TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ligue 1 · resolved market

RC Strasbourg Alsace vs. Paris FC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$162,554

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $162,554 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 110 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa710…23c4backed Over55c119,024$64,872 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64,871.69250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under45c77,118$35,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42,078.7721144.5%94 W · 117 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under50c17,211$8,592 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,618.961,91645.5%872 W · 1,044 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Over55c11,000$6,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,0505156.9%29 W · 22 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+13.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over55c9,165$5,041 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,040.6912839.8%51 W · 77 L-9.8wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-18.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under45c7,142$3,226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,916.251,41540.8%577 W · 838 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea00…c1f1backed Under46c7,000$3,220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,7802751.9%14 W · 13 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+16.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a40…c93fbacked Under46c5,160$2,372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,788.25060%30 W · 20 L+4.7wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+28.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under45c3,492$1,585 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,906.7187344.3%387 W · 486 L+1.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid+7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed Under47c3,000$1,410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,589.992334.8%8 W · 15 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick30cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under45c2,590$1,175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,414.7529949.8%149 W · 150 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc39…1564backed Under46c2,000$910 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0902254.5%12 W · 10 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+28.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x51c8…3478backed Over53c1,887$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Under46c1,600$728 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8726756.7%38 W · 29 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+17.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc1b3…501cbacked Under46c1,434$659 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$774.831361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+16.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6b09…2c43backed Under46c876$403 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$473.041464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.7wins+0.19per pick45cpaid+38.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbb58…86a4backed Under45c865.22$389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$475.87966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+49.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under45c778$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$427.99553.7%51 W · 44 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x332a…33babacked Under49c735.29$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$375.291618.8%3 W · 13 L-3.8wins-0.24per pick43cpaid-33.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xcf37…993fbacked Under47c613.85$286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$327.943135.5%11 W · 20 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-14.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Under46c600$273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32717756.5%100 W · 77 L+7.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+14.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Under46c600$273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3275364.2%34 W · 19 L+7.0wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+31.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Under46c600$273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32723260.8%141 W · 91 L+15.1wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+13.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Under46c600$273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32713655.9%76 W · 60 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+11.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Under46c460$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.711556.5%65 W · 50 L+6.6wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+13.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over42c454.66$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.7359348.4%287 W · 306 L+8.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed Under46c450$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24310948.6%53 W · 56 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-1.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed Under46c400$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2184562.2%28 W · 17 L+5.9wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+33%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed Under46c400$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2189355.9%52 W · 41 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+17.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Under46c400$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2189954.5%54 W · 45 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed Under46c360$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.28460.7%51 W · 33 L+8.9wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+26.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed Under46c300$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16210952.3%57 W · 52 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd810…2eb8backed Under46c300$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.52352.2%12 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed Under46c250$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1357163.4%45 W · 26 L+8.7wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+28.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7398…f4b6backed Under46c240$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.88355.4%46 W · 37 L+4.9wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+15.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf79e…9a84backed Under46c240$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.810653.8%57 W · 49 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x864c…735fbacked Under46c240$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.88355.4%46 W · 37 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+15.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0fad…aa0fbacked Under46c240$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.88755.2%48 W · 39 L+4.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+13.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa800…cc71backed Under46c240$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.87655.3%42 W · 34 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+14.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdcf7…bcbebacked Under46c240$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.810556.2%59 W · 46 L+5.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+14.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed Under46c240$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.88858%51 W · 37 L+5.8wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+16.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Under45c239.61$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.619256.5%52 W · 40 L+5.5wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+14.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Over53c230.98$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.4220150.2%101 W · 100 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa494…4a1fbacked Under46c210$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.44252.4%22 W · 20 L+0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked Under48c208.24$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.2811753.8%63 W · 54 L+6.3wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+16.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd2dc…b3c5backed Under46c180$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.29158.2%53 W · 38 L+7.4wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+22%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6619…703ebacked Over53c169.81$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$903557.1%20 W · 15 L-4.5wins-0.13per pick70cpaid-21.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfb95…a5ccbacked Under45c150$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.52128.6%6 W · 15 L-5.0wins-0.24per pick52cpaid-49.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Under46c150$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8120860.6%126 W · 82 L+12.4wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+11.