Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: Inner Circle vs Power Rangers (BO3) - European Pro League Group A

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x30961d6cdb603a85f7db211e83d62c23d0d3186c0931e5c5285e5c9e6c7626d7

Rebuilt 17 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Power Rangersof Inner Circle, Power Rangers
Resolved: May 3, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $61,387
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $67,291

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $61,387 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Dota2
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Power Rangers	50c	7,902$3,918 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,984.6	966	45.1%436 W · 530 L	-7.7wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3b0…329ebacked Inner Circle	53c	6,300$3,350 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,350.35	802	56%449 W · 353 L	+22.9wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Power Rangers	52c	5,683$2,973 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,710.06	457	50.8%232 W · 225 L	+14.3wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd06c…cdafbacked Inner Circle	34c	5,387$1,837 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,837.21	1,186	43.2%512 W · 674 L	+42.2wins	+0.04per pick	40cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa27c…ab67backed Power Rangers	51c	4,686$2,403 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,283.23	799	59.4%475 W · 324 L	+4.1wins	+0.01per pick	59cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xfe0b…b5febacked Inner Circle	38c	3,879$1,485 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,485.32	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-0.5wins	-0.06per pick	44cpaid	-27.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x974f…cd80backed Inner Circle	58c	3,857$2,238 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,238.42	551	47.5%262 W · 289 L	+22.3wins	+0.04per pick	43cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x77f2…eec6backed Inner Circle	50c	1,506$750 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$750	554	57.8%320 W · 234 L	+12.3wins	+0.02per pick	56cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c07…5feabacked Power Rangers	50c	1,295$652 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$643.15	179	54.2%97 W · 82 L	-12.6wins	-0.07per pick	61cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Power Rangers	43c	1,264$546 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$718.42	772	56.5%436 W · 336 L	+30.3wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa35c…a113backed Inner Circle	65c	1,202$777 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$777	617	45.7%282 W · 335 L	-12.4wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Power Rangers	53c	1,086$576 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$509.77	1,577	43.9%692 W · 885 L	-10.4wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c1d…4c70backed Inner Circle	62c	1,016$630 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$629.68	14	50%7 W · 7 L	-1.0wins	-0.07per pick	57cpaid	-20.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b10…9659backed Inner Circle	51c	999.99$510 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$510	494	55.1%272 W · 222 L	+6.0wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2761…4d95backed Inner Circle	50c	925.96$465 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$464.62	446	45.7%204 W · 242 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Power Rangers	52c	865.69$452 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$413.62	2,828	43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L	-39.5wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-20.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x39a7…bcb7backed Power Rangers	62c	852.69$525 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$327.69	109	49.5%54 W · 55 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1365…c82abacked Inner Circle	53c	774.34$414 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$413.97	614	56%344 W · 270 L	+13.5wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x689c…6b1ebacked Inner Circle	38c	730.26$277 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$277.5	47	61.7%29 W · 18 L	+4.5wins	+0.10per pick	52cpaid	+11.9%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfd1b…e3b3backed Power Rangers	70c	713.05$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$213.05	97	54.6%53 W · 44 L	+1.6wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	-3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked Inner Circle	48c	659.14$318 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$318	531	39.5%210 W · 321 L	-37.2wins	-0.07per pick	47cpaid	-29.6%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x2924…0f31backed Power Rangers	53c	638.4$339 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$299.75	470	46.6%219 W · 251 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x948a…d1a4backed Inner Circle	63c	557.38$350 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$350	242	55%133 W · 109 L	+14.3wins	+0.06per pick	49cpaid	+13.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdb55…51ddbacked Power Rangers	52c	546.4$286 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$260.31	359	60.4%217 W · 142 L	-1.3wins	0.00per pick	61cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Power Rangers	56c	533.76$299 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$235.21	2,378	47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L	+15.8wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe1f1…3a05backed Inner Circle	32c	514.53$164 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$164.01	63	46%29 W · 34 L	+4.5wins	+0.07per pick	39cpaid	+12.