Fifa International · resolved market
Slovakia vs. Kosovo: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x53c09879859a2ddf6b1a406de52f8eef834cbdf82b6f68925b3572e6cc9fd21f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,617
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,697
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,617 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed Under | 36c | 6,861$2,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,470 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 64c | 5,051$3,230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,820.87 | 1,262 | 47.5%600 W · 662 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 63c | 2,220$1,404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$816.04 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 64c | 1,710$1,094 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615.44 | 368 | 50.3%185 W · 183 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 62c | 936.17$581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.74 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 36c | 496$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.52 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Over | 62c | 437.18$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.13 | 214 | 44.9%96 W · 118 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2605…2b17backed Over | 65c | 384.62$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.62 | 39 | 74.4%29 W · 10 L | +3.6wins | +0.09per pick | 65cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Over | 63c | 293.46$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.58 | 105 | 50.5%53 W · 52 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Over | 62c | 271$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.98 | 136 | 43.4%59 W · 77 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Under | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 192 | 24.5%47 W · 145 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Under | 37c | 270$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.9 | 789 | 27.5%217 W · 572 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f2…d2e3backed Over | 65c | 253.85$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c86…15c0backed Over | 64c | 250$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f72…2fbfbacked Over | 65c | 230.77$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.77 | 122 | 54.1%66 W · 56 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Over | 63c | 208.06$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.98 | 246 | 53.3%131 W · 115 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 29c | 177.11$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.3 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Over | 63c | 162.62$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.17 | 864 | 55.3%478 W · 386 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Over | 63c | 162.62$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.17 | 237 | 49.8%118 W · 119 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd90f…b6dabacked Over | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49ca…5944backed Over | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 79 | 54.4%43 W · 36 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Over | 63c | 156.06$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.74 | 508 | 50%254 W · 254 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa554…cecdbacked Under | 36c | 123$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.28 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77da…d3bdbacked Under | 36c | 120$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 159 | 45.3%72 W · 87 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd257…d215backed Under | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4899…efe0backed Over | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaad…c739backed Under | 36c | 97.22$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 36c | 90$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 681 | 41.1%280 W · 401 L | -16.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 35c | 58$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.3 | 1,688 | 54.4%918 W · 770 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8568…af50backed Over | 64c | 54$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x109c…2718backed Over | 64c | 51$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b16…194cbacked Over | 64c | 43$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.48 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +63.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2472…5f3bbacked Over | 64c | 41$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.76 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +80.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ccd…1ec9backed Under | 36c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 49 | 36.7%18 W · 31 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed Over | 62c | 36$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.62 | 436 | 53.7%234 W · 202 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f96…bbd4backed Over | 65c | 31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.98 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b8c…31c3backed Under | 36c | 30.98$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.15 | 154 | 48.1%74 W · 80 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0095…42c1backed Over | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57b5…34abbacked Over | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c67…de1dbacked Over | 63c | 28.39$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe2df…2368backed Over | 64c | 28.13$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.13 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 65c | 27.42$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 831 | 53.3%443 W · 388 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed Over | 64c | 26$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.36 | 110 | 60%66 W · 44 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0138…f2bcbacked Over | 64c | 23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.28 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 71cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa68d…fa24backed Over | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Over | 62c | 17.55$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 237 | 51.1%121 W · 116 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff5…cc49backed Over | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Slovakia vs. Kosovo: O/U 1.5this page
- Slovakia vs. Kosovo: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Slovakia vs. Kosovo: O/U 2.5Over won
- Slovakia vs. Kosovo: O/U 3.5Over won
- Slovakia vs. Kosovo: O/U 4.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.