MLB · resolved market
Los Angeles Angels vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa104bdddd5638ef6fe093a895887921afcf6759f7649e3ab0f9987a86f98e6e8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $557,678
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $556,528
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $557,678 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 103 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe934…640bbacked Under | 56c | 411,457$230,038 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230,038.17 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -4.4wins | -0.31per pick | 53cpaid | -58%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Over | 44c | 399,629$176,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223,296.01 | 411 | 49.1%202 W · 209 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc63a…26a0backed Under | 1c | 68,770$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.07 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -2.9wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 44c | 11,496$5,061 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,435.23 | 465 | 47.1%219 W · 246 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e77…8c33backed Under | 56c | 10,951$6,133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,132.65 | 283 | 50.9%144 W · 139 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x412f…30fabacked Over | 44c | 8,621$3,793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,827.83 | 57 | 26.3%15 W · 42 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +221.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 44c | 5,700$2,513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,186.88 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 44c | 5,651$2,491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,160.22 | 1,355 | 49.8%675 W · 680 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa974…ef79backed Over | 46c | 5,000$2,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,699.99 | 220 | 47.7%105 W · 115 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Under | 54c | 4,278$2,307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,306.68 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 46c | 2,669$1,214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,454.45 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 52c | 2,532$1,305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,305.13 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Over | 44c | 2,500$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,400 | 750 | 49.7%373 W · 377 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Under | 55c | 1,780$979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$979 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 45c | 1,508$673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$835.23 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 44c | 1,390$614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$775.39 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Under | 55c | 1,204$662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$662.18 | 218 | 42.7%93 W · 125 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Over | 47c | 1,053$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$558.3 | 1,725 | 50.1%864 W · 861 L | -4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f49…7ce8backed Under | 57c | 974.2$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3129…22edbacked Under | 55c | 884.55$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.5 | 127 | 46.5%59 W · 68 L | -7.7wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 19c | 868.93$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.09 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0656…4d9bbacked Under | 1c | 865.89$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.66 | 136 | 5.9%8 W · 128 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -64.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29b0…3f3cbacked Over | 44c | 831.76$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.78 | 192 | 48.4%93 W · 99 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b66…336abacked Over | 44c | 658.91$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.99 | 116 | 52.6%61 W · 55 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 44c | 653.59$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.01 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Under | 56c | 610$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.6 | 233 | 51.1%119 W · 114 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Over | 47c | 515$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.95 | 1,708 | 49.9%852 W · 856 L | -17.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c74…4a29backed Under | 25c | 496.41$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0204…0e31backed Over | 44c | 461.24$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.29 | 180 | 48.3%87 W · 93 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd7…eac9backed Over | 39c | 457.62$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.15 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +3.1wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Under | 56c | 446$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.76 | 161 | 35.4%57 W · 104 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Over | 46c | 430.11$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.13 | 218 | 47.7%104 W · 114 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf4…66bbbacked Under | 54c | 428.58$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.43 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Over | 44c | 399.95$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.64 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Over | 46c | 317$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.18 | 277 | 51.3%142 W · 135 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd8c…f75abacked Under | 35c | 274.57$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.1 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Under | 56c | 255.85$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.33 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Under | 56c | 251.74$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.63 | 393 | 51.9%204 W · 189 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a97…72ebbacked Under | 56c | 248.61$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.41 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | -6.8wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1030…dd7abacked Under | 56c | 248.61$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.41 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Over | 44c | 241.6$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.3 | 443 | 48.5%215 W · 228 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Under | 34c | 240.56$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.93 | 1,927 | 17.2%331 W · 1,596 L | -320.3wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 46c | 224.67$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.32 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Over | 44c | 219.64$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123 | 126 | 55.6%70 W · 56 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x292e…172cbacked Over | 44c | 219.64$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123 | 100 | 56%56 W · 44 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 56c | 217.36$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.72 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7cb…bc54backed Over | 47c | 206$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.18 | 149 | 53%79 W · 70 L | +10.3wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5316…1d07backed Under | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 116 | 47.4%55 W · 61 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Under | 56c | 178.33$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.54 | 243 | 48.1%117 W · 126 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1489…9924backed Over | 45c | 175.03$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.26 | 185 | 53%98 W · 87 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0828…5cfebacked Under | 54c | 159.91$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.35 | 67 | 49.3%33 W · 34 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ea8…077dbacked Under | 54c | 159.91$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.35 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | -4.1wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5c…9e02backed Under | 54c | 159.91$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.35 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -4.8wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1259backed Under | 54c | 158.47$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.57 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 72c | 143.16$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.08 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Over | 44c | 124.64$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.8 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 56c | 117$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.39 | 1,723 | 50.3%867 W · 856 L | +55.