MLB · resolved market
Boston Red Sox vs. Minnesota Twins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa49c8cb3ed1119124427f778372ba971ea6559d80c5ee3ef1ecf5c1c5bdc0770
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Minnesota Twinsof Boston Red Sox, Minnesota Twins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,066
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,066 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 78 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Minnesota Twins | 42c | 3,682$1,541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,140.25 | 465 | 47.1%219 W · 246 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Boston Red Sox | 57c | 3,656$2,093 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,093.13 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Minnesota Twins | 42c | 3,333$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,933.13 | 672 | 50.1%337 W · 335 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12f1…3cd3backed Boston Red Sox | 22c | 2,500$558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$558.08 | 182 | 43.4%79 W · 103 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…1d79backed Boston Red Sox | 59c | 1,692$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 262 | 45.8%120 W · 142 L | -17.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Boston Red Sox | 59c | 1,630$964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$963.71 | 149 | 53%79 W · 70 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Minnesota Twins | 42c | 1,240$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$722.65 | 555 | 41.4%230 W · 325 L | -26.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Boston Red Sox | 58c | 1,061$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$615.43 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x523e…3128backed Minnesota Twins | 78c | 934.44$732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.86 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Minnesota Twins | 43c | 746$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.53 | 98 | 37.8%37 W · 61 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Boston Red Sox | 25c | 720.23$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.12 | 218 | 42.7%93 W · 125 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fca…e8edbacked Minnesota Twins | 66c | 657.06$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.4 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Boston Red Sox | 58c | 629.33$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.99 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Minnesota Twins | 55c | 513.88$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.91 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Boston Red Sox | 58c | 512$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.96 | 1,053 | 47.3%498 W · 555 L | -14.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Minnesota Twins | 30c | 496.05$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.62 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Boston Red Sox | 60c | 490$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.88 | 205 | 48.3%99 W · 106 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45e8…5169backed Minnesota Twins | 71c | 471.16$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.49 | 72 | 62.5%45 W · 27 L | +10.2wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x800b…152abacked Boston Red Sox | 66c | 379$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -3.8wins | -0.34per pick | 53cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0bfe…5c6cbacked Minnesota Twins | 45c | 343.51$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.51 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked Boston Red Sox | 60c | 306.35$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.37 | 352 | 45.5%160 W · 192 L | -13.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Minnesota Twins | 45c | 275.72$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.29 | 1,723 | 50.3%867 W · 856 L | +55.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Minnesota Twins | 40c | 219$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.4 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Boston Red Sox | 60c | 205.87$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.52 | 664 | 48.2%320 W · 344 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Minnesota Twins | 43c | 199.96$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.98 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed Minnesota Twins | 41c | 190$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 688 | 46.8%322 W · 366 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e5…697abacked Minnesota Twins | 40c | 189.25$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.55 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +57.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Boston Red Sox | 56c | 170.4$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.32 | 770 | 50.5%389 W · 381 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58f2…692ebacked Boston Red Sox | 60c | 167$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.2 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | -5.7wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x578a…eaa8backed Minnesota Twins | 40c | 166$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb580…9b95backed Minnesota Twins | 77c | 163$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.74 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Minnesota Twins | 79c | 159$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 103 | 53.4%55 W · 48 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8890…cefbbacked Boston Red Sox | 66c | 156.72$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.35 | 509 | 62.9%320 W · 189 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Minnesota Twins | 40c | 149$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.62 | 198 | 48.5%96 W · 102 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdad…9eaebacked Minnesota Twins | 40c | 149$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.4 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Boston Red Sox | 23c | 148.12$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.94 | 1,927 | 17.2%331 W · 1,596 L | -320.3wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Minnesota Twins | 60c | 130.38$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.92 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Minnesota Twins | 27c | 124.62$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.56 | 351 | 37%130 W · 221 L | -17.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x155a…b549backed Boston Red Sox | 57c | 121.88$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.27 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Minnesota Twins | 51c | 103.82$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.27 | 852 | 35.8%305 W · 547 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Minnesota Twins | 31c | 102.16$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.75 | 841 | 22.7%191 W · 650 L | -81.4wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Minnesota Twins | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 1,292 | 50.2%648 W · 644 L | +18.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…4eb8backed Boston Red Sox | 58c | 100$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 126 | 51.6%65 W · 61 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Minnesota Twins | 41c | 99.81$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.28 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3db8…08f6backed Boston Red Sox | 45c | 78.37$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb171…7d2bbacked Boston Red Sox | 58c | 68.97$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Minnesota Twins | 36c | 68.93$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.91 | 430 | 43%185 W · 245 L | -13.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Boston Red Sox | 33c | 67.27$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.52 | 2,545 | 45.9%1,168 W · 1,377 L | -73.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Boston Red Sox | 62c | 66.32$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.12 | 473 | 45.7%216 W · 257 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Minnesota Twins | 63c | 57$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.94 | 946 | 55.3%523 W · 423 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Minnesota Twins | 42c | 54.13$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.39 | 170 | 50%85 W · 85 L | +8.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ec8…99d2backed Minnesota Twins | 34c | 53$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.13 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +139.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0204…0e31backed Boston Red Sox | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 180 | 48.3%87 W · 93 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5271…0f95backed Minnesota Twins | 44c | 52.12$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.94 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9865…f6afbacked Minnesota Twins | 40c | 51.9$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.9 | 310 | 32.9%102 W · 208 L | +15.4wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x304e…9ce6backed Boston Red Sox | 58c | 51.88$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 61cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa295…f55abacked Minnesota Twins | 43c | 51.16$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15c5…4692backed Minnesota Twins | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.8 | 403 | 51.4%207 W · 196 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Boston Red Sox | 69c | 50$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 137 | 52.6%72 W · 65 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c06…bbeebacked Boston Red Sox | 54c | 49.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +3.5wins | +0.35per pick | 45cpaid | +78.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf237…4989backed Minnesota Twins | 42c | 36.34$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.91 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -4.1wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c8…e340backed Boston Red Sox | 41c | 36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.76 | 41 | 9.8%4 W · 37 L | -10.5wins | -0.26per pick | 35cpaid | -62.6%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x33c6…6daabacked Minnesota Twins | 37c | 34$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f15…0ce5backed Boston Red Sox | 57c | 31.98$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.23 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Minnesota Twins | 42c | 30.88$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.96 | 1,466 | 44.1%647 W · 819 L | +44.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d78…a4ccbacked Minnesota Twins | 46c | 28.26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b6…d7cebacked Boston Red Sox | 36c | 27.85$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -2.4wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Boston Red Sox | 55c | 26.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.54 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Minnesota Twins | 50c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.46 | 374 | 44.4%166 W · 208 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b95…07e5backed Boston Red Sox | 63c | 22.35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.99 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed Boston Red Sox | 67c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.36 | 81 | 54.3%44 W · 37 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5da…7f7fbacked Boston Red Sox | 69c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.74 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.40per pick | 65cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2639…a9b6backed Boston Red Sox | 64c | 19$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.16 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a9c…c851backed Boston Red Sox | 59c | 18.64$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Boston Red Sox | 63c | 18.16$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.44 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Boston Red Sox | 65c | 18.13$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.85 | 393 | 44.3%174 W · 219 L | -22.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf20…5be2backed Boston Red Sox | 61c | 17.92$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.99 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Boston Red Sox | 57c | 17.55$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 509 | 49.5%252 W · 257 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.