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x50e9…5efebacked Over56c140$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.47353.4%39 W · 34 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca43…9d5cbacked Under47c137.85$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.741060%6 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+14.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x28e8…6080backed Under46c136.39$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.323348.5%16 W · 17 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over30c120$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.0816224.1%39 W · 123 L-13.0wins-0.08per pick32cpaid-42.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x84fc…9db4backed Under46c120$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.89354.8%51 W · 42 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+13.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Under46c120$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.811256.3%63 W · 49 L+6.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+14.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6afd…5cb1backed Under46c120$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.47857.7%45 W · 33 L+5.7wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+19.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9014…db4abacked Over51c120$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.26053.3%32 W · 28 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x90f9…e894backed Under46c120$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.47057.1%40 W · 30 L+4.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+14.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa620…ca56backed Under46c120$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.89355.9%52 W · 41 L+4.4wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+14.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd2a2…004abacked Under46c120$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.810756.1%60 W · 47 L+5.6wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+14.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x778e…ccd1backed Under46c120$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.46355.6%35 W · 28 L+3.7wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+15.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x04b7…7491backed Over55c112$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.6666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+41%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Under52c111.49$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.217251.2%88 W · 84 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x851a…6565backed Over11c110$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.110%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under46c108.69$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.6926550.6%134 W · 131 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa97e…7753backed Under46c100$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.58653.5%46 W · 40 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8bdf…8adabacked Under46c100$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.510158.4%59 W · 42 L+7.6wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+20.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Over43c100$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4322340.8%91 W · 132 L-8.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe013…1ddcbacked Under48c100$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$521464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.2wins+0.16per pick48cpaid+52.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Over53c100$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5331049.4%153 W · 157 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe601…c728backed Under46c100$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.510652.8%56 W · 50 L+0.5wins0.00per pick52cpaid+7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea2e…d695backed Under46c100$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.510055%55 W · 45 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+12.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Under46c94.43$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.92552%13 W · 12 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+0.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x56a7…9f37backed Over55c90.9$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.811136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.15per pick51cpaid-36.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7e2a…a58dbacked Under48c87.88$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.72373.9%17 W · 6 L+4.3wins+0.19per pick55cpaid+36.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x65b5…a9f7backed Under46c80$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.66555.4%36 W · 29 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x97b3…4a85backed Under46c80$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.91540%6 W · 9 L-2.2wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-30%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5af1…f988backed Under46c80$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.66656.1%37 W · 29 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+12.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4edd…b1a1backed Under46c80$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.69655.2%53 W · 43 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+14.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9075…cfe8backed Over19c78.95$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155650%28 W · 28 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-14.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xde66…be48backed Under48c76.12$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.581283.3%10 W · 2 L+3.2wins+0.26per pick57cpaid+44.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xfb8a…8775backed Under55c72.73$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.731275%9 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.13per pick62cpaid+23.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa427…f87fbacked Under46c67.2$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.622857.1%16 W · 12 L+2.1wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+21%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf48e…1e01backed Over53c66$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.98633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.27per pick60cpaid-44.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Under44c65.91$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.9138056.6%215 W · 165 L+11.1wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Under46c61.86$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.47766.2%51 W · 26 L+10.7wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+27.9%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under47c59.77$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.6827049.6%134 W · 136 L+7.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x69ee…6e35backed Under45c59.47$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.5414057.1%80 W · 60 L+6.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9a67…0b8abacked Under45c54.18$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.81060%6 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+48.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe293…d3edbacked Under47c53.77$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.51457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-7.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Under49c53.07$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.136368.3%43 W · 20 L+5.6wins+0.09per pick59cpaid+14.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x02ea…220cbacked Under48c52.08$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.083231.3%10 W · 22 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-33.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc770…8dbbbacked Over56c50$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286253.2%33 W · 29 L-4.4wins-0.07per pick60cpaid-16.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0e41…36f2backed Over56c40$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.49355.9%52 W · 41 L0.0wins0.00per pick56cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4168…a631backed Under48c38.85$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.21428.6%4 W · 10 L-3.6wins-0.25per pick54cpaid-51%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xdfca…2db8backed Under46c35.98$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.25757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3bcd…1a94backed Over56c35.71$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203351.5%17 W · 16 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid+4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Under52c34.3$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.598434.5%29 W · 55 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x087f…2ebfbacked Over52c32.78$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.131764.7%11 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick63cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x927f…b921backed Over56c32.57$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.24666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+30.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.