eec…c462backed Li44c209$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.041100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x887b…cfd7backed Fernandez56c208$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.4810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0fb5…5cbebacked Li43c206$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.421100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeb31…e54bbacked Fernandez57c205$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.8510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb44a…687fbacked Fernandez57c204$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.2810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3318…aa83backed Li43c203$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.711100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x43d7…1c75backed Fernandez59c200$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1181,24041.2%511 W · 729 L-2.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3ab3…9f95backed Li42c199.99$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.992462.5%15 W · 9 L+3.2wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+18.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xf02c…7852backed Fernandez39c164.1$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$642166.7%14 W · 7 L+2.4wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+27.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Li58c162.53$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.452,48945.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L-27.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe649…4e37backed Li44c159.09$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.091,41441.1%581 W · 833 L-21.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a52…06cbbacked Fernandez63c143.97$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9017056.5%96 W · 74 L+5.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Li51c143.25$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.1888455%486 W · 398 L+37.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9bc5…908abacked Fernandez58c130$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.458753.7%315 W · 272 L-10.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4db…cb61backed Li64c121.27$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.669100%9 W · 0 L+3.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+74.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xfe12…93aebacked Fernandez57c102.64$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$594341.9%18 W · 25 L0.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid+5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec6c…23c7backed Fernandez58c100$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5815648.7%76 W · 80 L+7.2wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+1.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x45db…8f65backed Fernandez63c100$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$632343.5%10 W · 13 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Fernandez33c95.6$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.443351.5%17 W · 16 L+2.2wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x49ed…a2fbbacked Fernandez59c93$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.8720043.5%87 W · 113 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb75e…1737backed Li42c92.64$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.6424446.3%113 W · 131 L-0.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c9e…bba8backed Fernandez56c90$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.016740.3%27 W · 40 L-5.8wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-34.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Fernandez58c85$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.378152.8%412 W · 369 L+21.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1b50…87fbbacked Fernandez59c84.75$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508547.1%40 W · 45 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa446…d9c6backed Fernandez59c84.44$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.8215354.2%83 W · 70 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x752e…ecbfbacked Fernandez59c76.27$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$455242.3%22 W · 30 L-3.8wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-19.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4bf2…d280backed Fernandez57c70$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.965849.4%325 W · 333 L+8.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf9e2…8459backed Fernandez59c67$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.5310%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xab68…1bb1backed Fernandez60c66.31$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4010157.4%58 W · 43 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd5a1…0544backed Fernandez58c63$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.4431753.6%170 W · 147 L+17.4wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+13.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x26fb…67b8backed Li61c62$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.1865157.1%372 W · 279 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5696…b3aabacked Fernandez58c61.99$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.957150.7%36 W · 35 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+10.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Li43c59.72$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.321,21233.1%401 W · 811 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x61e4…fb60backed Li55c54.55$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.557546.7%35 W · 40 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Li42c53.64$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.111,24533.9%422 W · 823 L-5.6wins0.00per pick34cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x750d…566bbacked Fernandez56c52.79$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.5716356.4%92 W · 71 L+8.7wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+4.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe0f6…a5eebacked Li45c51.12$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.2759954.9%329 W · 270 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x75d1…7a5fbacked Fernandez47c50$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.520554.6%112 W · 93 L+13.2wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+15.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.