Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Northern Iowa Panthers (-3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8d5b1ad9d88f9d21355235d27c5ecaf80e691d748d49be8564c3c4b1d375190c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Northern Iowa Panthersof Northern Iowa Panthers, Drake Bulldogs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,963
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,689
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,963 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6238…0523backed Northern Iowa Panthers | 53c | 3,780$2,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,776.58 | 167 | 55.7%93 W · 74 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Drake Bulldogs | 47c | 2,507$1,177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,177.44 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb820…cbe7backed Drake Bulldogs | 47c | 840.88$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.22 | 104 | 48.1%50 W · 54 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe0d2…ad14backed Northern Iowa Panthers | 55c | 722.24$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.71 | 82 | 57.3%47 W · 35 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Drake Bulldogs | 45c | 250$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.5 | 891 | 46.2%412 W · 479 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x773c…cf18backed Drake Bulldogs | 47c | 219.35$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.09 | 106 | 50.9%54 W · 52 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Drake Bulldogs | 47c | 147.64$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.39 | 1,251 | 50.6%633 W · 618 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Northern Iowa Panthers | 53c | 144$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.68 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Drake Bulldogs | 46c | 72.65$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.07 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce67…6573backed Northern Iowa Panthers | 55c | 54.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5ba…fc31backed Northern Iowa Panthers | 55c | 45.06$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.28 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Drake Bulldogs | 47c | 44.44$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.89 | 646 | 47.5%307 W · 339 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed Drake Bulldogs | 47c | 42.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.1 | 77 | 48.1%37 W · 40 L | -6.5wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Northern Iowa Panthers | 49c | 40.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.53 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c93…0fb8backed Drake Bulldogs | 47c | 38.11$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.91 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Drake Bulldogs | 47c | 24.47$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 296 | 50.7%150 W · 146 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Northern Iowa Panthers (-3.5)this page
- Northern Iowa Panthers vs. Drake BulldogsNorthern Iowa Panthers won
- Northern Iowa Panthers vs. Drake Bulldogs: O/U 137.5Under won
- Northern Iowa Panthers vs. Drake Bulldogs: O/U 138.5Under won
- Northern Iowa Panthers vs. Drake Bulldogs: O/U 139.5Under won
- Spread: Northern Iowa Panthers (-4.5)Northern Iowa Panthers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.