CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs TDK (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5c1f170977f525b5646598bcb6bd8336f0e0d029ec9251f20213f7bfa4905f43
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- TDKof ex-RUBY, TDK
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,766
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,538
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,766 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed ex-RUBY | 20c | 1,534$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.5 | 1,649 | 46.9%774 W · 875 L | -28.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed ex-RUBY | 11c | 1,197$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.65 | 2,365 | 45.4%1,074 W · 1,291 L | -58.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked ex-RUBY | 18c | 850.64$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.31 | 1,302 | 41.2%536 W · 766 L | -50.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc620…7a70backed ex-RUBY | 25c | 749.99$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 155 | 40%62 W · 93 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed ex-RUBY | 24c | 658.32$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.4 | 2,554 | 41.3%1,054 W · 1,500 L | -116.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked TDK | 61c | 649.69$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.91 | 1,629 | 44.8%730 W · 899 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed ex-RUBY | 14c | 615.44$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.77 | 5,341 | 31.3%1,674 W · 3,667 L | -390.7wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed TDK | 76c | 595.15$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.76 | 6,501 | 42.9%2,791 W · 3,710 L | -79.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed ex-RUBY | 35c | 558.28$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.48 | 5,876 | 37.7%2,213 W · 3,663 L | +71.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed44…4f76backed TDK | 75c | 540.98$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.4 | 522 | 42.5%222 W · 300 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked ex-RUBY | 19c | 436.37$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.03 | 2,397 | 42.7%1,023 W · 1,374 L | -73.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce7…bfadbacked ex-RUBY | 13c | 378.81$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked TDK | 77c | 356.55$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.38 | 5,034 | 37.2%1,874 W · 3,160 L | -260.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4f5…9427backed ex-RUBY | 19c | 349.99$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.5 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.16per pick | 39cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc925…6d24backed TDK | 78c | 307.2$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.8 | 202 | 42.1%85 W · 117 L | -12.8wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed ex-RUBY | 35c | 304.5$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.19 | 1,121 | 42.5%476 W · 645 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1834…051ebacked ex-RUBY | 12c | 298.15$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc70…e75dbacked ex-RUBY | 38c | 293.11$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.24 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -71.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked TDK | 70c | 292.95$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.95 | 1,051 | 57.2%601 W · 450 L | +17.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1d5…54d5backed ex-RUBY | 18c | 284$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.12 | 414 | 50.7%210 W · 204 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked TDK | 64c | 280.43$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.92 | 7,990 | 50.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L | +180.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked TDK | 74c | 265.95$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.65 | 5,580 | 47.2%2,632 W · 2,948 L | +47.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked TDK | 64c | 197.44$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.51 | 4,754 | 43.6%2,071 W · 2,683 L | -85.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ae…84d8backed ex-RUBY | 13c | 150$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 132 | 19.7%26 W · 106 L | -10.3wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked TDK | 68c | 120.43$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.11 | 1,397 | 52.4%732 W · 665 L | +30.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed TDK | 69c | 115$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 457 | 54.5%249 W · 208 L | +18.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked ex-RUBY | 29c | 110.28$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.92 | 3,267 | 45.5%1,485 W · 1,782 L | -85.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d65…6a04backed ex-RUBY | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 85 | 42.4%36 W · 49 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed TDK | 67c | 99.14$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.86 | 890 | 46.1%410 W · 480 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed ex-RUBY | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 616 | 38.1%235 W · 381 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8da3…7c12backed TDK | 73c | 77$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.77 | 535 | 69.3%371 W · 164 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 71cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d54…4d13backed ex-RUBY | 37c | 74.03$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.39 | 64 | 56.3%36 W · 28 L | +5.7wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +22%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ddd…1fc8backed TDK | 69c | 71.64$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.21 | 95 | 57.9%55 W · 40 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked ex-RUBY | 32c | 69.48$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.01 | 2,195 | 43.1%946 W · 1,249 L | -68.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed TDK | 75c | 58.11$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.27 | 4,099 | 51%2,091 W · 2,008 L | +74.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf76…ffeabacked ex-RUBY | 30c | 57$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.36 | 230 | 37.8%87 W · 143 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71db…aba8backed ex-RUBY | 40c | 55.32$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.03 | 73 | 49.3%36 W · 37 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ef7…53d6backed ex-RUBY | 27c | 55.08$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa619…1103backed TDK | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed TDK | 70c | 43.01$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 2,527 | 43.1%1,088 W · 1,439 L | +42.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf3…4f00backed TDK | 71c | 35.43$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.35 | 408 | 57.1%233 W · 175 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf0b…7cccbacked TDK | 64c | 30.95$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.14 | 454 | 50.2%228 W · 226 L | -12.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd055…28d0backed TDK | 63c | 18.2$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.73 | 659 | 46.9%309 W · 350 L | +18.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe53b…fe03backed TDK | 68c | 15.67$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.01 | 423 | 71.9%304 W · 119 L | +24.4wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs TDK (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs TDK - Map 1 WinnerTDK won
- Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs TDK - Map 2 WinnerTDK won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: TDK (-1.5) vs ex-RUBY (+1.5)TDK won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.