Ligue 1 · resolved market
RC Strasbourg Alsace vs. Paris FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0470d746c38e7e11c83cbcc9fa248a08d33ea6c57cde34dff3f0994763a608eb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,237
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,237 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd146…9bf0backed Under | 23c | 2,999$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,309.24 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 49c | 2,442$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,242.43 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c80…93b5backed Over | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2dc…b624backed Over | 35c | 999.69$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.89 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5dc4…99adbacked Under | 24c | 840.3$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640.3 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 23c | 778.27$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$601.71 | 331 | 48.6%161 W · 170 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 76c | 766.22$584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$583.82 | 873 | 44.3%387 W · 486 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 47c | 554.71$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.87 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Under | 31c | 522.61$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.03 | 84 | 34.5%29 W · 55 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Over | 23c | 400$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 117 | 25.6%30 W · 87 L | -9.7wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6619…703ebacked Over | 77c | 389.61$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | -4.5wins | -0.13per pick | 70cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc4cc…ed73backed Under | 25c | 300$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.75per pick | 25cpaid | +300%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e7…3345backed Over | 75c | 300$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0497…c5e3backed Over | 6c | 295$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.8 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +58.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 23c | 250$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.5 | 270 | 49.6%134 W · 136 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa4…ea76backed Over | 78c | 250$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Over | 47c | 235.65$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.9 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Under | 52c | 198$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.04 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +16%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc253…5800backed Over | 77c | 194.81$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -2.7wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a94…769cbacked Over | 36c | 166.67$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 60c | 158$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.8 | 263 | 46.4%122 W · 141 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x740b…997fbacked Over | 14c | 104.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x027b…5587backed Over | 49c | 101.94$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.95 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 45c | 101.09$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.49 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c8f…d581backed Over | 35c | 101$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.99 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc770…8dbbbacked Over | 80c | 100$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 82 | 54.9%45 W · 37 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d9f…77aebacked Over | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc32…00bfbacked Over | 56c | 80.65$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dad…a040backed Over | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 70cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e72…54f0backed Under | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +4.9wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6a1f…5ea8backed Over | 49c | 71.43$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d6…fa72backed Over | 49c | 71.43$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x006a…14edbacked Over | 76c | 65.79$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Under | 20c | 65.19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.15 | 380 | 56.6%215 W · 165 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…36f2backed Over | 49c | 61$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.89 | 93 | 55.9%52 W · 41 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Over | 77c | 59.05$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.47 | 310 | 49.4%153 W · 157 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb17…32b2backed Under | 23c | 52.96$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.78 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Over | 78c | 52.26$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.69 | 117 | 53.8%63 W · 54 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f31…e2b6backed Over | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa060…0747backed Over | 23c | 43.75$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 46cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 24c | 42.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.33 | 626 | 48.6%304 W · 322 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb18c…df51backed Over | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Over | 77c | 36.6$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.18 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 47c | 33.03$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.44 | 172 | 51.2%88 W · 84 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 80c | 32.42$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.9 | 92 | 62%57 W · 35 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 50c | 31.3$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.59 | 162 | 24.1%39 W · 123 L | -13.0wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x16aa…821cbacked Over | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8490…3243backed Over | 78c | 26.59$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.74 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7683…d8e3backed Over | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0bb…049fbacked Under | 44c | 23.93$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.38 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb95…a5ccbacked Over | 80c | 20$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -5.0wins | -0.24per pick | 52cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xab08…37fabacked Over | 56c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.11 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.39per pick | 56cpaid | -75.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Under | 58c | 17.15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.12 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- RC Strasbourg Alsace vs. Paris FC: O/U 1.5this page
- RC Strasbourg Alsace vs. Paris FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- RC Strasbourg Alsace vs. Paris FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- RC Strasbourg Alsace vs. Paris FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- RC Strasbourg Alsace vs. Paris FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: RC Strasbourg Alsace (-1.5)Paris FC won
- Spread: RC Strasbourg Alsace (-2.5)Paris FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.