Fifa International · resolved market
Slovakia vs. Kosovo: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x75243358274e2b2ff7069aee5677e55dc9f70a42bf1ea8a6cbd5dcdf2387d7eb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,109
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,799
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,109 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 50c | 1,597$798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$798.46 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Over | 23c | 1,017$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$784.7 | 115 | 20%23 W · 92 L | -8.8wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 48c | 1,007$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.19 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Under | 77c | 844.16$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 225 | 51.6%116 W · 109 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49ca…5944backed Over | 64c | 781.25$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.25 | 79 | 54.4%43 W · 36 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fb3…cec3backed Over | 7c | 734$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$682.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.93per pick | 7cpaid | +1,328.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x270c…ac6abacked Over | 7c | 700$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$651 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.93per pick | 7cpaid | +1,328.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7879…3653backed Over | 38c | 657.89$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.89 | 227 | 49.3%112 W · 115 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 10c | 638.3$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$573.08 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcf4…36c3backed Over | 7c | 631$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.93per pick | 7cpaid | +1,328.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Over | 6c | 599.99$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.99 | 371 | 44.5%165 W · 206 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e2f…c1e4backed Over | 7c | 593$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.93per pick | 7cpaid | +1,328.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6885…d36ebacked Over | 7c | 564$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.93per pick | 7cpaid | +1,328.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64ae…ead9backed Over | 38c | 526.32$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.32 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5be…b83bbacked Over | 7c | 466$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.93per pick | 7cpaid | +1,328.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79ff…14a4backed Over | 7c | 391$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.93per pick | 7cpaid | +1,328.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ee…9fe7backed Over | 7c | 390$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.93per pick | 7cpaid | +1,328.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19a6…d2acbacked Over | 7c | 384$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.93per pick | 7cpaid | +1,328.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Over | 10c | 299.99$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.99 | 105 | 50.5%53 W · 52 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15a9…50e5backed Over | 7c | 285$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.05 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 24cpaid | +292.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab2…c358backed Over | 7c | 284$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 8cpaid | +614.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaab0…7af9backed Over | 7c | 280$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.93per pick | 7cpaid | +1,328.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88aa…dca7backed Over | 7c | 280$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.93per pick | 7cpaid | +1,328.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf4…40fabacked Over | 67c | 223.88$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.88 | 73 | 47.9%35 W · 38 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa8…6b04backed Over | 7c | 186$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 5cpaid | +614.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd8e…f064backed Over | 7c | 158$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.93per pick | 7cpaid | +1,328.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd80…1d5cbacked Over | 7c | 155$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.93per pick | 7cpaid | +1,328.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88a3…8362backed Over | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d0b…0eb7backed Over | 69c | 142.86$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.29 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab45…fee3backed Over | 64c | 141.78$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.04 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +45.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked Over | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 200 | 67.5%135 W · 65 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc71a…f135backed Over | 38c | 122.03$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.66 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 14c | 110.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.5 | 356 | 58.7%209 W · 147 L | +35.0wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +28%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5c…2a9bbacked Over | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 62c | 99$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.38 | 760 | 48.7%370 W · 390 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 78c | 73.59$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.27 | 1,711 | 35.2%603 W · 1,108 L | -68.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Over | 36c | 73.2$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.77 | 465 | 36.1%168 W · 297 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 78c | 48.02$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.27 | 864 | 55.3%478 W · 386 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Under | 42c | 43.75$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9b…829ebacked Over | 29c | 36.52$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.93 | 195 | 40%78 W · 117 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2754…1668backed Under | 36c | 36.45$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.14 | 190 | 64.2%122 W · 68 L | +13.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9eae…98a5backed Over | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 70 | 61.4%43 W · 27 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -13%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa658…f93ebacked Under | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 147 | 66%97 W · 50 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4929…b9f9backed Over | 67c | 16.87$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.57 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Slovakia vs. Kosovo: O/U 4.5this page
- Slovakia vs. Kosovo: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Slovakia vs. Kosovo: O/U 1.5Over won
- Slovakia vs. Kosovo: O/U 2.5Over won
- Slovakia vs. Kosovo: O/U 3.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.