TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Los Angeles Angels vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 6.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$557,678
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$556,528

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $557,678 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 103 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe934…640bbacked Under56c411,457$230,038 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230,038.171421.4%3 W · 11 L-4.4wins-0.31per pick53cpaid-58%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xb45a…192cbacked Over44c399,629$176,333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223,296.0141149.1%202 W · 209 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc63a…26a0backed Under1c68,770$447 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$447.072626.9%7 W · 19 L-2.9wins-0.11per pick38cpaid-25.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over44c11,496$5,061 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,435.2346547.1%219 W · 246 L+5.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e77…8c33backed Under56c10,951$6,133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,132.6528350.9%144 W · 139 L-0.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x412f…30fabacked Over44c8,621$3,793 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,827.835726.3%15 W · 42 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick32cpaid+221.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over44c5,700$2,513 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,186.886,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over44c5,651$2,491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,160.221,35549.8%675 W · 680 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa974…ef79backed Over46c5,000$2,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,699.9922047.7%105 W · 115 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Under54c4,278$2,307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,306.681,02951.2%527 W · 502 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over46c2,669$1,214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,454.456,11655.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L+344.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under52c2,532$1,305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,305.132,38943.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Over44c2,500$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,40075049.7%373 W · 377 L+7.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Under55c1,780$979 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9791,90953.5%1,021 W · 888 L+29.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over45c1,508$673 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$835.239,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over44c1,390$614 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$775.395,40150.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L+17.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Under55c1,204$662 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$662.1821842.7%93 W · 125 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Over47c1,053$495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$558.31,72550.1%864 W · 861 L-4.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f49…7ce8backed Under57c974.2$555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$555.2910%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3129…22edbacked Under55c884.55$487 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$486.512746.5%59 W · 68 L-7.7wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-7.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under19c868.93$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.0912,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0656…4d9bbacked Under1c865.89$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.661365.9%8 W · 128 L+0.6wins0.00per pick5cpaid-64.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29b0…3f3cbacked Over44c831.76$366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$465.7819248.4%93 W · 99 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9b66…336abacked Over44c658.91$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$368.9911652.6%61 W · 55 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Over44c653.59$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$366.011,52148.6%739 W · 782 L-5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x20d6…3856backed Under56c610$342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$341.623351.1%119 W · 114 L+11.4wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+14.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Over47c515$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272.951,70849.9%852 W · 856 L-17.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c74…4a29backed Under25c496.41$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.120%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0204…0e31backed Over44c461.24$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.2918048.3%87 W · 93 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+18.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbcd7…eac9backed Over39c457.62$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.152962.1%18 W · 11 L+3.1wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+19.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked Under56c446$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.7616135.4%57 W · 104 L-6.1wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-17.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Over46c430.11$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.1321847.7%104 W · 114 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfcf4…66bbbacked Under54c428.58$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.436253.2%33 W · 29 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Over44c399.95$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.642,94751.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L-34.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Over46c317$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.1827751.3%142 W · 135 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd8c…f75abacked Under35c274.57$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.11450%7 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-19.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Under56c255.85$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.331,21547.6%578 W · 637 L-19.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Under56c251.74$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.6339351.9%204 W · 189 L+1.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a97…72ebbacked Under56c248.61$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.414231%13 W · 29 L-6.8wins-0.16per pick47cpaid-42.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x1030…dd7abacked Under56c248.61$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.418246.3%38 W · 44 L-4.0wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Over44c241.6$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.344348.5%215 W · 228 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Under34c240.56$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.931,92717.2%331 W · 1,596 L-320.3wins-0.17per pick34cpaid-64.3%equal weight32-0.16 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over46c224.67$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.3210,84651.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L+137.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x450b…11d7backed Over44c219.64$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12312655.6%70 W · 56 L+5.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x292e…172cbacked Over44c219.64$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12310056%56 W · 44 L+4.9wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Under56c217.36$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.721,34547.7%642 W · 703 L+10.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7cb…bc54backed Over47c206$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.1814953%79 W · 70 L+10.3wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5316…1d07backed Under53c200$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10611647.4%55 W · 61 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked Under56c178.33$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.5424348.1%117 W · 126 L-8.5wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1489…9924backed Over45c175.03$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.2618553%98 W · 87 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0828…5cfebacked Under54c159.91$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.356749.3%33 W · 34 L0.