Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Hofstra Pride (-4.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x06ae01e831ee6c9de57cd99cb065fd05b9cda5c726a860c22089c6452eaf5efb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Towson Tigersof Hofstra Pride, Towson Tigers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,651
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,651 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x05b9…2adfbacked Towson Tigers | 54c | 1,839$991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$848.09 | 572 | 48.1%275 W · 297 L | -27.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Hofstra Pride | 46c | 1,586$729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$729.49 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Hofstra Pride | 46c | 1,036$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.04 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x021c…232fbacked Towson Tigers | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x482a…7defbacked Hofstra Pride | 48c | 354.89$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.34 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -3.0wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Towson Tigers | 52c | 255.63$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.7 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Hofstra Pride | 40c | 247.9$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.16 | 147 | 28.6%42 W · 105 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Towson Tigers | 60c | 245.61$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 848 | 54.5%462 W · 386 L | +32.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Towson Tigers | 53c | 189.98$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.29 | 574 | 48.3%277 W · 297 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Towson Tigers | 47c | 164.61$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.99 | 1,234 | 44.8%553 W · 681 L | -32.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Hofstra Pride | 47c | 134.98$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.44 | 794 | 48.9%388 W · 406 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Hofstra Pride | 56c | 109.93$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.56 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Hofstra Pride | 48c | 104.16$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x363d…fe75backed Hofstra Pride | 48c | 99.13$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.57 | 122 | 45.1%55 W · 67 L | -7.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Hofstra Pride | 47c | 52.73$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.78 | 586 | 52.9%310 W · 276 L | +23.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b20dbacked Hofstra Pride | 48c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 349 | 52.1%182 W · 167 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Hofstra Pride | 49c | 34.03$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.67 | 609 | 54.5%332 W · 277 L | +15.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Hofstra Pride | 46c | 33.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.46 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce8…2f9ebacked Towson Tigers | 54c | 33.32$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.33 | 306 | 52%159 W · 147 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffea…5f0abacked Hofstra Pride | 53c | 27.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.61 | 115 | 50.4%58 W · 57 L | -6.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x75dc…4f82backed Towson Tigers | 52c | 27.02$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.97 | 229 | 53.7%123 W · 106 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb28a…ba10backed Towson Tigers | 52c | 20.25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.72 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Towson Tigers | 52c | 19.61$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 349 | 47.9%167 W · 182 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Hofstra Pride (-4.5)this page
- Spread: Hofstra Pride (-3.5)Towson Tigers won
- Towson Tigers vs. Hofstra PrideHofstra Pride won
- Towson Tigers vs. Hofstra Pride: O/U 131.5Over won
- Towson Tigers vs. Hofstra Pride: O/U 132.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.