MLB · resolved market
Cleveland Guardians vs. Kansas City Royals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x57432979576efb1710fabb22485c848d3567d40ad8442035251850baa057cba5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kansas City Royalsof Cleveland Guardians, Kansas City Royals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $422,374
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $466,326
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $422,374 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 290 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Cleveland Guardians | 49c | 162,980$79,570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79,570.4 | 210 | 40%84 W · 126 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Kansas City Royals | 52c | 90,772$47,209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43,562.98 | 771 | 53.8%415 W · 356 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99a7…fc82backed Kansas City Royals | 51c | 61,237$31,231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,005.98 | 142 | 48.6%69 W · 73 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Kansas City Royals | 33c | 41,774$13,905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,868.75 | 360 | 47.5%171 W · 189 L | -13.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Cleveland Guardians | 59c | 19,951$11,683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,683.12 | 10,979 | 51.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L | +139.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3df…82fabacked Kansas City Royals | 53c | 16,660$8,887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,772.88 | 488 | 50.2%245 W · 243 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Cleveland Guardians | 47c | 15,565$7,316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,315.55 | 1,681 | 50.1%842 W · 839 L | -22.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Kansas City Royals | 52c | 11,538$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,538.46 | 983 | 49.8%490 W · 493 L | -18.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed Kansas City Royals | 51c | 10,000$5,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,900 | 124 | 57.3%71 W · 53 L | +7.7wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…41ccbacked Kansas City Royals | 52c | 9,000$4,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,320 | 381 | 48.6%185 W · 196 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Kansas City Royals | 52c | 9,000$4,635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,365 | 5,471 | 50.5%2,763 W · 2,708 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedf0…1e2abacked Cleveland Guardians | 48c | 8,000$3,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,840 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Cleveland Guardians | 48c | 6,646$3,166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,165.64 | 1,527 | 51.1%780 W · 747 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Cleveland Guardians | 24c | 6,083$1,467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,467.37 | 1,113 | 49%545 W · 568 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Cleveland Guardians | 40c | 5,894$2,331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,330.62 | 8,192 | 46.2%3,787 W · 4,405 L | +38.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c55…97d4backed Kansas City Royals | 51c | 5,638$2,888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,749.63 | 136 | 55.1%75 W · 61 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Kansas City Royals | 50c | 5,346$2,668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,678.47 | 479 | 53.2%255 W · 224 L | +18.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed Kansas City Royals | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,450 | 550 | 52.4%288 W · 262 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf11…c679backed Cleveland Guardians | 48c | 3,751$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 289 | 44.3%128 W · 161 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Cleveland Guardians | 49c | 3,205$1,571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,570.64 | 900 | 53.6%482 W · 418 L | +24.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Kansas City Royals | 52c | 3,000$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,439.99 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Cleveland Guardians | 49c | 2,500$1,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,225 | 750 | 49.7%373 W · 377 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Cleveland Guardians | 37c | 2,472$926 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$925.76 | 1,153 | 42.8%494 W · 659 L | -37.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Cleveland Guardians | 47c | 2,392$1,124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,124.24 | 2,375 | 47.3%1,123 W · 1,252 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbf…d37fbacked Kansas City Royals | 55c | 2,375$1,306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,068.75 | 91 | 53.8%49 W · 42 L | +7.9wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Cleveland Guardians | 59c | 2,276$1,344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,344.36 | 11,519 | 52.9%6,092 W · 5,427 L | +213.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Kansas City Royals | 55c | 2,261$1,242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,018.75 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Cleveland Guardians | 53c | 2,170$1,145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,145.12 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Cleveland Guardians | 48c | 2,006$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960.15 | 6,999 | 50.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cef…fa91backed Kansas City Royals | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980 | 146 | 47.3%69 W · 77 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4699…5051backed Cleveland Guardians | 7c | 1,850$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.11 | 170 | 14.1%24 W · 146 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 11cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Cleveland Guardians | 10c | 1,607$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.8 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Cleveland Guardians | 24c | 1,383$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.39 | 1,520 | 59.1%899 W · 621 L | +78.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd714…9a62backed Cleveland Guardians | 47c | 1,081$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.07 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Kansas City Royals | 39c | 1,000$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$609 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa39a…1246backed Kansas City Royals | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 282 | 58.5%165 W · 117 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd5a…63f9backed Cleveland Guardians | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54ea…f74abacked Kansas City Royals | 51c | 839.22$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.22 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0d…8bcabacked Cleveland Guardians | 41c | 799.33$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.06 | 193 | 48.7%94 W · 99 L | +15.6wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +16%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Kansas City Royals | 53c | 775.39$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.78 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Cleveland Guardians | 8c | 752.27$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.18 | 947 | 34.4%326 W · 621 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13e1…7e55backed Cleveland Guardians | 68c | 744.66$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.99 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee96…0634backed Cleveland Guardians | 43c | 656.02$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.94 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Cleveland Guardians | 7c | 638.44$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.05 | 1,194 | 29%346 W · 848 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Kansas City Royals | 54c | 600$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee3…cab9backed Kansas City Royals | 37c | 600$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378 | 162 | 32.1%52 W · 110 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdded…13a2backed Kansas City Royals | 52c | 599.7$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.72 | 202 | 58.4%118 W · 84 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55d8…b384backed Cleveland Guardians | 48c | 567.64$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.79 | 577 | 44.7%258 W · 319 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87af…c990backed Cleveland Guardians | 47c | 531.91$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 327 | 42.2%138 W · 189 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Cleveland Guardians | 25c | 522.89$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.94 | 8,594 | 52.6%4,521 W · 4,073 L | +508.