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d14…ff3ebacked Over | 44c | 109.82$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.5 | 128 | 45.3%58 W · 70 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1418…d6a7backed Under | 46c | 105.17$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.38 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.30per pick | 47cpaid | -71.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6747…3695backed Under | 43c | 101.07$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c5c…e316backed Over | 47c | 98.39$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.94 | 132 | 40.2%53 W · 79 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x681d…4cbfbacked Under | 54c | 90.04$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.62 | 478 | 50.4%241 W · 237 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf602…964ebacked Under | 64c | 90$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x354f…95f8backed Under | 75c | 79.71$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.78 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -3.5wins | -0.14per pick | 60cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Under | 45c | 74.43$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.54 | 667 | 49.3%329 W · 338 L | -22.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cbd…d50fbacked Over | 28c | 67.8$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.81 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.33per pick | 42cpaid | +99.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed Under | 56c | 66.63$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.31 | 144 | 42.4%61 W · 83 L | -9.9wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…d603backed Over | 44c | 65.95$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.93 | 137 | 42.3%58 W · 79 L | -7.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…8d89backed Under | 53c | 55.01$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.15 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd650…8d74backed Under | 54c | 53.52$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.96 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -3.3wins | -0.13per pick | 69cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Over | 45c | 53.42$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.38 | 1,269 | 51.1%648 W · 621 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Over | 45c | 53.42$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.38 | 1,043 | 49%511 W · 532 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d5…a8dabacked Over | 46c | 52.59$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.4 | 209 | 55.5%116 W · 93 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x927f…b921backed Under | 56c | 51.95$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.09 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56f6…f46dbacked Under | 57c | 51.27$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55af…8407backed Over | 44c | 50.52$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.29 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 54c | 50.42$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.23 | 107 | 47.7%51 W · 56 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00f7…4476backed Over | 44c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 83 | 60.2%50 W · 33 L | +10.3wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +25%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Under | 54c | 48.62$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.25 | 72 | 56.9%41 W · 31 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee62…bc6abacked Under | 46c | 48.38$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.25 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -3.1wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Under | 56c | 47.88$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.87 | 452 | 46.2%209 W · 243 L | -18.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked Under | 54c | 44.85$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.3 | 294 | 50.7%149 W · 145 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5587…6d07backed Over | 44c | 43.93$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.6 | 516 | 56.6%292 W · 224 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked Under | 56c | 43.57$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.23 | 377 | 47.2%178 W · 199 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Under | 56c | 43.55$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.23 | 286 | 46.2%132 W · 154 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf421…2e3abacked Under | 54c | 40.64$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.95 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b8c…31c3backed Under | 54c | 40.64$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.95 | 58 | 41.4%24 W · 34 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Under | 59c | 40$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.72 | 777 | 52.1%405 W · 372 L | +36.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 56c | 37.79$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.16 | 323 | 48.9%158 W · 165 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 66c | 37.35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.53 | 1,269 | 47.4%602 W · 667 L | -31.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a4…5422backed Over | 47c | 37.08$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.65 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Under | 67c | 34.95$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.24 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa938…3bc3backed Under | 56c | 34.77$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.47 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfe7…8daabacked Over | 64c | 30.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.07 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +178.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcd2d…d7f8backed Under | 57c | 30.63$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.46 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -5.8wins | -0.18per pick | 53cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x03eb…47b0backed Under | 54c | 29.26$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.8 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90cb…4622backed Over | 44c | 28.55$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.99 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a7c…a18bbacked Under | 65c | 27.84$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.02 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…0fb4backed Under | 57c | 24.5$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.95 | 217 | 46.5%101 W · 116 L | -10.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1632…ad5abacked Over | 47c | 22$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.66 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 6.5this page
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Chicago CubsChicago Cubs won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 7.5Over won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 8.5Under won
- NRFI: Los Angeles Angels vs. Chicago CubsYes won
- Spread: Chicago Cubs (-1.5)Chicago Cubs won
- Spread: Chicago Cubs (-2.5)Chicago Cubs won
- Spread: Chicago Cubs (-3.5)Chicago Cubs won
- Spread: Chicago Cubs (-5.5)Los Angeles Angels won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.