CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs TDK - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x35336a8f6e192c4d27007c980409e6d494df22c3539d2d0d1fbfb110549d2a51
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- TDKof ex-RUBY, TDK
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,585
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,038
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,585 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed ex-RUBY | 26c | 1,880$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.6 | 2,326 | 45.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb209…b744backed TDK | 72c | 1,466$1,057 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.5 | 293 | 40.6%119 W · 174 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked ex-RUBY | 28c | 1,453$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.31 | 1,011 | 52.3%529 W · 482 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7460…de6ebacked TDK | 50c | 1,297$648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$648.3 | 439 | 51.7%227 W · 212 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked TDK | 66c | 1,000$662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.79 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked ex-RUBY | 38c | 841.1$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.03 | 1,650 | 32.7%540 W · 1,110 L | -49.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x953e…79ffbacked TDK | 61c | 450$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.5 | 303 | 48.5%147 W · 156 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked TDK | 68c | 355.7$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.16 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb55b…c5b4backed ex-RUBY | 28c | 280$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.4 | 351 | 53.8%189 W · 162 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed TDK | 70c | 224.63$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.58 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb71…4371backed ex-RUBY | 32c | 170$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.13 | 858 | 51.6%443 W · 415 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed44…4f76backed TDK | 76c | 156.87$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.46 | 519 | 42.2%219 W · 300 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb87…a45dbacked ex-RUBY | 30c | 135.52$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.33 | 304 | 50.7%154 W · 150 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb98a…914bbacked ex-RUBY | 30c | 131.2$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.05 | 114 | 46.5%53 W · 61 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c6c…5e36backed TDK | 78c | 127.19$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.96 | 239 | 56.5%135 W · 104 L | +15.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked TDK | 74c | 122.26$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.18 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed ex-RUBY | 16c | 120$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x0bfe…5c6cbacked ex-RUBY | 45c | 120$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 229 | 54.6%125 W · 104 L | +7.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e0…0d8abacked ex-RUBY | 27c | 113.91$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.32 | 330 | 57.3%189 W · 141 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa19d…3909backed ex-RUBY | 34c | 90$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 285 | 49.5%141 W · 144 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x905a…d4bcbacked ex-RUBY | 45c | 88.89$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed ex-RUBY | 34c | 74.14$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.21 | 1,365 | 66.3%905 W · 460 L | +76.1wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc593…ea8cbacked ex-RUBY | 29c | 68.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.87 | 271 | 56.8%154 W · 117 L | +13.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked ex-RUBY | 36c | 68.2$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.39 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked TDK | 67c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.75 | 1,591 | 46.6%741 W · 850 L | +30.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd001…f718backed ex-RUBY | 35c | 43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.05 | 286 | 51%146 W · 140 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b4…a38abacked ex-RUBY | 30c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b25…10aabacked ex-RUBY | 30c | 37.04$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.11 | 850 | 54.4%462 W · 388 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b22…377ebacked TDK | 72c | 37$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.41 | 361 | 74.8%270 W · 91 L | +13.2wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs TDK - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs TDK (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 PlayoffsTDK won
- Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs TDK - Map 1 WinnerTDK won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: TDK (-1.5) vs ex-RUBY (+1.5)TDK won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.