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc0…e57dbacked Cleveland Guardians | 6c | 500.83$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 263 | 15.6%41 W · 222 L | -11.9wins | -0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb2b…e828backed Cleveland Guardians | 48c | 500.22$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 168 | 44%74 W · 94 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Kansas City Royals | 52c | 480.77$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.77 | 1,708 | 49.9%852 W · 856 L | -17.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd51b…9606backed Kansas City Royals | 54c | 460$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.6 | 225 | 48.4%109 W · 116 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc070…203abacked Cleveland Guardians | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 119 | 41.2%49 W · 70 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0d2…ad14backed Kansas City Royals | 52c | 400$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2445…ff62backed Cleveland Guardians | 32c | 399.99$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Kansas City Royals | 53c | 378$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.66 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Cleveland Guardians | 19c | 361.19$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.47 | 352 | 40.3%142 W · 210 L | -23.5wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Cleveland Guardians | 48c | 357.7$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.61 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72f3…d396backed Cleveland Guardians | 48c | 341.51$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 516 | 46.9%242 W · 274 L | -21.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x783b…dc4cbacked Cleveland Guardians | 53c | 324.48$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.14 | 609 | 41.4%252 W · 357 L | -22.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x59b6…307fbacked Cleveland Guardians | 67c | 313.43$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 816 | 57.1%466 W · 350 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…ca8dbacked Cleveland Guardians | 48c | 312.5$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 432 | 47%203 W · 229 L | -19.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6676…22f3backed Cleveland Guardians | 48c | 311.33$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 529 | 47.4%251 W · 278 L | -24.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7479…e171backed Kansas City Royals | 62c | 309.14$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.56 | 169 | 47.3%80 W · 89 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81d7…32d8backed Cleveland Guardians | 49c | 306.38$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Cleveland Guardians | 48c | 300$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 3,303 | 46.3%1,528 W · 1,775 L | +22.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d54…1d3ebacked Cleveland Guardians | 48c | 300$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Cleveland Guardians | 46c | 279.85$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.73 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x459f…c1f5backed Cleveland Guardians | 49c | 275.7$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.09 | 74 | 47.3%35 W · 39 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Cleveland Guardians | 47c | 255.32$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 665 | 51.1%340 W · 325 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd991…faeabacked Cleveland Guardians | 48c | 248.37$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 404 | 49.3%199 W · 205 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f6a…9888backed Kansas City Royals | 55c | 248$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.6 | 790 | 49.2%389 W · 401 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Cleveland Guardians | 48c | 245$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.6 | 1,408 | 48.8%687 W · 721 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7de…2b59backed Cleveland Guardians | 31c | 239.99$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.2 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +3.0wins | +0.16per pick | 42cpaid | +49.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6d…3070backed Cleveland Guardians | 46c | 227$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.01 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacbe…85d4backed Cleveland Guardians | 49c | 222$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.78 | 228 | 49.1%112 W · 116 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea6e…7c46backed Cleveland Guardians | 48c | 218.83$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 674 | 49.4%333 W · 341 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e4a…eee7backed Cleveland Guardians | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 308 | 44.2%136 W · 172 L | -10.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0a…75acbacked Cleveland Guardians | 48c | 212.47$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.95 | 465 | 46%214 W · 251 L | -17.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Cleveland Guardians | 20c | 212.18$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.43 | 841 | 22.7%191 W · 650 L | -81.4wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x21fb…fd64backed Cleveland Guardians | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Cleveland Guardians | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 591 | 50.3%297 W · 294 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Kansas City Royals | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 874 | 53%463 W · 411 L | +16.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe530…a2cabacked Cleveland Guardians | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 415 | 49.2%204 W · 211 L | +22.2wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b1…e904backed Kansas City Royals | 51c | 199.89$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.95 | 693 | 51.9%360 W · 333 L | +26.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc468…530fbacked Kansas City Royals | 75c | 199.79$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.85 | 332 | 74.1%246 W · 86 L | +28.8wins | +0.09per pick | 65cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2fca…819abacked Cleveland Guardians | 66c | 196.97$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 62cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked Cleveland Guardians | 48c | 194.53$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.37 | 354 | 46%163 W · 191 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab9f…75f1backed Cleveland Guardians | 54c | 190$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.65 | 121 | 38%46 W · 75 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…d984backed Kansas City Royals | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 384 | 53.9%207 W · 177 L | +16.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Cleveland Guardians | 59c | 186$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.14 | 5,812 | 43.7%2,541 W · 3,271 L | -188.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Cleveland Guardians | 9c | 184.79$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.71 | 2,044 | 39.5%808 W · 1,236 L | -24.6wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Kansas City Royals | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 524 | 49%257 W · 267 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf504…132ebacked Cleveland Guardians | 37c | 174.77$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | -4.6wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe624…2928backed Cleveland Guardians | 46c | 174$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.04 | 496 | 49.8%247 W · 249 L | +11.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Cleveland Guardians | 24c | 165.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.67 | 4,405 | 44.9%1,978 W · 2,427 L | +80.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f42…8680backed Cleveland Guardians | 47c | 159.57$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 81 | 50.6%41 W · 40 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Cleveland Guardians | 54c | 155.47$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.57 | 120 | 37.5%45 W · 75 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Kansas City Royalsthis page
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 8.5Under won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5)Kansas City Royals won
- Spread: Kansas City Royals (-1.5)Kansas City Royals won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Cleveland Guardians vs. Kansas City RoyalsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.