Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 12°C on April 9?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe95e853afc81b322933ff666169028b97c25f6881d432240c56c377dfb5f6972
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $48,282
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $58,233
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,282 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 124 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8103…23a1backed No | 6c | 2,877$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.55 | 576 | 14.9%86 W · 490 L | +14.1wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57ee…8112backed No | 4c | 2,000$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.2 | 1,727 | 18%311 W · 1,416 L | +74.3wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd8f8…0f11backed No | 4c | 1,668$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.91 | 966 | 20.7%200 W · 766 L | +59.8wins | +0.06per pick | 15cpaid | +96.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc12f…5c57backed Yes | 49c | 1,248$616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$631.85 | 193 | 38.9%75 W · 118 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2099…3024backed No | 5c | 1,208$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.79 | 336 | 20.2%68 W · 268 L | +24.9wins | +0.07per pick | 13cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 31c | 766.12$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.16 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…b5d0backed No | 18c | 685.72$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.25 | 4,496 | 19.6%882 W · 3,614 L | +49.5wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x803a…219ebacked No | 7c | 569.64$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.34 | 262 | 65.6%172 W · 90 L | +14.2wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a1d…55c4backed Yes | 61c | 565.42$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.73 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x286d…825abacked No | 36c | 532.94$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.95 | 625 | 55.2%345 W · 280 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25dd…4f23backed No | 4c | 433.85$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.89 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2be…ff33backed No | 6c | 412.86$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.79 | 1,203 | 48.9%588 W · 615 L | -24.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 9c | 401.58$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.06 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x15b1…a8e8backed No | 70c | 263.99$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.98 | 163 | 35%57 W · 106 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 24c | 249.98$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.99 | 349 | 18.9%66 W · 283 L | +18.7wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac16…4f44backed Yes | 29c | 233.71$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.93 | 230 | 35.7%82 W · 148 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0f…99d0backed Yes | 59c | 230.86$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.27 | 864 | 20.1%174 W · 690 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea6b…5ac2backed No | 75c | 195.95$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.19 | 534 | 37.3%199 W · 335 L | -29.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6de…6f5ebacked No | 12c | 195.55$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.47 | 116 | 27.6%32 W · 84 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 63c | 190.23$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.3 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed No | 29c | 184.77$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.35 | 466 | 26%121 W · 345 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Yes | 61c | 181.64$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.62 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 22c | 171.67$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.09 | 2,119 | 36.1%764 W · 1,355 L | -12.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 72c | 171.55$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.22 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd5…4390backed Yes | 76c | 166.11$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.72 | 66 | 60.6%40 W · 26 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a66…1968backed Yes | 26c | 166.09$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.12 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.19per pick | 21cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ad…d00bbacked Yes | 32c | 161.88$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.88 | 490 | 38.8%190 W · 300 L | +24.4wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ce3…4291backed Yes | 33c | 154.86$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.62 | 2,165 | 23.8%516 W · 1,649 L | +83.8wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd721…57a7backed Yes | 43c | 137.94$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.15 | 451 | 27.1%122 W · 329 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x105c…1011backed No | 11c | 136.4$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 112 | 20.5%23 W · 89 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3886…b492backed Yes | 25c | 133$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.75 | 561 | 18.4%103 W · 458 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6641…ceb2backed No | 10c | 132.11$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.78 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c38…f194backed No | 35c | 129.98$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.9 | 2,517 | 47.2%1,188 W · 1,329 L | +52.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed No | 30c | 127.73$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.32 | 2,001 | 38.4%768 W · 1,233 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd80a…c714backed Yes | 20c | 126.66$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.81 | 1,977 | 18.8%371 W · 1,606 L | +8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 18c | 119.09$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.64 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bac…cf49backed Yes | 26c | 115.19$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.54 | 1,089 | 29.7%323 W · 766 L | +36.6wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x399d…bf83backed Yes | 42c | 113.37$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.13 | 71 | 29.6%21 W · 50 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +82.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 29c | 111$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.81 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37e7…4a56backed Yes | 35c | 109.82$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.38 | 116 | 37.1%43 W · 73 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x094a…1274backed Yes | 26c | 106.85$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.07 | 77 | 28.6%22 W · 55 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2cf…464bbacked Yes | 20c | 104.03$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.13 | 1,115 | 63.4%707 W · 408 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5699…418dbacked Yes | 26c | 100.17$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.34 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1535…d77bbacked Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf64a…db74backed Yes | 66c | 97.72$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.36 | 333 | 49.8%166 W · 167 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8887…681bbacked Yes | 28c | 97.45$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.11 | 134 | 24.6%33 W · 101 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5368…2d62backed Yes | 19c | 97.21$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.6 | 1,804 | 27.4%494 W · 1,310 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabcc…32f6backed Yes | 49c | 96.76$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.71 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +20%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcaca…51f6backed Yes | 21c | 94.16$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.38 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa28…c37ebacked Yes | 25c | 83.63$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.56 | 3,939 | 35.3%1,392 W · 2,547 L | +35.