TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Spurs (-13.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Knicksof Spurs, Knicks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$18,048
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$18,230

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,048 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x032e…2a9ebacked Knicks74c4,734$3,507 inWon+$1,226.9825352.6%133 W · 120 L+7.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d53…eb1abacked Knicks53c4,499$2,385 inWon+$2,114.594362.8%27 W · 16 L+5.5wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+26.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb10b…0b04backed Spurs26c4,396$1,143 inLost-$1,142.953116.1%5 W · 26 L-4.5wins-0.15per pick31cpaid-58.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Spurs42c3,849$1,622 inLost-$1,622.148,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Spurs43c1,496$647 inLost-$647.2810944%48 W · 61 L-5.3wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked Knicks59c1,000$590 inWon+$4106437.5%24 W · 40 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-36.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Spurs44c982.62$434 inLost-$433.8255251.3%283 W · 269 L+17.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Knicks80c838.04$667 inWon+$170.81,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Knicks61c817$501 inWon+$316.1593148.4%451 W · 480 L+34.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Spurs41c637.28$261 inLost-$261.282,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Spurs26c519.89$133 inLost-$132.853842%226 W · 312 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Spurs42c451$189 inLost-$189.151,42547.7%680 W · 745 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Knicks75c405.24$304 inWon+$101.7364948.2%313 W · 336 L-3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2d0c…1249backed Knicks51c199.99$102 inWon+$982236.4%8 W · 14 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-17%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x016a…6f6fbacked Knicks52c199.99$104 inWon+$95.991100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x29d8…e1b3backed Spurs20c123.22$25 inLost-$2510548.6%51 W · 54 L+6.4wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+13.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcf5e…95e3backed Knicks72c119.28$86 inWon+$33.521046.2%97 W · 113 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid+2.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4e9…d0a8backed Knicks73c118.01$86 inWon+$32.23771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.28per pick44cpaid+164.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Spurs26c112.3$30 inLost-$29.6732654.6%178 W · 148 L+22.0wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+5.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Spurs16c96.88$16 inLost-$15.618140.3%73 W · 108 L+24.4wins+0.13per pick27cpaid+60.6%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Knicks55c90$49 inWon+$40.644151.2%21 W · 20 L+3.4wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+2.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Spurs25c85.47$21 inLost-$21.21,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Knicks74c74.2$55 inWon+$19.3260250.5%304 W · 298 L+14.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3308…f04bbacked Spurs48c67$32 inLost-$32.1625944%114 W · 145 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3db…78dbbacked Knicks75c66.25$50 inWon+$16.561100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Spurs25c61.22$15 inLost-$15.3141038%156 W · 254 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-20.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Spurs25c58.83$14 inLost-$14.441,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Knicks68c50$34 inWon+$1622753.3%121 W · 106 L+11.4wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+2.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed Knicks75c46.75$35 inWon+$11.6913161.8%81 W · 50 L+13.4wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+16.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Spurs48c41.97$20 inLost-$20.1525554.5%139 W · 116 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd7d…981fbacked Spurs25c40$10 inLost-$1010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5407…5bbdbacked Knicks54c40$22 inWon+$18.43548.6%17 W · 18 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x49e5…b660backed Knicks54c37.04$20 inWon+$17.046258.1%36 W · 26 L0.0wins0.00per pick58cpaid-5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8de6…8b3cbacked Spurs48c30.53$15 inLost-$14.653026.7%8 W · 22 L-6.6wins-0.22per pick49cpaid-47.6%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x89b9…118ebacked Spurs47c28.87$14 inLost-$13.5771752%373 W · 344 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed Knicks78c28.29$22 inWon+$6.2618941.8%79 W · 110 L-7.3wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb50d…81debacked Knicks76c26.32$20 inWon+$6.322259.1%13 W · 9 L+1.9wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+16.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5aeb…42d4backed Spurs40c25$10 inLost-$1027539.6%109 W · 166 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x27b1…6a0bbacked Spurs48c22.35$11 inLost-$10.7311364.6%73 W · 40 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e51…42cebacked Knicks73c18.52$14 inWon+$58355.4%46 W · 37 L+6.7wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+4.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 106. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.