Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Hofstra Pride (-3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa7fa0c343884c7581c1551a1bf8920536bae1372e073fe0f47d2ea532ce823bc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Towson Tigersof Hofstra Pride, Towson Tigers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,408
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,408 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Towson Tigers | 47c | 6,011$2,820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,190.67 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7a…15a4backed Hofstra Pride | 53c | 5,611$2,974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,973.84 | 351 | 51.9%182 W · 169 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0d2…ad14backed Hofstra Pride | 54c | 550.73$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.39 | 82 | 57.3%47 W · 35 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Towson Tigers | 47c | 389.13$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.24 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Hofstra Pride | 52c | 185.37$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.89 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Towson Tigers | 49c | 156.22$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.33 | 1,234 | 44.8%553 W · 681 L | -32.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x482a…7defbacked Hofstra Pride | 53c | 140.28$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.35 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -3.0wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x87b8…29dcbacked Hofstra Pride | 51c | 126.04$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.28 | 121 | 47.9%58 W · 63 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Towson Tigers | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 828 | 46.1%382 W · 446 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72a1…1950backed Towson Tigers | 49c | 101.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.59 | 338 | 55%186 W · 152 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Hofstra Pride | 52c | 96.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Hofstra Pride | 51c | 60.07$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.64 | 212 | 62.3%132 W · 80 L | +34.7wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +37%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Towson Tigers | 49c | 56.91$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.02 | 1,446 | 43.4%627 W · 819 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a97…c1f9backed Towson Tigers | 48c | 47.39$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.64 | 219 | 55.3%121 W · 98 L | +13.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Hofstra Pride | 47c | 45.03$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.17 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Hofstra Pride | 52c | 40.64$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.13 | 780 | 52.2%407 W · 373 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce8…2f9ebacked Towson Tigers | 49c | 35.93$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.45 | 306 | 52%159 W · 147 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d65…2d2bbacked Towson Tigers | 48c | 24.78$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.89 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Hofstra Pride (-3.5)this page
- Spread: Hofstra Pride (-4.5)Towson Tigers won
- Towson Tigers vs. Hofstra PrideHofstra Pride won
- Towson Tigers vs. Hofstra Pride: O/U 131.5Over won
- Towson Tigers vs. Hofstra Pride: O/U 132.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.