Tennis · resolved market
Kingston 2: Luis Guto Miguel vs Tyler Zink
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf6cc6826c4d9bdc287820055c4d4312c69a8315169cafab99d0550de029b776c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Luis Guto Miguelof Luis Guto Miguel, Tyler Zink
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,270
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,393
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,270 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1b8f…cca7backed Luis Guto Miguel | 43c | 2,128$915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,212.71 | 382 | 38.2%146 W · 236 L | +15.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb9…95c9backed Luis Guto Miguel | 44c | 2,042$906 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,135.87 | 143 | 38.5%55 W · 88 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Tyler Zink | 34c | 1,737$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$595.19 | 8,834 | 42.5%3,758 W · 5,076 L | -169.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Tyler Zink | 61c | 1,505$918 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$918.05 | 785 | 52.9%415 W · 370 L | +22.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f1…b417backed Tyler Zink | 64c | 1,000$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x698b…4426backed Luis Guto Miguel | 36c | 1,000$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640 | 739 | 53.2%393 W · 346 L | +38.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Tyler Zink | 36c | 946.52$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.59 | 8,241 | 45.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L | +166.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74f9…6024backed Luis Guto Miguel | 61c | 500$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 569 | 53.8%306 W · 263 L | +20.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb2…126abacked Tyler Zink | 41c | 487.79$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 256 | 39.8%102 W · 154 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4cf…0e95backed Luis Guto Miguel | 44c | 380$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.8 | 64 | 35.9%23 W · 41 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Luis Guto Miguel | 41c | 326.25$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.02 | 2,548 | 38.5%982 W · 1,566 L | +96.5wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Tyler Zink | 57c | 314.81$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.02 | 3,359 | 48.5%1,630 W · 1,729 L | -49.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Luis Guto Miguel | 43c | 313.51$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.27 | 1,771 | 49.2%872 W · 899 L | +58.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Tyler Zink | 34c | 306.33$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.49 | 9,161 | 36.1%3,309 W · 5,852 L | -202.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf8c…e040backed Tyler Zink | 11c | 300$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 656 | 37.5%246 W · 410 L | -33.2wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Tyler Zink | 11c | 299.99$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 1,316 | 39%513 W · 803 L | -23.2wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Luis Guto Miguel | 43c | 252.24$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.62 | 1,711 | 48.5%829 W · 882 L | +41.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x294b…22d2backed Luis Guto Miguel | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.27 | 290 | 49%142 W · 148 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Tyler Zink | 57c | 223.73$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.62 | 2,859 | 47.1%1,348 W · 1,511 L | +37.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5513…de2abacked Tyler Zink | 11c | 200$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.33 | 795 | 38.4%305 W · 490 L | -15.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfea6…b795backed Tyler Zink | 28c | 191.56$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.27 | 594 | 40.7%242 W · 352 L | -24.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6d…f2b4backed Tyler Zink | 61c | 170$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.15 | 490 | 58%284 W · 206 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cba…b694backed Tyler Zink | 42c | 165.39$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.93 | 1,496 | 43.6%652 W · 844 L | -29.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Luis Guto Miguel | 43c | 162.35$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.54 | 7,201 | 49.7%3,577 W · 3,624 L | +114.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Tyler Zink | 60c | 147$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.2 | 5,553 | 48.6%2,700 W · 2,853 L | +16.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Luis Guto Miguel | 67c | 140.12$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.64 | 5,455 | 56.4%3,074 W · 2,381 L | +234.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd056…f1bebacked Luis Guto Miguel | 40c | 132$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.2 | 659 | 50.5%333 W · 326 L | +13.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Luis Guto Miguel | 73c | 132$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.08 | 6,867 | 48.9%3,357 W · 3,510 L | +61.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2471…4523backed Tyler Zink | 25c | 129.99$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.6 | 135 | 27.4%37 W · 98 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Luis Guto Miguel | 72c | 129.2$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.84 | 4,626 | 67.8%3,135 W · 1,491 L | +310.5wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Tyler Zink | 37c | 128.68$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.61 | 2,899 | 39.6%1,147 W · 1,752 L | -84.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08c8…016abacked Tyler Zink | 50c | 114.71$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.89 | 376 | 58%218 W · 158 L | -18.2wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Tyler Zink | 59c | 112.6$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.93 | 1,991 | 52.9%1,053 W · 938 L | +31.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Tyler Zink | 57c | 102.19$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.25 | 285 | 43.5%124 W · 161 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17d9…84afbacked Luis Guto Miguel | 43c | 71.69$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.86 | 325 | 49.5%161 W · 164 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0df7…1ec1backed Tyler Zink | 60c | 57.46$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.4 | 1,892 | 57.5%1,087 W · 805 L | +105.2wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x571f…1d37backed Tyler Zink | 40c | 52$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.74 | 1,079 | 54.9%592 W · 487 L | +14.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ca1…4268backed Luis Guto Miguel | 45c | 51.67$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.67 | 158 | 31%49 W · 109 L | -10.1wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x73b8…aa92backed Tyler Zink | 57c | 51.11$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.13 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Luis Guto Miguel | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 5,352 | 28.8%1,543 W · 3,809 L | -21.5wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Tyler Zink | 56c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 606 | 47.5%288 W · 318 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x379f…7d70backed Tyler Zink | 55c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 218 | 55.5%121 W · 97 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8558…8615backed Tyler Zink | 45c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 339 | 63.7%216 W · 123 L | +37.6wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Luis Guto Miguel | 43c | 45$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.65 | 1,887 | 45.8%864 W · 1,023 L | +52.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Luis Guto Miguel | 62c | 43.36$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.62 | 4,784 | 49.6%2,372 W · 2,412 L | +177.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x833c…ac24backed Tyler Zink | 57c | 35$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 187 | 48.1%90 W · 97 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Tyler Zink | 61c | 34.91$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.35 | 4,041 | 45.7%1,848 W · 2,193 L | -28.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa678…dd59backed Tyler Zink | 62c | 32.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 164 | 43.9%72 W · 92 L | -10.7wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d8a…24c2backed Luis Guto Miguel | 38c | 32.09$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.89 | 83 | 44.6%37 W · 46 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Tyler Zink | 57c | 31.86$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.16 | 4,376 | 52.3%2,290 W · 2,086 L | +67.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8f6…4f7fbacked Luis Guto Miguel | 43c | 30.51$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.39 | 348 | 48.3%168 W · 180 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…331cbacked Luis Guto Miguel | 63c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 383 | 65.5%251 W · 132 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Tyler Zink | 62c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 740 | 47.8%354 W · 386 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Tyler Zink | 61c | 28.61$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.45 | 376 | 49.2%185 W · 191 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9663…5b70backed Luis Guto Miguel | 37c | 28.6$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.02 | 869 | 47.9%416 W · 453 L | +31.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x301f…e84cbacked Tyler Zink | 57c | 26.32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 318 | 68.9%219 W · 99 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49c5…3de7backed Tyler Zink | 57c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.38 | 227 | 57.7%131 W · 96 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe481…d138backed Tyler Zink | 60c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 284 | 42.3%120 W · 164 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd32e…b577backed Luis Guto Miguel | 57c | 23.4$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.06 | 428 | 59.8%256 W · 172 L | +28.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x042d…0b81backed Tyler Zink | 56c | 22.71$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.72 | 216 | 66.7%144 W · 72 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ab…eefdbacked Luis Guto Miguel | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.