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cb…4b77backed No | 78c | 82.31$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.99 | 318 | 68.6%218 W · 100 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c4d…ee6abacked Yes | 76c | 77.17$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.43 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bd…e48fbacked No | 22c | 72.94$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.8 | 209 | 28.7%60 W · 149 L | -45.3wins | -0.22per pick | 50cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 28-0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x2b40…ced4backed Yes | 71c | 68.68$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.77 | 958 | 52.5%503 W · 455 L | +103.2wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes | 49c | 67.71$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.33 | 1,840 | 37%681 W · 1,159 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4db0…bcd3backed No | 41c | 67.48$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.85 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -3.3wins | -0.18per pick | 49cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a8…6abdbacked Yes | 74c | 66.13$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.45 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd84…109dbacked Yes | 20c | 64.56$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.57 | 220 | 28.2%62 W · 158 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27fb…3f5ebacked Yes | 24c | 63.83$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.51 | 209 | 42.1%88 W · 121 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fdf…28a2backed Yes | 25c | 62.68$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.01 | 561 | 31.7%178 W · 383 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa28…090bbacked Yes | 22c | 60.24$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.02 | 2,239 | 15%335 W · 1,904 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd11c…ff7dbacked Yes | 36c | 60$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.4 | 347 | 48.7%169 W · 178 L | +13.5wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf51b…ca1bbacked No | 31c | 59.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 1,274 | 34%433 W · 841 L | +46.9wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98d9…2c8cbacked Yes | 52c | 55.02$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.27 | 576 | 59%340 W · 236 L | -17.2wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0caa…48d4backed Yes | 24c | 53.48$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc09…88edbacked Yes | 43c | 53.46$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.71 | 566 | 27.7%157 W · 409 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x087b…713ebacked Yes | 29c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.5 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd538…2a4dbacked No | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2986…b3a9backed No | 30c | 49.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2,995 | 31.4%940 W · 2,055 L | +41.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2298…9f33backed No | 78c | 48.88$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.9 | 351 | 68.4%240 W · 111 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b31…852cbacked Yes | 54c | 48.81$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.53 | 257 | 42.4%109 W · 148 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7112…6d11backed No | 54c | 47.68$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.56 | 349 | 70.2%245 W · 104 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea9…7927backed Yes | 63c | 47.61$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.62 | 81 | 51.9%42 W · 39 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x113d…a5e6backed Yes | 34c | 43.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.37 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2ca…b823backed No | 35c | 43.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5245…00c4backed Yes | 51c | 42.72$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.98 | 296 | 40.5%120 W · 176 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea21…f753backed Yes | 72c | 40.39$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.21 | 236 | 68.2%161 W · 75 L | +18.8wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcf7c…b00dbacked No | 66c | 40$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 786 | 63.6%500 W · 286 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc11e…75c8backed Yes | 50c | 39$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 86 | 23.3%20 W · 66 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 18cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…8ca0backed Yes | 69c | 38.76$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.02 | 79 | 69.6%55 W · 24 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aad…dc28backed Yes | 26c | 38.52$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 676 | 33.7%228 W · 448 L | +33.8wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8c…b2eebacked No | 51c | 36.35$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.54 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb537…14ccbacked No | 80c | 36.31$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.94 | 414 | 60.1%249 W · 165 L | -21.5wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7f…9818backed Yes | 31c | 36.02$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.85 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.43per pick | 32cpaid | +141.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7e9c…f3a8backed No | 78c | 35.15$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.26 | 602 | 36.5%220 W · 382 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92a1…2d09backed No | 65c | 34.73$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cab…7489backed No | 63c | 34.49$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.56 | 103 | 71.8%74 W · 29 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 68cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked Yes | 48c | 34.41$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.97 | 1,991 | 52.3%1,042 W · 949 L | -76.1wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c24…81e9backed Yes | 63c | 33.99$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.48 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 48c | 33.64$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.12 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xe471…6604backed Yes | 64c | 32.57$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.73 | 128 | 56.3%72 W · 56 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b2…21f4backed Yes | 65c | 32.04$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 297 | 70.4%209 W · 88 L | +15.2wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e6…aa6cbacked No | 77c | 31.72$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.43 | 119 | 77.3%92 W · 27 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 73cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdad6…0d14backed Yes | 39c | 31.25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.06 | 148 | 29.7%44 W · 104 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18c9…5e91backed Yes | 39c | 30.61$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.59 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b0…64f3backed Yes | 66c | 30.52$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.43 | 176 | 43.2%76 W · 100 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3c4…e793backed Yes | 66c | 29.27$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.95 | 42 | 23.8%10 W · 32 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…c70bbacked No | 74c | 29.22$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.62 | 549 | 66.7%366 W · 183 L | -27.1wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc391…cefbbacked Yes | 77c | 28.25$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.52 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 31cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ecf…05fbbacked Yes | 69c | 28.09$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.71 | 130 | 42.3%55 W · 75 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 12°C on April 9?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 10°C on April 9?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 11°C on April 9?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 13°C on April 9?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 14°C on April 9?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 15°C or higher on April 9?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.