Tennis · resolved market
Segovia: Alex Marti Pujolras vs Oliver Crawford
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1433b7f8d28d06deae8a4a2bd835262c52312432e10effb04a2ea5eb6397ca5d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Oliver Crawfordof Alex Marti Pujolras, Oliver Crawford
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,419
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,482
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,419 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8a3a…eb9abacked Alex Marti Pujolras | 14c | 8,000$1,109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,109.42 | 254 | 53.1%135 W · 119 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f90…90ccbacked Alex Marti Pujolras | 8c | 6,260$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Alex Marti Pujolras | 4c | 2,059$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d01…ccfbbacked Alex Marti Pujolras | 15c | 1,296$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.4 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 41cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x04e6…3914backed Alex Marti Pujolras | 15c | 777$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.55 | 346 | 55.2%191 W · 155 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94d1…0501backed Alex Marti Pujolras | 19c | 688.18$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.25 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +3.5wins | +0.20per pick | 44cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Alex Marti Pujolras | 6c | 590.96$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.34 | 220 | 33.6%74 W · 146 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Alex Marti Pujolras | 5c | 507.06$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.21 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Alex Marti Pujolras | 6c | 453.74$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.31 | 2,065 | 35.2%727 W · 1,338 L | -52.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Alex Marti Pujolras | 12c | 426.25$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.17 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Alex Marti Pujolras | 13c | 382.21$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.82 | 726 | 38.8%282 W · 444 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Alex Marti Pujolras | 16c | 309.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Alex Marti Pujolras | 13c | 299.98$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 2,247 | 42.7%960 W · 1,287 L | +33.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Alex Marti Pujolras | 15c | 207.03$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.58 | 1,882 | 35.5%669 W · 1,213 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x389a…cf3dbacked Alex Marti Pujolras | 14c | 182.37$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.53 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe77…8fe4backed Alex Marti Pujolras | 17c | 146$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.95 | 95 | 31.6%30 W · 65 L | -5.8wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84ea…7732backed Alex Marti Pujolras | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Segovia: Alex Marti Pujolras vs Oliver Crawfordthis page
- Set Handicap: Pujolras (-1.5) vs Crawford (+1.5)Crawford won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.