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x18f3…0c20backed Power Rangers	65c	497.05$323 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$173.97	64	45.3%29 W · 35 L	-2.2wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…165bbacked Inner Circle	65c	489.33$317 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$316.91	1,275	33.5%427 W · 848 L	-15.6wins	-0.01per pick	35cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked Power Rangers	67c	462.22$312 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$150.33	1,702	41.2%701 W · 1,001 L	-44.0wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-26.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5f30…3aeebacked Power Rangers	66c	442.62$294 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$148.96	141	57.4%81 W · 60 L	+2.3wins	+0.02per pick	56cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x12bc…bf2fbacked Power Rangers	62c	441$272 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$169.32	178	53.4%95 W · 83 L	+3.7wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x968a…3841backed Power Rangers	50c	378.02$188 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$190.19	209	39.2%82 W · 127 L	-10.8wins	-0.05per pick	44cpaid	-25.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe1d3…b8debacked Inner Circle	46c	370$169 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$169.15	700	52.3%366 W · 334 L	+47.1wins	+0.07per pick	46cpaid	+13.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked Power Rangers	43c	366.07$156 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$209.63	1,280	45%576 W · 704 L	-12.7wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-15%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd7d3…698bbacked Inner Circle	43c	356.41$154 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$154	480	53.1%255 W · 225 L	+25.4wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8705…edbabacked Power Rangers	55c	324.08$178 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$146.36	430	49.1%211 W · 219 L	+15.8wins	+0.04per pick	45cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x473f…9892backed Inner Circle	48c	312.49$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	500	53%265 W · 235 L	+14.9wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Power Rangers	48c	301.88$146 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$155.68	1,901	47.6%905 W · 996 L	+4.6wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc646…e394backed Inner Circle	53c	300$159 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$159	376	55.1%207 W · 169 L	+4.8wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5051…82a6backed Inner Circle	52c	260.58$135 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$135	204	52.5%107 W · 97 L	+12.9wins	+0.06per pick	46cpaid	+14.1%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Power Rangers	51c	224.53$115 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$109.84	1,260	49.7%626 W · 634 L	+21.7wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8342…6dc8backed Inner Circle	45c	222.22$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	480	54%259 W · 221 L	+11.6wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2146…d41bbacked Inner Circle	10c	199.25$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	897	41.5%372 W · 525 L	+22.7wins	+0.03per pick	39cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7f76…6cd3backed Inner Circle	52c	193.65$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	14	28.6%4 W · 10 L	-3.0wins	-0.21per pick	50cpaid	-53.4%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed Inner Circle	36c	165.63$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.63	810	29.4%238 W · 572 L	-23.5wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Inner Circle	54c	162.74$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88.43	1,458	48.5%707 W · 751 L	+27.0wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x312f…913cbacked Inner Circle	53c	162$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85.59	19	52.6%10 W · 9 L	-0.6wins	-0.03per pick	56cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc9e7…c067backed Power Rangers	64c	156.25$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56.25	91	58.2%53 W · 38 L	-2.8wins	-0.03per pick	61cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf52e…54fcbacked Inner Circle	35c	150.62$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.72	25	40%10 W · 15 L	-1.0wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Power Rangers	43c	141$61 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$79.84	1,066	57%608 W · 458 L	+52.7wins	+0.05per pick	52cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x315f…85c6backed Power Rangers	56c	129.75$72 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$57.68	293	47.4%139 W · 154 L	-4.4wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed Power Rangers	29c	118.38$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$84.05	503	53.9%271 W · 232 L	+26.7wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xce5e…8d20backed Power Rangers	48c	116$56 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$60.4	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-1.3wins	-0.16per pick	41cpaid	-53.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8f74…7c8abacked Inner Circle	76c	101.04$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.7wins	-0.18per pick	68cpaid	-27.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3f08…e919backed Power Rangers	40c	100$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$59.95	308	34.1%105 W · 203 L	-4.0wins	-0.01per pick	35cpaid	-12.