NHL · resolved market
Canucks vs. Jets: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa8d5dd5dac34ae4ad46ae1dab469df873945ae63741756db3a1c720c1f8fc5f4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,475
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,475 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Under | 57c | 1,832$1,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$787.56 | 236 | 42.8%101 W · 135 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69ff…0d1dbacked Under | 57c | 1,600$912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$688 | 271 | 50.2%136 W · 135 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 43c | 1,463$629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629.13 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Over | 43c | 1,299$559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$558.57 | 434 | 56%243 W · 191 L | +16.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bf6…5200backed Under | 57c | 1,163$663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 58 | 56.9%33 W · 25 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Over | 26c | 949.26$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.89 | 115 | 33.9%39 W · 76 L | -9.3wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 74c | 930$688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.8 | 1,202 | 60.1%722 W · 480 L | +51.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b66…336abacked Over | 43c | 697.67$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 110 | 45.5%50 W · 60 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Over | 43c | 465.12$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 530 | 50.6%268 W · 262 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Over | 43c | 395.35$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 1,093 | 51.8%566 W · 527 L | +14.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 46c | 221.27$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.21 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Under | 59c | 168.92$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.92 | 696 | 53.4%372 W · 324 L | -16.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 55c | 125.66$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.55 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe8…1141backed Over | 45c | 110.44$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.7 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Over | 41c | 102.69$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.1 | 215 | 55.3%119 W · 96 L | +17.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc212…c8ebbacked Under | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd5…ef85backed Under | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 136 | 47.1%64 W · 72 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 45c | 80$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 42c | 66.23$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.82 | 1,092 | 50.4%550 W · 542 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93e3…e590backed Under | 52c | 52.33$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.12 | 112 | 33.9%38 W · 74 L | -9.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Over | 43c | 52$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.36 | 159 | 44.7%71 W · 88 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Over | 43c | 46.6$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.04 | 355 | 53%188 W · 167 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac94…e414backed Over | 45c | 42.58$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.16 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Over | 49c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 272 | 50%136 W · 136 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe825…39b7backed Under | 52c | 30.78$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.77 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -4.5wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Over | 48c | 24.15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.59 | 913 | 34.1%311 W · 602 L | -27.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43e7…80d0backed Under | 51c | 20.73$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.16 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -4.2wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6436…aa37backed Under | 52c | 20.52$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 123 | 35.8%44 W · 79 L | -14.9wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb28a…ba10backed Under | 52c | 20.52$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -4.7wins | -0.23per pick | 53cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Canucks vs. Jets: O/U 6.5this page
- Canucks vs. JetsJets won
- Canucks vs. Jets: O/U 4.5Over won
- Canucks vs. Jets: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Jets (-1.5)Canucks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.