WNBA · resolved market
Spread: New York Liberty (-5.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x11a101f476a2268789440ccc0ae62a942d8c52fa828d7bf55faf0d2ea8eefd37
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Dallas Wingsof New York Liberty, Dallas Wings
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,644
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,578
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,644 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Dallas Wings | 55c | 4,003$2,199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,804 | 117 | 54.7%64 W · 53 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked New York Liberty | 46c | 1,707$785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$785.07 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked New York Liberty | 45c | 1,311$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590.16 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xceca…4800backed Dallas Wings | 55c | 900.45$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.13 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +4.1wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8bcf…c767backed New York Liberty | 47c | 861.74$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.02 | 91 | 40.7%37 W · 54 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed New York Liberty | 46c | 823.74$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.8 | 837 | 48.1%403 W · 434 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e51…42cebacked New York Liberty | 44c | 673.45$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.45 | 90 | 42.2%38 W · 52 L | -8.4wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed New York Liberty | 48c | 520.41$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 95 | 54.7%52 W · 43 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Dallas Wings | 56c | 288.07$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.75 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Dallas Wings | 56c | 257.08$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.12 | 327 | 43.7%143 W · 184 L | -23.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xae6d…468dbacked Dallas Wings | 51c | 254.9$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.9 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…b805backed New York Liberty | 45c | 212.8$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.79 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +88.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51da…a701backed Dallas Wings | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 161 | 53.4%86 W · 75 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x987b…3d00backed Dallas Wings | 58c | 173.45$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.45 | 133 | 48.1%64 W · 69 L | -10.1wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed New York Liberty | 54c | 126$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.04 | 552 | 55.1%304 W · 248 L | +25.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed New York Liberty | 22c | 120.27$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.96 | 122 | 16.4%20 W · 102 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef54…c997backed New York Liberty | 49c | 119.81$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.71 | 87 | 46%40 W · 47 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed New York Liberty | 47c | 114.59$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.3 | 615 | 47%289 W · 326 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Dallas Wings | 65c | 110.98$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.44 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed New York Liberty | 44c | 110.8$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.75 | 329 | 48.6%160 W · 169 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed New York Liberty | 44c | 104$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.76 | 184 | 41.8%77 W · 107 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked New York Liberty | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 399 | 47.1%188 W · 211 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked New York Liberty | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd726…0d91backed New York Liberty | 47c | 74.61$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed New York Liberty | 49c | 67.36$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.01 | 712 | 45.4%323 W · 389 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Dallas Wings | 55c | 59.99$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 270 | 49.6%134 W · 136 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked New York Liberty | 46c | 54.35$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 120 | 45%54 W · 66 L | -9.4wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -15%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked New York Liberty | 45c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.25 | 323 | 46.7%151 W · 172 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75eb…ce0bbacked New York Liberty | 44c | 33.95$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.94 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed New York Liberty | 47c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 236 | 44.9%106 W · 130 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1715…a049backed New York Liberty | 44c | 27.78$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.32 | 112 | 42.9%48 W · 64 L | -7.6wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe24f…614abacked New York Liberty | 45c | 22.43$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -60%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed Dallas Wings | 51c | 21.57$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.57 | 46 | 60.9%28 W · 18 L | +4.6wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdcd7…f2c8backed Dallas Wings | 51c | 21.56$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe00b…256fbacked New York Liberty | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: New York Liberty (-5.5)this page
- Dallas Wings vs. New York LibertyDallas Wings won
- Dallas Wings vs. New York Liberty: O/U 175.5Under won
- Dallas Wings vs. New York Liberty: O/U 176.5Under won
- Paige Bueckers: Points O/U 20.5No won
- Spread: New York Liberty (-4.5)Dallas Wings won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.