WNBA · resolved market
Dallas Wings vs. New York Liberty: O/U 175.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc2a9e9d3037f68ca538017e56d92a00a1e5d1b894d0de9d1e3f0c4169c9b8135
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $40,005
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $40,084
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,005 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf070…ac55backed Under | 52c | 21,373$11,114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,259.27 | 107 | 49.5%53 W · 54 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Over | 50c | 6,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Over | 48c | 4,298$2,063 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,062.89 | 785 | 48.8%383 W · 402 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked Over | 48c | 4,000$1,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,920 | 130 | 48.5%63 W · 67 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 48c | 3,546$1,719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,718.95 | 837 | 48.1%403 W · 434 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Under | 51c | 2,005$1,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$982.22 | 135 | 38.5%52 W · 83 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeef6…cd4cbacked Under | 51c | 1,800$918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$882 | 94 | 45.7%43 W · 51 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Over | 48c | 1,777$853 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$852.96 | 149 | 42.3%63 W · 86 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a14…cba2backed Over | 48c | 1,700$816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$816 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.22per pick | 49cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 50c | 1,377$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$689.5 | 641 | 52%333 W · 308 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81e…e3d0backed Over | 49c | 1,248$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$611.73 | 144 | 52.8%76 W · 68 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 50c | 1,024$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 48c | 961$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.28 | 127 | 51.2%65 W · 62 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc308…7b09backed Over | 3c | 895.87$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.63 | 449 | 15.6%70 W · 379 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Over | 49c | 850.97$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.98 | 143 | 46.2%66 W · 77 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24d4…4e1dbacked Over | 50c | 604$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 90 | 47.8%43 W · 47 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x789f…3e7dbacked Over | 48c | 600$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Over | 49c | 573.29$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.91 | 327 | 43.7%143 W · 184 L | -23.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x789f…2e8abacked Over | 55c | 548.61$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Under | 51c | 499.94$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.97 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 48c | 380.57$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.67 | 749 | 42.3%317 W · 432 L | -21.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 46c | 301.31$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.72 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4559…1c26backed Under | 53c | 220$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.4 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 51c | 207.68$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.59 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52a0…ec9dbacked Over | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c2f…9765backed Under | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c26…d474backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 128 | 46.1%59 W · 69 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ef…b630backed Over | 16c | 189.14$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.26 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71bc…7fe4backed Under | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 149 | 48.3%72 W · 77 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51da…a701backed Over | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 161 | 53.4%86 W · 75 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Over | 49c | 152.54$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.74 | 296 | 54.4%161 W · 135 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e51…42cebacked Over | 42c | 140$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.8 | 90 | 42.2%38 W · 52 L | -8.4wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb3…88c1backed Over | 59c | 109.98$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.39 | 173 | 50.3%87 W · 86 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e50…4b22backed Under | 50c | 105.32$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.66 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +4.1wins | +0.41per pick | 49cpaid | +84.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe760…19bdbacked Over | 19c | 102.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 56c | 102.63$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.2 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabce…2f87backed Over | 43c | 76.67$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.8 | 73 | 57.5%42 W · 31 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 50c | 75$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 615 | 47%289 W · 326 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 39c | 73.25$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.68 | 610 | 42.5%259 W · 351 L | -31.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Under | 54c | 73$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.58 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x157c…8e52backed Over | 50c | 70.12$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.06 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 51c | 64.72$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.71 | 712 | 45.4%323 W · 389 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f85…e91abacked Under | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.82 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 51c | 58$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.42 | 236 | 44.9%106 W · 130 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb1e…05f5backed Under | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9565…ec9abacked Over | 21c | 55.75$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 68 | 27.9%19 W · 49 L | -8.4wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 48c | 54.87$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.14 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…2941backed Under | 64c | 50.87$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.48 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.83 | 323 | 46.7%151 W · 172 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa182…3106backed Under | 52c | 36.54$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.54 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2077…8161backed Over | 50c | 35.2$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d8e…1b02backed Over | 30c | 33.47$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ae…5310backed Under | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 98 | 51%50 W · 48 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c3f…e6a2backed Under | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.33 | 81 | 48.1%39 W · 42 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dallas Wings vs. New York Liberty: O/U 175.5this page
- Dallas Wings vs. New York LibertyDallas Wings won
- Dallas Wings vs. New York Liberty: O/U 176.5Under won
- Paige Bueckers: Points O/U 20.5No won
- Spread: New York Liberty (-4.5)Dallas Wings won
- Spread: New York Liberty (-5.5)Dallas Wings won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.