WNBA · resolved market
Spread: New York Liberty (-4.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6180d4c79ac4c7247b827a46efe6067eec579487073b8430db7f6d4cc8956e6d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Dallas Wingsof New York Liberty, Dallas Wings
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,456
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,191
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,456 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked New York Liberty | 53c | 11,728$6,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,169.57 | 386 | 45.9%177 W · 209 L | -15.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Dallas Wings | 47c | 5,085$2,390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,695.46 | 785 | 48.8%383 W · 402 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Dallas Wings | 48c | 3,177$1,525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,652.12 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c8…d8a4backed Dallas Wings | 51c | 2,538$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,237.66 | 49 | 63.3%31 W · 18 L | +6.4wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Dallas Wings | 47c | 2,288$1,075 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,212.47 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1316…48a4backed Dallas Wings | 52c | 2,000$1,032 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$967.96 | 137 | 46%63 W · 74 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeef6…cd4cbacked Dallas Wings | 51c | 1,286$656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630.12 | 94 | 45.7%43 W · 51 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafe4…f3f7backed New York Liberty | 48c | 1,209$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580.29 | 274 | 49.6%136 W · 138 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked New York Liberty | 49c | 1,039$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.26 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcd…e3d7backed New York Liberty | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.8 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Dallas Wings | 50c | 969.89$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.95 | 117 | 54.7%64 W · 53 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd81e…e3d0backed New York Liberty | 49c | 719$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.31 | 144 | 52.8%76 W · 68 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…15ffbacked New York Liberty | 49c | 714.28$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked New York Liberty | 48c | 623.23$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.15 | 130 | 48.5%63 W · 67 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed New York Liberty | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 230 | 49.6%114 W · 116 L | -13.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed New York Liberty | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 194 | 46.4%90 W · 104 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Dallas Wings | 52c | 396.81$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.47 | 327 | 43.7%143 W · 184 L | -23.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked New York Liberty | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 120 | 45%54 W · 66 L | -9.4wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -15%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Dallas Wings | 51c | 199.88$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.94 | 127 | 51.2%65 W · 62 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd6b…e0f3backed Dallas Wings | 49c | 182.39$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.3 | 43 | 69.8%30 W · 13 L | +7.8wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed New York Liberty | 10c | 134.76$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.87 | 347 | 26.5%92 W · 255 L | -20.7wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Dallas Wings | 56c | 129$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.76 | 552 | 55.1%304 W · 248 L | +25.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Dallas Wings | 55c | 112.24$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.05 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Dallas Wings | 73c | 111.26$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.63 | 113 | 51.3%58 W · 55 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8f…cca7backed New York Liberty | 48c | 86.71$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.62 | 46 | 23.9%11 W · 35 L | -7.7wins | -0.17per pick | 41cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x42a1…a8e9backed Dallas Wings | 62c | 73.33$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.72 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Dallas Wings | 50c | 66.02$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.01 | 712 | 45.4%323 W · 389 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1886…a77cbacked New York Liberty | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked New York Liberty | 51c | 57$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.88 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x658b…ad0fbacked New York Liberty | 50c | 55.49$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Dallas Wings | 49c | 50.48$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.74 | 615 | 47%289 W · 326 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa61…7f3bbacked Dallas Wings | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 285 | 58.6%167 W · 118 L | +20.0wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Dallas Wings | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 187 | 46%86 W · 101 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Dallas Wings | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 364 | 54.1%197 W · 167 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Dallas Wings | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 347 | 53.9%187 W · 160 L | +20.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Dallas Wings | 50c | 47.28$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.64 | 837 | 48.1%403 W · 434 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf333…038cbacked New York Liberty | 50c | 47.28$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.64 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Dallas Wings | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 236 | 44.9%106 W · 130 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x237f…e76ebacked New York Liberty | 50c | 29.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.75 | 89 | 39.3%35 W · 54 L | -8.0wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Dallas Wings | 50c | 28.15$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.08 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39b2…157cbacked New York Liberty | 50c | 26.02$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.01 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +5.0wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7497…18cebacked Dallas Wings | 53c | 20.61$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.61 | 70 | 40%28 W · 42 L | -6.1wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb390…642bbacked New York Liberty | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 149 | 44.3%66 W · 83 L | -10.4wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: New York Liberty (-4.5)this page
- Dallas Wings vs. New York LibertyDallas Wings won
- Dallas Wings vs. New York Liberty: O/U 175.5Under won
- Dallas Wings vs. New York Liberty: O/U 176.5Under won
- Paige Bueckers: Points O/U 20.5No won
- Spread: New York Liberty (-5.5)Dallas Wings won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.