WNBA · resolved market
Dallas Wings vs. New York Liberty: O/U 176.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe9e6d43efd683e4c01340f558435fe9ce026909180b6d9b66a610f05d458a96a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,649
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,034
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,649 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc308…7b09backed Over | 1c | 6,647$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.44 | 449 | 15.6%70 W · 379 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 51c | 5,282$2,675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,606.83 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Over | 50c | 4,336$2,168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,168 | 143 | 46.2%66 W · 77 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 34c | 1,262$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.15 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb3…88c1backed Under | 76c | 400.99$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.93 | 173 | 50.3%87 W · 86 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…4b3cbacked Under | 70c | 399.93$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.98 | 107 | 49.5%53 W · 54 L | -6.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6cad…0758backed Over | 48c | 284.31$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.47 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x016a…6f6fbacked Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 40cpaid | +64.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Over | 50c | 187.26$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.63 | 149 | 47.7%71 W · 78 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71f5…4ccebacked Over | 23c | 171.53$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.94 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 29c | 103.93$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.14 | 378 | 50%189 W · 189 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9565…ec9abacked Over | 41c | 78.82$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.98 | 68 | 27.9%19 W · 49 L | -8.4wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Over | 30c | 74.44$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 224 | 40.2%90 W · 134 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf11c…fa02backed Under | 78c | 61.54$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.54 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Over | 46c | 48.25$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.19 | 323 | 46.7%151 W · 172 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11fc…8ccfbacked Under | 79c | 38.07$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.07 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Over | 32c | 32.18$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.21 | 156 | 54.5%85 W · 71 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x314e…da1cbacked Under | 54c | 29.61$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e5…6e53backed Under | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.78 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 47c | 27.3$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.83 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd107…add5backed Under | 57c | 20.95$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.95 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.23per pick | 53cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dallas Wings vs. New York Liberty: O/U 176.5this page
- Dallas Wings vs. New York LibertyDallas Wings won
- Dallas Wings vs. New York Liberty: O/U 175.5Under won
- Paige Bueckers: Points O/U 20.5No won
- Spread: New York Liberty (-4.5)Dallas Wings won
- Spread: New York Liberty (-5.5)Dallas Wings won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.