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c67…a479backed Power Rangers	43c	100$43 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$57.3	99	56.6%56 W · 43 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xde4b…3b7dbacked Inner Circle	63c	100$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63	189	52.9%100 W · 89 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb308…23a6backed Inner Circle	55c	92.45$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.98	169	39.6%67 W · 102 L	-15.4wins	-0.09per pick	49cpaid	-23.5%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Power Rangers	51c	90.57$46 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.28	785	16.6%130 W · 655 L	-135.4wins	-0.17per pick	34cpaid	-66.7%equal weight	31-0.17 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Power Rangers	36c	86.11$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$55.11	735	54.7%402 W · 333 L	-3.5wins	0.00per pick	55cpaid	-2%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xd752…7b4fbacked Inner Circle	56c	80.36$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	354	61.3%217 W · 137 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	61cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8928…2fe5backed Inner Circle	42c	79.38$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.46	10	20%2 W · 8 L	-2.8wins	-0.28per pick	48cpaid	-67.4%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Power Rangers	61c	79.03$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.19	713	42.5%303 W · 410 L	-9.1wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaaa1…d5dabacked Inner Circle	29c	77.11$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.25	107	28%30 W · 77 L	-8.2wins	-0.08per pick	36cpaid	-35.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb97e…262bbacked Inner Circle	30c	73.99$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.89	526	49.2%259 W · 267 L	+21.1wins	+0.04per pick	45cpaid	+1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2593…f798backed Inner Circle	69c	72.85$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-1.6wins	-0.27per pick	43cpaid	-32.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Inner Circle	38c	60.39$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.03	1,034	16.3%169 W · 865 L	-158.1wins	-0.15per pick	32cpaid	-51%equal weight	33-0.15 edge/pick
0x38c5…0f5cbacked Inner Circle	50c	60$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	582	50.5%294 W · 288 L	+10.2wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1025…fbfabacked Inner Circle	59c	50.85$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	302	55.3%167 W · 135 L	+10.5wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe8e1…49ddbacked Power Rangers	53c	50.82$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.01	670	43.3%290 W · 380 L	-6.8wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-14%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4484…9defbacked Power Rangers	30c	50.52$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.36	65	60%39 W · 26 L	+4.1wins	+0.06per pick	54cpaid	+14.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbe53…2dbabacked Inner Circle	73c	50$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.5	444	74.8%332 W · 112 L	+11.8wins	+0.03per pick	72cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd960…1adebacked Power Rangers	38c	47.37$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.37	339	45.1%153 W · 186 L	+12.3wins	+0.04per pick	41cpaid	+9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Inner Circle	39c	45.5$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.57	273	57.1%156 W · 117 L	+9.7wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed Power Rangers	53c	45.38$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.38	410	37.3%153 W · 257 L	-7.8wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3169…6dccbacked Inner Circle	56c	44.64$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	34	47.1%16 W · 18 L	-2.0wins	-0.06per pick	53cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed Power Rangers	54c	42$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.4	1,013	45.5%461 W · 552 L	-46.3wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-18.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x08cf…22b9backed Power Rangers	55c	40$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.9	537	58.8%316 W · 221 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	59cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x91e8…f1abbacked Inner Circle	66c	39.25$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26	22	59.1%13 W · 9 L	-1.1wins	-0.05per pick	64cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3162…d515backed Inner Circle	53c	39.02$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.69	359	48.2%173 W · 186 L	-2.7wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1fbe…f82cbacked Power Rangers	63c	33.33$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.46	9	77.8%7 W · 2 L	+1.0wins	+0.11per pick	67cpaid	+15.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbd3c…fc78backed Power Rangers	67c	32.57$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.75	35	77.1%27 W · 8 L	+6.1wins	+0.17per pick	60cpaid	+25.6%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x4350…4bbabacked Inner Circle	62c	30.48$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.9	33	66.7%22 W · 11 L	+2.3wins	+0.07per pick	60cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3975…0f41backed Power Rangers	44c	29.43$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.48	3	100%3 W · 0 L	+1.2wins	+0.39per pick	61cpaid	+73.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0633…cfdebacked Power Rangers	54c	28.4$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.06	20	75%15 W · 5 L	+2.8wins	+0.14per pick	61cpaid	+28.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x155b…d7babacked Power Rangers	49c	27$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.87	149	62.4%93 W · 56 L	+21.8wins	+0.15per pick	48cpaid	+24.1%equal weight	64+0.13 edge/pick
0x7479…e171backed Power Rangers	49c	21.1$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.76	17	47.1%8 W · 9 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x94ac…9230backed Power Rangers	63c	17.46$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.46	9	77.8%7 W · 2 L	+0.9wins	+0.10per pick	67cpaid	+16.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Dota 2: Inner Circle vs Power Rangers (BO3) - European Pro League Group Athis page
Dota 2: Inner Circle vs Power Rangers - Game 1 WinnerInner Circle won
Dota 2: Inner Circle vs Power Rangers - Game 2 WinnerPower Rangers won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Dota 2: Inner Circle vs Power Rangers (BO3) - European Pro League Group A

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event