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8ea8…077dbacked Under54c159.91$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.354139%16 W · 25 L-4.1wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-18.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3f5c…9e02backed Under54c159.91$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.355040%20 W · 30 L-4.8wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-25.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xec56…1259backed Under54c158.47$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.572846.4%13 W · 15 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under72c143.16$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.084,03557.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L+72.2wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed Over44c124.64$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.86647%31 W · 35 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under56c117$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.391,72350.3%867 W · 856 L+55.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d14…ff3ebacked Over44c109.82$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.512845.3%58 W · 70 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1418…d6a7backed Under46c105.17$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.38616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.30per pick47cpaid-71.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6747…3695backed Under43c101.07$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.4610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c5c…e316backed Over47c98.39$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.9413240.2%53 W · 79 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-0.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x681d…4cbfbacked Under54c90.04$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.6247850.4%241 W · 237 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf602…964ebacked Under64c90$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x354f…95f8backed Under75c79.71$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.782445.8%11 W · 13 L-3.5wins-0.14per pick60cpaid-25.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Under45c74.43$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.5466749.3%329 W · 338 L-22.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3cbd…d50fbacked Over28c67.8$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.81475%3 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.33per pick42cpaid+99.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0056…a7f7backed Under56c66.63$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.3114442.4%61 W · 83 L-9.9wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-14.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5f39…d603backed Over44c65.95$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.9313742.3%58 W · 79 L-7.9wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-14.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xef2e…8d89backed Under53c55.01$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.155450%27 W · 27 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd650…8d74backed Under54c53.52$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.962556%14 W · 11 L-3.3wins-0.13per pick69cpaid-16.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Over45c53.42$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.381,26951.1%648 W · 621 L+23.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Over45c53.42$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.381,04349%511 W · 532 L+3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd4d5…a8dabacked Over46c52.59$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.420955.5%116 W · 93 L+10.6wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x927f…b921backed Under56c51.95$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.093754.1%20 W · 17 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56f6…f46dbacked Under57c51.27$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.2310%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x55af…8407backed Over44c50.52$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.292857.1%16 W · 12 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+13.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Under54c50.42$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.2310747.7%51 W · 56 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x00f7…4476backed Over44c50$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288360.2%50 W · 33 L+10.3wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+25%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Under54c48.62$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.257256.9%41 W · 31 L+6.1wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+16.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xee62…bc6abacked Under46c48.38$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.252128.6%6 W · 15 L-3.1wins-0.15per pick43cpaid-34.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Under56c47.88$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.8745246.2%209 W · 243 L-18.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-11%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x06e7…3acabacked Under54c44.85$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.329450.7%149 W · 145 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5587…6d07backed Over44c43.93$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.651656.6%292 W · 224 L+11.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa975…42eebacked Under56c43.57$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.2337747.2%178 W · 199 L-10.8wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Under56c43.55$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.2328646.2%132 W · 154 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-9.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf421…2e3abacked Under54c40.64$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.952944.8%13 W · 16 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-16.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b8c…31c3backed Under54c40.64$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.955841.4%24 W · 34 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-10.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Under59c40$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.7277752.1%405 W · 372 L+36.0wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under56c37.79$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.1632348.9%158 W · 165 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Over66c37.35$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.531,26947.4%602 W · 667 L-31.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-13.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb5a4…5422backed Over47c37.08$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.655851.7%30 W · 28 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Under67c34.95$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.245,23456.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L+130.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa938…3bc3backed Under56c34.77$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.472857.1%16 W · 12 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+11.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfe7…8daabacked Over64c30.64$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.073100%3 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+178.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcd2d…d7f8backed Under57c30.63$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.463234.4%11 W · 21 L-5.8wins-0.18per pick53cpaid-31.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x03eb…47b0backed Under54c29.26$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.81838.9%7 W · 11 L-1.8wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-21.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x90cb…4622backed Over44c28.55$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.993360.6%20 W · 13 L+2.7wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+21.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2a7c…a18bbacked Under65c27.84$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.0220%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5f22…0fb4backed Under57c24.5$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.9521746.5%101 W · 116 L-10.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-9.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1632…ad5abacked Over47c22$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.66862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+24.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.