Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Northern Iowa Panthers vs. Drake Bulldogs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2df47333c101b8aa0eea1b67b474cf47d3f9f4ae2cc6ac9d7f49777fd225f94b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Northern Iowa Panthersof Northern Iowa Panthers, Drake Bulldogs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,892
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,387
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,892 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x024a…decbbacked Northern Iowa Panthers | 64c | 2,474$1,582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$892.34 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Drake Bulldogs | 36c | 1,716$618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$617.84 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Drake Bulldogs | 2c | 811.92$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.95 | 1,074 | 43.3%465 W · 609 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Drake Bulldogs | 27c | 727.06$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.42 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecfa…3c6fbacked Drake Bulldogs | 36c | 599.98$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.99 | 555 | 32.8%182 W · 373 L | +15.5wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x223f…2050backed Drake Bulldogs | 33c | 596.94$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.64 | 709 | 36.1%256 W · 453 L | -27.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Drake Bulldogs | 15c | 559.49$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.8 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Drake Bulldogs | 2c | 518.88$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.04 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Northern Iowa Panthers | 74c | 508.81$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.53 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Drake Bulldogs | 26c | 482.13$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.48 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Northern Iowa Panthers | 67c | 461.22$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.35 | 1,058 | 55.8%590 W · 468 L | +34.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Northern Iowa Panthers | 76c | 436.46$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.97 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Drake Bulldogs | 34c | 415.8$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.51 | 771 | 42.3%326 W · 445 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Northern Iowa Panthers | 69c | 347.95$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.7 | 493 | 45.4%224 W · 269 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Drake Bulldogs | 38c | 300$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a2b…c97cbacked Northern Iowa Panthers | 64c | 198.39$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.42 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72ab…8d29backed Northern Iowa Panthers | 62c | 194.05$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.74 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -2.7wins | -0.13per pick | 65cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7f02…12f5backed Northern Iowa Panthers | 63c | 157.44$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.25 | 76 | 46.1%35 W · 41 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Drake Bulldogs | 37c | 149.54$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.33 | 1,317 | 33.6%443 W · 874 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Drake Bulldogs | 18c | 135.49$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.34 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Drake Bulldogs | 37c | 104.78$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.77 | 1,446 | 43.4%627 W · 819 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Northern Iowa Panthers | 75c | 79.54$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.26 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b6e…b1a7backed Northern Iowa Panthers | 63c | 78.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.69 | 144 | 48.6%70 W · 74 L | -12.5wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Northern Iowa Panthers | 62c | 67.76$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.75 | 259 | 46.3%120 W · 139 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Northern Iowa Panthers | 69c | 66.08$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.49 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e96…b306backed Drake Bulldogs | 38c | 65.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.79 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40ec…f6e4backed Drake Bulldogs | 27c | 60.32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.22 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Northern Iowa Panthers | 62c | 55.19$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.97 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf43c…d7c3backed Northern Iowa Panthers | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 491 | 57.2%281 W · 210 L | +18.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6483…750abacked Drake Bulldogs | 38c | 49.59$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.84 | 88 | 34.1%30 W · 58 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…8d89backed Northern Iowa Panthers | 62c | 46.15$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.39 | 498 | 49.6%247 W · 251 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Drake Bulldogs | 37c | 45$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.65 | 334 | 45.8%153 W · 181 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Drake Bulldogs | 40c | 44.62$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.85 | 934 | 47.9%447 W · 487 L | -19.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Northern Iowa Panthers | 62c | 39.84$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.22 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe496…4d8bbacked Northern Iowa Panthers | 62c | 32.05$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.18 | 179 | 45.8%82 W · 97 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36f0…2711backed Northern Iowa Panthers | 63c | 28.76$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.74 | 61 | 62.3%38 W · 23 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Drake Bulldogs | 38c | 26.32$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 828 | 46.1%382 W · 446 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Northern Iowa Panthers | 63c | 23.71$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.77 | 586 | 52.9%310 W · 276 L | +23.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e01…7ef0backed Northern Iowa Panthers | 63c | 21.64$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.01 | 229 | 50.7%116 W · 113 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8510…57e6backed Northern Iowa Panthers | 63c | 20.11$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.44 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x586d…fb12backed Northern Iowa Panthers | 66c | 17.2$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.83 | 185 | 57.8%107 W · 78 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7602…2dd6backed Northern Iowa Panthers | 62c | 16.84$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 65cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b12…7a77backed Northern Iowa Panthers | 71c | 15.52$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 523 | 53.5%280 W · 243 L | -17.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Northern Iowa Panthers vs. Drake Bulldogsthis page
- Northern Iowa Panthers vs. Drake Bulldogs: O/U 137.5Under won
- Northern Iowa Panthers vs. Drake Bulldogs: O/U 138.5Under won
- Northern Iowa Panthers vs. Drake Bulldogs: O/U 139.5Under won
- Spread: Northern Iowa Panthers (-3.5)Northern Iowa Panthers won
- Spread: Northern Iowa Panthers (-4.5)Northern Iowa Panthers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.