NHL · resolved market
DEL: Eisbaeren Berlin vs. Adler Mannheim
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc3d8715ef41f51f5559f018e5b10bfefa5e1c7c7fc1cfdea50fd05f5fffedc81
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Eisbaeren Berlinof Eisbaeren Berlin, Adler Mannheim
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,248
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,248 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x56d4…9c57backed Adler Mannheim | 47c | 3,954$1,847 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,847.16 | 231 | 55%127 W · 104 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad15…ee7fbacked Eisbaeren Berlin | 54c | 1,248$674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$574.15 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b4…75a0backed Eisbaeren Berlin | 53c | 874.92$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.21 | 85 | 44.7%38 W · 47 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Adler Mannheim | 46c | 592.43$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.52 | 141 | 40.4%57 W · 84 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Eisbaeren Berlin | 53c | 570$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.94 | 538 | 49.4%266 W · 272 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bfe…5c6cbacked Eisbaeren Berlin | 53c | 529.45$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.45 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe8…1141backed Eisbaeren Berlin | 53c | 375.47$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.47 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbd1…553dbacked Eisbaeren Berlin | 53c | 205.53$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.6 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4f…46c2backed Eisbaeren Berlin | 53c | 192$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.24 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8642…47c8backed Eisbaeren Berlin | 54c | 138.89$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.89 | 90 | 48.9%44 W · 46 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Eisbaeren Berlin | 53c | 106$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.82 | 337 | 45.7%154 W · 183 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…4eb8backed Eisbaeren Berlin | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 116 | 55.2%64 W · 52 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x622b…5a4abacked Eisbaeren Berlin | 53c | 75$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.25 | 124 | 48.4%60 W · 64 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +20%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…2075backed Adler Mannheim | 48c | 64.6$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.01 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Adler Mannheim | 46c | 60.25$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.88 | 865 | 49.1%425 W · 440 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed Eisbaeren Berlin | 54c | 60.03$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.61 | 175 | 53.1%93 W · 82 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa049…4314backed Eisbaeren Berlin | 54c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.6 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed Eisbaeren Berlin | 54c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72ab…8d29backed Eisbaeren Berlin | 55c | 25.65$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.54 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.