Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Howard Bison (-14.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf5035dd814b5cb3fc684419134abfaab00e30b90ec7ca7453acdc79e2d162f6e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Howard Bisonof Howard Bison, South Carolina State Bulldogs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,076
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,076 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 8 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked South Carolina State Bulldogs | 45c | 818.18$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.18 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0d2…ad14backed Howard Bison | 55c | 811.09$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.99 | 82 | 57.3%47 W · 35 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked South Carolina State Bulldogs | 48c | 419.69$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.45 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc091…3d42backed Howard Bison | 52c | 280.66$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.72 | 722 | 48.8%352 W · 370 L | -23.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Howard Bison | 51c | 206.34$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.11 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Howard Bison | 51c | 119.7$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.65 | 1,234 | 44.8%553 W · 681 L | -32.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked South Carolina State Bulldogs | 49c | 118.65$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.14 | 343 | 43.4%149 W · 194 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed South Carolina State Bulldogs | 46c | 52$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.98 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Howard Bison (-14.5)this page
- South Carolina State Bulldogs vs. Howard BisonHoward Bison won
- South Carolina State Bulldogs vs. Howard Bison: O/U 131.5Over won
- South Carolina State Bulldogs vs. Howard Bison: O/U 142.5Under won
- South Carolina State Bulldogs vs. Howard Bison: O/U 146.5Under won
- Spread: Howard Bison (-13.5)Howard Bison won
- Spread: Howard Bison (-15.5)Howard Bison won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.